Plaintive-Forgery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$301

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down		+13	$10	78¢	$10	+$0	05-06 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$38	49	+49	Down	$-2	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$36	49	+49	Up	$-24	05-05 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$29	33	+33	Down	+$4	05-06 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$29	37	+37	Up	+$9	05-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-06 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-06 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Down	$-10	05-05 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-06 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	05-05 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-06 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-06 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	05-05 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-06 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-06 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-06 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Up	+$4	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	05-06 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-06 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$2	05-06 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	Up	+$2	05-06 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-06 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 14:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xc0954c…
05-06 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf5dfc1…
05-06 12:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x620169…
05-06 12:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7b851e…
05-06 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xaa8bdb…
05-06 11:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x296ce8…
05-06 11:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xfc99b9…
05-06 11:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x7c9b6f…
05-06 11:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x190166…
05-06 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x91184c…
05-06 06:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$10	0xfaf448…
05-06 02:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	77¢	$29	0x02315c…
05-06 02:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x5773c4…
05-06 02:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3e13b9…
05-06 01:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x18d0e8…
05-06 00:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x4be644…
05-06 00:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	79¢	$28	0x9adde6…
05-06 00:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xe76815…
05-05 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xfbf813…
05-05 19:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x2ccd42…
05-05 19:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x068334…
05-05 19:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x85f5f7…
05-05 19:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	77¢	$28	0x0d6277…
05-05 19:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x200054…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	22	$704	82	05-06 14:17
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	21	$5.45K	150	05-06 14:20
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$4.13K	121	05-06 14:17
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	21	$2.29K	220	05-06 14:17
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	20	$971	79	05-06 14:17
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	19	$1.41K	127	05-06 14:15
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	19	$1.03K	80	05-06 14:17
Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb	19	$512	46	05-06 14:17