Compassionate-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.47K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

58,541

Trades

93,676

lifetime

Volume

$197.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-28 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$7,470

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 830 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	—	+2	$1	98¢	$2	+$1	10-28 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-28 16:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	9	$295	332	332	+0	Up	-$17	08-31 05:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 23:15 UTC	8	$238	324	324	+0	Down	+$9	08-30 23:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 23:00 UTC	4	$207	167	167	+0	Up	-$33	08-28 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 04:00 UTC	9	$206	279	279	+0	Up	+$43	08-23 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	9	$198	170	170	+0	Down	+$26	08-27 00:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:30 UTC	7	$192	181	181	+0	Up	+$2	08-24 23:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	4	$181	127	127	+0	Up	+$41	08-21 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 02:15 UTC	5	$175	123	123	+0	Down	+$22	08-27 02:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:15 UTC	4	$173	167	167	+0	Up	+$5	08-31 05:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 09:45 UTC	5	$172	120	120	+0	Up	+$7	08-24 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	4	$164	125	125	+0	Up	+$3	08-22 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC	4	$163	121	121	+0	Up	+$4	08-27 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 16:30 UTC	5	$159	132	132	+0	Up	+$10	08-29 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$158	93	93	+0	Up	+$17	08-23 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 19:45 UTC	7	$158	114	114	+0	Up	+$14	08-30 19:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 06:45 UTC	4	$156	125	125	+0	Up	+$4	08-22 06:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC	5	$154	129	129	+0	Down	+$19	08-30 11:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 20:45 UTC	4	$142	125	125	+0	Up	+$15	08-30 20:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 22:00 UTC	4	$138	126	126	+0	Up	+$16	08-27 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 04:15 UTC	2	$138	82	82	+0	Down	+$26	08-31 04:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	2	$138	82	82	+0	Up	+$26	08-31 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	4	$137	134	134	+0	Up	+$10	08-20 10:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:00 UTC	4	$137	82	82	+0	Down	+$5	08-20 22:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 00:30 UTC	4	$136	102	102	+0	Down	+$3	08-26 00:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 18:15 UTC	8	$134	138	138	+0	Down	+$42	08-31 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	6	$131	163	163	+0	Up	-$2	08-28 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 06:00 UTC	2	$128	81	81	+0	Down	+$30	08-30 06:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 22:45 UTC	5	$127	122	122	+0	Up	+$5	08-26 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	4	$127	162	81	+81	Down	+$41	08-29 02:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 04:30 UTC	6	$123	125	125	+0	Up	-$29	08-31 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc039a6…
10-28 16:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6b49c3…
10-28 16:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x15f5c4…
10-28 16:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa3fa61…
10-28 16:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaec758…
10-28 16:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7657bc…
10-28 16:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1d3749…
10-28 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd06255…
10-28 16:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc2fc6b…
10-28 16:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x259788…
10-28 15:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfca866…
10-28 15:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x34e08d…
10-28 15:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfb1786…
10-28 15:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x66ff44…
10-28 15:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xced528…
10-28 15:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9c1e93…
10-28 15:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb6fe2b…
10-28 14:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x74ef45…
10-28 14:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4e03b4…
10-28 13:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe42a57…
10-28 13:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5a09fc…
10-28 13:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x010d62…
10-28 13:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x148b68…
10-28 13:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf64e83…
10-28 13:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x72ba91…
10-28 13:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc09f37…
10-28 13:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd3a5a1…
10-28 12:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb2cf74…
10-28 12:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfd3a87…
10-28 12:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x85e82e…
10-28 12:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x84676a…
10-28 12:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6d3b42…
10-28 11:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb29cf8…
10-28 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa4da7f…
10-28 11:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2bb556…
10-28 11:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x97134f…
10-28 11:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe4b666…
10-28 11:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x364540…
10-28 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6cea0f…
10-28 10:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7e22cb…
10-28 10:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc7cf99…
10-28 10:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd8ee24…
10-28 10:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe30a9b…
10-28 10:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x193674…
10-28 10:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c9d4a…
10-28 10:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x94f30f…
10-28 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcd7129…
10-28 09:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x48aa09…
10-28 09:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x905f7e…
10-28 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7bbba2…
10-28 09:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfeb860…
10-28 08:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6e86d2…
10-28 08:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x726c7c…
10-28 08:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x874f1a…
10-28 08:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x539386…
10-28 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x39e248…
10-28 08:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x60d5b2…
10-28 07:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x694f3b…
10-28 07:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6516c8…
10-28 07:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdcff9d…
10-28 07:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x05a7fc…
10-28 07:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfb9b35…
10-28 07:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf865c…
10-28 07:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x39ad3b…
10-28 07:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfc28a1…
10-28 07:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x60e7ff…
10-28 07:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2764da…
10-28 07:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x81fc09…
10-28 06:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8151ec…
10-28 06:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa2cae3…
10-28 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4be0a6…
10-28 06:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x891e2e…
10-28 06:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9405eb…
10-28 06:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe2b913…
10-28 06:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbec181…
10-28 06:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbed03a…
10-28 06:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x19dcbb…
10-28 06:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x428382…
10-28 06:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3c0b17…
10-28 05:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x733033…
10-28 05:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2774a7…
10-28 05:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf1307d…
10-28 05:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2884c4…
10-28 05:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7c7893…
10-28 05:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4c4bb1…
10-28 05:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31f872…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4d0f1…
10-28 05:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x99dc1c…
10-28 05:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x94acf5…
10-28 05:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xad62d1…
10-28 04:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x961cce…
10-28 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x92bc75…
10-28 04:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1bfd7c…
10-28 04:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe24436…
10-28 04:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9fca2…
10-28 04:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa0b5de…
10-28 04:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8c068b…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x125e4c…
10-28 03:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x742912…
10-28 03:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x58c471…