Bowed-Supplier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

934

lifetime

Volume

$891.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$954

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$20

Other

33% 100% +$19

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	29	$18.3K	9,400	9,400	+0	open	—	01-21 12:07
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	2	$16.7K	19,400	19,400	+0	open	—	03-27 02:00
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	22	$12.4K	18,540	18,540	+0	open	—	03-28 02:19
will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	3	$9.1K	4,602	4,602	+0	open	—	01-20 19:15
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	10	$9.0K	4,633	4,633	+0	open	—	01-19 17:12
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	12	$8.3K	8,355	0	+8,355	open	—	03-26 10:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	12	$8.3K	8,346	0	+8,346	open	—	03-27 07:29
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	6	$8.3K	8,330	0	+8,330	open	—	03-26 04:34
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	2	$8.2K	8,265	0	+8,265	open	—	03-25 13:30
ethereum above 2400 on march 24	2	$8.2K	4,086	4,086	+0	open	—	03-24 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	2	$8.1K	4,067	4,067	+0	open	—	04-06 01:07
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	1	$8.0K	8,037	0	+8,037	open	—	03-21 13:21
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 40 64	14	$8.0K	8,029	0	+8,029	open	—	03-21 01:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$8.0K	4,300	4,300	+0	open	—	03-20 05:02
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	1	$7.8K	7,789	0	+7,789	open	—	03-23 15:13
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	19	$7.7K	4,047	4,045	+2	open	—	01-09 14:41
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	4	$7.7K	4,912	4,912	+0	open	—	02-02 03:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 22	1	$7.5K	7,475	0	+7,475	open	—	03-22 13:53
nba mil det 2026 04 08	5	$7.3K	3,675	3,675	+0	open	—	04-09 00:58
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 160 179	2	$5.9K	2,980	2,980	+0	open	—	02-03 14:02
spy closes above 730 on july 21 2026	2	$5.8K	5,799	0	+5,799	open	—	07-21 16:41
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	7	$5.8K	5,792	0	+5,792	open	—	07-21 00:02
spy closes above 765 on july 20 2026	3	$5.8K	5,776	0	+5,776	open	—	07-20 18:05
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	1	$5.7K	5,748	0	+5,748	open	—	07-19 20:32
bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	1	$5.7K	5,717	0	+5,717	open	—	07-16 06:54
amzn close above 255 on july 15 2026	4	$5.4K	5,700	0	+5,700	open	—	07-14 20:01
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	1	$5.4K	5,416	0	+5,416	open	—	07-14 02:58
ethereum above 2400 on march 22	11	$5.4K	2,742	2,636	+106	open	—	03-22 07:04
ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	21	$5.4K	5,362	0	+5,362	open	—	07-22 00:22
ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	7	$5.3K	5,364	0	+5,364	open	—	07-11 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 00:22:27	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	551	100¢	$549	0x13860b…
07-22 00:16:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3e9283…
07-22 00:13:57	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe159d…
07-22 00:13:57	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc69e8e…
07-22 00:13:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdc98cd…
07-22 00:12:40	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9fe636…
07-22 00:12:36	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x475989…
07-22 00:10:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x31683a…
07-22 00:06:33	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x874455…
07-22 00:06:03	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd333e9…
07-21 23:59:30	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf04fe8…
07-21 23:56:13	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3eab9b…
07-21 23:55:46	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x5719b7…
07-21 23:54:58	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3d216d…
07-21 23:51:22	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x531026…
07-21 23:36:51	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde551b…
07-21 23:35:24	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbae079…
07-21 23:33:58	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6c25e2…
07-21 21:51:51	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x080c32…
07-21 21:43:01	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf0d72d…
07-21 16:41:40	spy closes above 730 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,299	100¢	$1,298	0x90fafd…
07-21 16:41:07	spy closes above 730 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4,500	100¢	$4,496	0xf3e20a…
07-21 00:02:03	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,140	0xb0a9eb…
07-20 23:53:55	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x677933…
07-20 22:01:33	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	4,240	100¢	$4,227	0x68c88a…
07-20 21:20:30	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0x13c401…
07-20 21:20:04	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc07fd5…
07-20 21:13:55	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x42288b…
07-20 20:49:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x90525c…
07-20 18:05:13	spy closes above 765 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	776	100¢	$775	0x86bdc3…
07-20 18:04:51	spy closes above 765 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x0bda7b…
07-20 18:04:25	spy closes above 765 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x2b8ddd…
07-19 20:32:25	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	5,748	100¢	$5,736	0x15613f…
07-17 22:07:25	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 17	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2ee743…
07-17 22:07:03	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 17	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x851b38…
07-17 21:30:43	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 17	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x70dae9…
07-17 20:40:10	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x395d27…
07-17 18:01:37	will pltr dip to 108 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	365	100¢	$365	0x876ae0…
07-17 18:00:15	will mu reach 1140 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x47f3d7…
07-17 17:59:37	nflx above 90 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1c0b97…
07-17 17:59:00	will nflx reach 87 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x4174b3…
07-17 17:58:19	will hood reach 125 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	613	100¢	$613	0x87b253…
07-17 17:57:43	will hood reach 127 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	605	100¢	$604	0x4572ea…
07-17 17:56:18	amzn above 220 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf741ff…
07-17 17:56:04	amzn above 270 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x690397…
07-17 17:55:57	amzn above 275 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd063b0…
07-17 17:55:43	amzn above 215 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe03d8c…
07-17 17:55:19	will amzn reach 268 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,165	100¢	$1,164	0xe65868…
07-17 17:55:07	will amzn dip to 224 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	365	100¢	$365	0x51a976…
07-17 17:54:58	will amzn dip to 220 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5743de…
07-17 17:54:42	will amzn reach 272 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,270	100¢	$1,269	0x93d623…
07-16 23:43:44	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 16	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x810e4e…
07-16 23:40:01	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 16	No	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0x9af51e…
07-16 20:42:23	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	428	100¢	$428	0x67f612…
07-16 20:19:34	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	3,136	100¢	$3,129	0x6eb0f2…
07-16 19:42:13	amzn close above 260 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	166	100¢	$165	0x20601f…
07-16 19:41:55	amzn close above 240 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x191738…
07-16 19:41:22	googl close above 365 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x1ac09f…
07-16 19:40:50	nvda close above 215 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	687	100¢	$686	0x7ead59…
07-16 19:39:56	tsla close above 410 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x3d5e44…
07-16 19:39:41	tsla close above 420 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xb3370f…
07-16 19:39:31	tsla close above 380 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	680	100¢	$679	0xa560a2…
07-16 19:38:49	spy closes above 740 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x45606a…
07-16 19:38:40	spy closes above 755 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	965	100¢	$964	0x91d9c5…
07-16 19:18:11	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xbd9227…
07-16 19:17:53	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x027cfa…
07-16 18:55:16	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d8785…
07-16 18:34:34	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xba1ae5…
07-16 18:21:19	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0xd11340…
07-16 17:53:17	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb4754…
07-16 17:48:28	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0xefb104…
07-16 17:48:08	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfa8041…
07-16 17:32:35	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0x1f3c90…
07-16 17:29:01	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x176f76…
07-16 06:54:14	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	5,717	100¢	$5,706	0xfc0c53…
07-14 20:01:20	amzn close above 255 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xf71292…
07-14 19:50:53	amzn close above 255 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	1,451	96¢	$1,386	0x089e04…
07-14 19:50:44	amzn close above 255 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	1,986	96¢	$1,897	0xde9a2c…
07-14 19:50:37	amzn close above 255 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	2,250	95¢	$2,144	0x0d1d7a…
07-14 02:58:38	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	No	BUY	5,416	100¢	$5,405	0x5ac68b…
07-13 18:56:43	spy closes above 760 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xe795f3…
07-13 18:55:23	spy closes above 735 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5,159	100¢	$5,154	0xb0bc95…
07-13 18:08:02	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb151d1…
07-13 10:42:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,199	100¢	$1,193	0xb7510d…
07-13 09:29:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x948b04…
07-13 09:20:25	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	880	100¢	$879	0x0fb561…
07-13 08:46:56	ethereum above 2000 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe01b93…
07-13 08:00:47	ethereum above 2000 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd41775…
07-13 06:21:04	ethereum above 2000 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2,023	100¢	$2,021	0xcdc5c6…
07-13 05:25:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x99723c…
07-13 04:35:44	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec7909…
07-13 04:35:35	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8b3c15…
07-13 04:35:34	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xddef42…
07-12 23:16:05	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1,223	100¢	$1,222	0x6bdb87…
07-12 21:06:46	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x53e6f9…
07-12 20:43:53	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1970cb…
07-12 20:20:19	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x1857ed…
07-12 20:06:11	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1,015	99¢	$1,001	0x7e7a03…
07-12 18:15:19	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb95d4b…
07-12 18:09:11	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	744	100¢	$741	0x63dce4…