Striped-Crazy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$533

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved (90d)

104

Trades (90d)

179

477 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$37.5K

$101.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

$3.33K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-06 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

66% 91% +$1,293

Other

30% 97% +$545

Tech

2% 100% +$89

Sports

1% 100% +$66

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,285	$1,234	97¢	$1.2K	+$8	09-20 10:15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	+764	$726	92¢	$699	-$27	09-09 11:24
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	+800	$680	86¢	$692	+$12	08-18 16:26
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+701	$610	92¢	$648	+$39	09-02 06:37
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+50	$48	98¢	$49	+$1	09-06 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	13	$13.1K	6,803	6,803	+0	No	+$372	06-28 06:36
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$9.5K	6,292	3,500	+2,792	No	+$250	06-24 08:55
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	7	$5.9K	4,459	1,685	+2,774	No	+$191	07-19 07:25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	2	$4.9K	5,050	0	+5,050	No	+$136	10-05 06:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	6	$2.8K	2,903	0	+2,903	No	+$68	10-06 10:46
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	2	$1.8K	1,952	0	+1,952	No	+$119	10-05 20:14
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	2	$1.5K	1,542	0	+1,542	No	+$31	08-19 12:08
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	3	$1.4K	1,440	0	+1,440	No	+$70	07-12 07:30
will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	6	$1.4K	1,482	61	+1,421	No	+$55	06-24 09:23
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	4	$1.3K	1,459	0	+1,459	No	+$139	07-14 08:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,285	0	+1,285	open	—	09-20 10:15
israel closes its airspace by july 7	3	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$34	07-01 16:24
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.0K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$31	06-29 13:30
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	1	$983	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$17	07-01 09:27
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	2	$974	494	494	+0	No	+$0	07-06 16:00
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$70	07-01 09:25
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	7	$850	873	0	+873	No	+$23	09-09 15:07
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	5	$809	899	0	+899	No	+$90	08-18 17:17
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	2	$731	747	0	+747	No	+$16	09-06 08:35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	1	$726	764	0	+764	open	—	09-09 11:24
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	2	$700	729	0	+729	No	+$29	06-27 18:14
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	2	$692	400	400	+0	No	-$28	07-08 08:21
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	1	$691	714	0	+714	No	+$23	07-19 07:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$683	352	352	+0	No	+$20	07-21 05:38
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	1	$680	800	0	+800	open	—	08-18 16:26
will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	3	$679	700	0	+700	No	+$21	06-28 07:43
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?	2	$666	700	0	+700	No	+$34	08-23 10:23
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	1	$616	700	0	+700	No	+$84	09-01 08:29
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	2	$610	701	0	+701	open	—	09-02 06:37
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	9	$609	642	0	+642	Yes	+$33	07-04 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 10:46:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,408	98¢	$2,350	0x87038b…
10-06 10:32:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x074973…
10-05 20:14:32	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	177	93¢	$164	0x969f34…
10-05 06:54:29	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	1,775	94¢	$1,669	0xdf9a6a…
10-05 06:52:13	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,993	97¢	$4,858	0x074b9f…
10-05 06:41:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x94aa6c…
09-20 10:15:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,285	96¢	$1,234	0x4505d3…
09-20 10:13:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	98¢	$130	0xbb3e1f…
09-20 10:13:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	194	98¢	$191	0xca3545…
09-20 10:13:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x42ac23…
09-20 10:10:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x56b43e…
09-20 10:09:36	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ca53a…
09-20 10:08:34	Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x84f01b…
09-20 10:07:58	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	293	99¢	$289	0x04fce0…
09-15 12:24:15	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	383	92¢	$352	0x99fcf4…
09-09 15:07:03	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	250	97¢	$243	0x471d56…
09-09 11:27:07	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	450	95¢	$428	0x8ed672…
09-09 11:26:24	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x46017b…
09-09 11:24:19	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	764	95¢	$726	0x5deacb…
09-09 11:24:09	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x1b074c…
09-06 08:35:01	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa1bab0…
09-06 08:34:15	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	BUY	271	98¢	$266	0xfdffe0…
09-06 08:33:43	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x09b9e3…
09-06 08:33:21	Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x6a72c7…
09-06 08:33:18	Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb79739…
09-06 08:32:54	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5c0a05…
09-06 08:32:33	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x7c4e00…
09-06 08:32:16	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x025921…
09-06 08:31:49	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x596e12…
09-06 08:30:42	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x182163…
09-06 08:30:27	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb888c4…
09-06 08:30:15	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x263d16…
09-06 08:29:55	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xabb26c…
09-06 08:29:27	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xeddb9f…
09-06 08:28:49	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6d112…
09-06 08:28:42	Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0xff710f…
09-06 08:27:58	Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x824e1f…
09-06 08:27:40	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xe13f34…
09-06 08:27:25	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x492a37…
09-06 08:27:07	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x843565…
09-06 08:27:00	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x9a7534…
09-06 08:25:58	Will Michael Walther win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x1f47a0…
09-06 08:25:15	Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	Yes	BUY	75	94¢	$70	0xe16c88…
09-06 08:24:42	Will Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x786504…
09-06 08:24:30	Will Tal Anderson – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb7e745…
09-06 08:24:03	Will Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x811f70…
09-06 08:23:01	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x73badd…
09-06 08:22:52	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x7c790f…
09-06 08:22:04	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$385	0xec54e0…
09-06 08:14:43	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x882910…
09-06 08:14:33	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x99f9dc…
09-06 08:14:25	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f1117…
09-06 08:14:19	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x63edbc…
09-06 08:14:13	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x778009…
09-06 08:14:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x2945cc…
09-06 08:14:06	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae8e5a…
09-06 08:13:58	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8f71d…
09-06 08:13:49	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc108b…
09-06 08:13:49	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x5516fa…
09-06 08:13:31	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xf14c14…
09-06 08:12:57	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	197	98¢	$192	0xb9c191…
09-06 08:12:34	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xb3a9dc…
09-06 08:12:27	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x96aadc…
09-06 08:12:18	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0x2a16fd…
09-06 08:12:07	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7bda79…
09-06 08:11:25	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	250	96¢	$241	0x451c99…
09-06 08:10:54	Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$462	0xaf9720…
09-04 12:57:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	No	BUY	260	99¢	$256	0xfdf5ea…
09-02 06:49:22	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x135252…
09-02 06:49:10	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x7df4ab…
09-02 06:48:36	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	No	BUY	742	98¢	$726	0xcfe72f…
09-02 06:43:03	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xfa94d2…
09-02 06:42:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	480	96¢	$458	0x49b405…
09-02 06:42:04	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$477	0xd10a5a…
09-02 06:38:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xba944e…
09-02 06:37:10	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	176	87¢	$153	0xd819f2…
09-02 06:35:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	294	98¢	$288	0x4bcb3a…
09-02 06:35:04	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x094a0f…
09-01 08:43:51	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf7edae…
09-01 08:42:39	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	525	87¢	$457	0x9341c7…
09-01 08:40:01	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	Yes	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x74eee6…
09-01 08:39:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0e779e…
09-01 08:38:10	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x05c6e7…
09-01 08:37:51	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x3feca1…
09-01 08:35:31	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0x7d3ded…
09-01 08:34:57	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xe7c8f0…
09-01 08:33:37	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x54f886…
09-01 08:32:33	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$292	0xd2b1f1…
09-01 08:31:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xadcc59…
09-01 08:30:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x86a082…
09-01 08:30:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0xae07f0…
09-01 08:30:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0xdcf17d…
09-01 08:29:21	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	700	88¢	$616	0xadd5b6…
09-01 08:27:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xc96b7d…
09-01 08:27:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x757cd7…
08-23 15:18:18	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb06943…
08-23 15:18:18	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	157	96¢	$152	0x2de13d…
08-23 14:19:28	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x5b3011…
08-23 14:19:28	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x44011b…
08-23 11:00:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x1fc81b…