Compassionate-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

259

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$65

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	+15	$8	99¢	$15	+$7	05-07 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	+11	$8	98¢	$11	+$3	05-07 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	+12	$8	66¢	$8	$-0	05-07 10:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	+8	$4	99¢	$8	+$4	05-07 10:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	+7	$4	99¢	$7	+$3	05-07 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	+7	$4	94¢	$6	+$2	05-07 10:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	+6	$4	100¢	$6	+$2	05-07 10:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	+10	$4	40¢	$4	+$0	05-07 10:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	+8	$4	6¢	$1	$-3	05-07 10:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	+7	$4	1¢	$0	$-4	05-07 10:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$16	28	+28	Down	$-0	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$16	30	+30	open	—	05-07 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$16	30	+30	Up	$-4	05-05 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$16	25	+25	Up	+$9	05-06 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$16	20	+20	Down	$-5	05-06 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$16	19	+19	Up	$-7	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$8	16	+16	Down	+$8	05-05 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$8	10	+10	Down	$-8	05-07 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$8	800	+800	Down	$-8	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$8	12	+12	Up	+$4	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$8	800	+800	Down	$-8	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	05-07 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$8	16	+16	Down	+$8	05-06 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$8	100	+100	Up	$-8	05-06 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$8	72	+72	Up	$-8	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$8	18	+18	Down	$-8	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$8	14	+14	Down	$-8	05-06 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$8	26	+26	Down	+$18	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$8	12	+12	Up	$-8	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$8	15	+15	Up	+$7	05-05 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$8	9	+9	Up	+$1	05-06 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	05-07 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$8	22	+22	Up	+$14	05-06 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$8	14	+14	Up	+$6	05-07 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$8	19	+19	Up	$-8	05-06 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$8	12	+12	Up	+$4	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$8	10	+10	Up	+$2	05-07 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	05-07 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$8	20	+20	Down	$-8	05-06 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$8	9	+9	Down	+$1	05-06 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0e7540…
05-07 10:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb2fcb0…
05-07 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x93b02f…
05-07 10:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5134dd…
05-07 10:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc9b615…
05-07 10:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xa1e85f…
05-07 10:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x373def…
05-07 10:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x487b5d…
05-07 10:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x02f211…
05-07 10:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xaa7116…
05-07 09:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xcc131d…
05-07 09:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc5c880…
05-07 09:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x68d2e2…
05-07 09:40:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe11af0…
05-07 09:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x290f75…
05-07 09:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x98f551…
05-07 09:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xdf90cf…
05-07 09:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x8c7a42…
05-07 09:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x403f2d…
05-07 09:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xca7a20…
05-07 09:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xb5e7f0…
05-07 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xfa24a4…
05-07 09:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x532fed…
05-07 08:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xcfa97b…
05-07 08:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xd4a95f…
05-07 08:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x332a5c…
05-07 08:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc3b1a5…
05-07 08:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xa253f4…
05-07 08:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xdb5cf6…
05-07 08:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x10f2ad…
05-07 08:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x880e88…
05-07 08:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1929e2…
05-07 08:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x53b7b5…
05-07 07:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x7bf3bb…
05-07 07:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x9524b9…
05-07 07:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xd0a7c1…
05-07 07:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x35bbdb…
05-07 07:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1982ec…
05-07 06:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8ebc8d…
05-07 05:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xb84172…
05-07 05:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x04a124…
05-07 05:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xdcf8c1…
05-07 05:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x8f02e3…
05-07 05:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x8a3840…
05-07 05:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x352711…
05-07 04:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6e1491…
05-07 04:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9c8674…
05-07 04:38:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xaa6bf6…
05-07 04:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x69da53…
05-07 04:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xac749c…
05-07 02:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc510b2…
05-07 01:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7fb8a9…
05-07 01:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xad8225…
05-07 00:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc3eb6e…
05-06 23:45:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x37ca9e…
05-06 23:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x959ba2…
05-06 23:33:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x560794…
05-06 22:41:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x85360c…
05-06 22:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1cc26c…
05-06 21:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x28a2fc…
05-06 21:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb3401c…
05-06 20:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x8bb9f4…
05-06 20:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x055853…
05-06 20:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6914d0…
05-06 20:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x164f5c…
05-06 20:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x7d96ac…
05-06 20:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x448ec0…
05-06 20:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x698a48…
05-06 20:05:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd7cd23…
05-06 20:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x12b13d…
05-06 20:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5d8188…
05-06 20:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4b2db6…
05-06 19:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf9ee68…
05-06 19:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe1fe82…
05-06 19:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0499a0…
05-06 19:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa724d0…
05-06 19:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1ac8d2…
05-06 19:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc09052…
05-06 19:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfea16c…
05-06 19:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x0ecf21…
05-06 19:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0c99fa…
05-06 19:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5e8504…
05-06 19:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7f5a83…
05-06 19:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x1dc95b…
05-06 19:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x51fcc4…
05-06 19:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x660564…
05-06 19:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x914202…
05-06 18:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf99621…
05-06 18:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1458b9…
05-06 18:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc072bf…
05-06 18:33:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x14be47…
05-06 18:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xe3bab2…
05-06 17:54:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcebe43…
05-06 17:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x86f7f6…
05-06 17:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf211eb…
05-06 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5515d4…
05-06 17:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x645d7d…
05-06 17:22:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9dc6ea…
05-06 17:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5ce507…
05-06 17:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xf9ad1b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	269	$5.55K	1,282	05-07 10:42
Several-Leopard 0x52f0…0699	260	$805	292	05-07 10:41
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	236	$38.6K	1,095	05-07 10:43
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	196	$4.13K	675	05-07 10:41
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	176	$33.7K	1,216	05-07 10:16
Fabulous-Astrologer 0x7b00…de90	161	$2.77K	366	05-07 10:44
Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb	158	$5.12K	477	05-07 10:42
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	157	$908	635	05-07 10:42