Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$3.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-10 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

84% 50% $-2

Other

11% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$173	135	60	+75	open	—	02-28 01:08
will trump say make america great again this week february 22	15	$154	85	109	-24	open	—	02-19 01:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$147	189	0	+189	open	—	02-28 00:09
will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	14	$134	141	78	+63	open	—	03-09 01:39
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	5	$129	147	0	+147	open	—	02-08 22:29
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	02-23 23:16
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	3	$87	129	0	+129	open	—	02-25 15:03
will trump say tiktok this week february 8	6	$73	43	42	+1	open	—	02-09 04:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$63	848	275	+573	open	—	04-08 01:05
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	5	$60	42	42	+0	open	—	01-26 14:50
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	01-17 18:51
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$58	33	32	+1	open	—	02-01 23:43
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	4	$55	30	29	+1	open	—	02-02 19:24
will trump say olympics this week february 15	9	$54	33	33	+0	open	—	02-15 20:20
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$49	55	0	+55	open	—	02-18 17:20
will trump say transgender this week february 15	5	$47	45	15	+30	open	—	02-15 16:56
will trump say stagflation this week february 8	4	$43	24	23	+1	open	—	02-08 06:03
will trump say portugal or portuguese this week january 25	6	$42	30	15	+15	open	—	01-25 21:56
will trump say 2026 this week january 18	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	01-19 03:18
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 140 164	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	01-19 15:44
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$37	42	0	+42	open	—	02-19 14:47
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	3	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	02-14 15:14
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$36	20	19	+1	open	—	02-01 01:04
will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	4	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	03-21 14:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	03-28 14:11
will trump say tiktok this week march 1	3	$34	45	0	+45	open	—	02-25 20:56
will trump say peanut this week march 29	3	$34	45	0	+45	open	—	03-25 09:53
will trump say drone this week february 22	6	$31	46	0	+46	open	—	02-22 17:33
will leavitt say baby during the next white house press briefing	5	$31	36	0	+36	open	—	03-04 18:55
will donald trump say maria or corina or machado during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	13	$29	127	122	+5	open	—	01-03 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 17:54:52	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	No	BUY	900	0¢	$3	0xe0b657…
05-07 20:29:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x56ba4b…
05-03 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2352ad…
04-29 14:26:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb85036…
04-24 21:31:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x7183e6…
04-21 00:38:08	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xc0a99a…
04-19 19:24:00	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x954009…
04-19 18:11:36	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2ecd06…
04-19 18:11:26	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x71c543…
04-17 07:29:04	will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week april 19	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x7334b0…
04-17 00:00:42	will trump say make america great again this week april 19	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6071e2…
04-16 23:51:48	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x235d7a…
04-08 01:05:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xe96c2e…
04-08 00:42:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x95c60e…
04-08 00:00:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	155	1¢	$2	0x4e6ace…
04-07 23:56:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x32656a…
04-07 23:55:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x9fc357…
04-07 23:53:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x61a68a…
04-07 23:48:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	150	2¢	$2	0x97c3d0…
04-07 23:38:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x0dec70…
04-07 23:12:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0xedcad5…
04-07 23:09:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf18f6d…
04-07 22:57:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0x517e32…
04-07 22:54:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x24ad49…
04-07 22:53:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xda20ad…
04-07 22:49:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x24116e…
04-07 22:48:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x2a3550…
04-07 22:46:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x83e0e6…
04-07 22:41:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x376de7…
04-06 15:47:03	will trump say plastic egg during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xefa206…
04-06 15:11:55	will trump say sleepy joe or biden during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6dab3e…
04-05 10:49:41	will trump post gay on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3b847…
04-04 15:48:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x046ff0…
04-04 15:33:33	will trump say third term in march	Yes	BUY	1,350	0¢	$1	0x76d0c1…
04-04 15:28:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcb7f14…
03-28 14:41:01	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x582d88…
03-28 14:11:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x32827f…
03-28 13:20:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xf46ae4…
03-27 07:33:53	will trump say big fat cat in march	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x7331a0…
03-25 09:53:51	will trump say peanut this week march 29	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x65d01b…
03-25 08:35:39	will trump say bitcoin in march	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x2201d3…
03-25 02:45:45	will trump say peanut this week march 29	No	BUY	22	75¢	$17	0xd1a473…
03-25 01:57:29	will trump say peanut this week march 29	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xff2f29…
03-24 15:01:29	will trump say make america great again this week march 29	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2da4e7…
03-24 14:18:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x7b1093…
03-24 11:53:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x74a299…
03-23 01:12:01	will trump post epic fury on truth social this week	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x09c9ea…
03-21 18:06:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x75e999…
03-21 14:37:25	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xbe31a6…
03-21 05:19:01	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xfcaf80…
03-20 08:51:25	will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2c4820…
03-20 02:55:59	will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5e6e42…
03-19 23:30:41	will trump say toyota during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x65df8f…
03-19 02:25:49	will trump say migrant crime this week march 22	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x641573…
03-18 16:47:25	will trump say egghead this week march 22	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcf2f53…
03-18 16:40:51	will trump say egghead this week march 22	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x780512…
03-18 15:59:27	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	No	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x980d49…
03-18 15:30:35	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb731ba…
03-18 14:15:33	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf85b30…
03-17 17:33:17	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc1536f…
03-17 17:05:09	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xea082a…
03-17 17:05:05	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xa78ea2…
03-17 15:58:05	will trump say soleimani during taoiseach events	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xbc9dd1…
03-17 15:55:35	will trump say greenland during taoiseach events	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x2e6da3…
03-17 11:19:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x0107c1…
03-17 10:06:49	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xfec06f…
03-17 02:04:13	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x352b7a…
03-16 16:15:53	will trump say drone this week march 22	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc7d76c…
03-16 16:03:51	will trump say drone this week march 22	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x4fac86…
03-16 16:00:37	will trump say drone this week march 22	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xd65d76…
03-16 12:54:29	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x1cca6c…
03-16 00:10:55	will president be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x599354…
03-15 07:50:51	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xc4c17d…
03-15 07:21:29	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xcd3768…
03-15 06:49:21	will ballet be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x08d707…
03-14 18:53:29	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x97058e…
03-14 15:31:27	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x010337…
03-14 14:01:51	will mom be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbbc5a5…
03-11 12:11:17	will trump say peanut this week march 15	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe52c77…
03-11 07:44:45	will trump say peanut this week march 15	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x6cbd9a…
03-10 21:27:03	will trump say peanut this week march 15	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xd9c045…
03-10 18:49:53	will leavitt say ai or artificial intelligence during the next white house press briefing 451	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb662d0…
03-10 18:41:45	will leavitt say ai or artificial intelligence during the next white house press briefing 451	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2abee0…
03-10 18:36:51	will leavitt say middle east during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xa070a7…
03-10 18:35:31	will leavitt say middle east during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xfcf37b…
03-10 18:23:51	will leavitt say voter id or voterid during the next white house press briefing 292	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6f2c27…
03-10 14:26:55	will trump say peanut this week march 15	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x63cabb…
03-10 07:22:29	will trump say central casting this week march 15	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x8ba053…
03-10 06:55:19	will trump say peanut this week march 15	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd617dc…
03-09 21:27:13	will trump say egg during miami address	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x328ba2…
03-09 20:59:53	will trump say transgender during miami address	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x53ce6a…
03-09 02:48:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xbfefc0…
03-09 01:39:15	will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xea01d7…
03-08 22:42:33	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc2d639…
03-08 22:23:39	will trump say tough negotiator this week march 8	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xade217…
03-08 21:27:51	will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xe02c78…
03-08 19:54:51	will trump say tough negotiator this week march 8	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x138ace…
03-08 16:41:31	will trump say tough negotiator this week march 8	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2e8fd3…
03-07 17:37:51	will trump say iq this week march 8	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0xe28e51…
03-07 17:19:29	will trump say iq this week march 8	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xa89ab3…