Showy-Curtailment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$503

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-25 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

96% 84% +$24

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$89	100	0	+100	No	-$89	06-02 02:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$50	06-25 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$46	100	0	+100	Yes	+$54	05-25 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$43	100	0	+100	Yes	+$57	06-04 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$39	100	0	+100	No	-$39	06-04 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	05-25 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$26	100	0	+100	No	-$26	06-25 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$17	100	0	+100	No	-$17	05-25 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$16	100	0	+100	No	-$16	06-25 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$11	100	0	+100	No	-$11	06-04 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$10	100	0	+100	Yes	+$90	06-02 02:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-25 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 01:43
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:44
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 29?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:45
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 02:22
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 01:45
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-19 00:42
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:36
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:40
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on May 10?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 10?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 7?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-07 01:42
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-07 01:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 02:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 06:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x1dfab6…
06-25 06:57:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc9a962…
06-25 06:57:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x7abb8e…
06-04 04:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x93389d…
06-04 04:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x8eb93c…
06-04 04:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x31e2be…
06-02 02:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x1da6a2…
06-02 02:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xe12055…
06-02 02:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0x092e0a…
06-01 02:25:21	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on June 1?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb68695…
06-01 02:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xad97c4…
06-01 02:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x48f978…
06-01 01:36:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x81c3c2…
06-01 01:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2d982e…
05-25 07:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe880f7…
05-25 02:28:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x5c056f…
05-25 02:26:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0xb4b22c…
05-25 02:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x795f8a…
05-25 02:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x5fdee8…
05-25 02:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xb5ec0e…
05-25 02:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x745a85…
05-19 01:05:30	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc934a1…
05-19 01:04:09	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x763024…
05-19 00:55:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4c3619…
05-19 00:43:25	Will Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c8599…
05-19 00:42:29	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x84c1f8…
05-19 00:41:29	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8278e0…
05-19 00:39:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf10c1f…
05-19 00:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x63861e…
05-10 02:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3a0db0…
05-10 02:44:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xcd0752…
05-10 02:44:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdb5555…
05-10 02:43:10	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa205c9…
05-10 02:42:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x43af90…
05-10 02:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x219159…
05-10 02:40:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9f5fdc…
05-10 02:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x84fd34…
05-07 01:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea65ed…
05-07 01:46:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc8bb11…
05-07 01:46:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf26112…
05-07 01:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x451b69…
05-07 01:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39d9e5…
05-07 01:44:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe73bdf…
05-07 01:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf36f04…
05-07 01:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xab1b05…
05-07 01:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x471e50…
05-07 01:40:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x61dabf…
05-07 01:40:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x31398a…
04-30 00:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf70ccc…
04-30 00:45:48	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcdbb39…
04-30 00:44:32	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x218005…
04-30 00:43:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd6d952…
04-30 00:42:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x72795a…
04-30 00:41:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x73b04a…
04-30 00:41:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1beb2e…
04-30 00:40:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x33f618…
04-30 00:39:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x709f38…