Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

166

Trades

453

lifetime

Volume

$880

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-02 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

46% 31% -$103

Crypto

28% 60% +$90

Politics

26% 46% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	11-02 22:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	-11	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$0	08-18 07:51
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+11	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	11-02 22:48
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?	Yes	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-02 21:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:30 UTC	2	$100	100	100	+0	Down	+$98	03-24 20:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	27	$37	4,336	17	+4,319	Yes	-$31	04-02 18:38
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$28	21	21	+0	No	+$3	04-17 09:53
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	7	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$2	04-01 07:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	9	$25	28	32	-4	No	+$7	11-02 21:14
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	10	$22	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	03-28 07:34
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-31 20:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	19	$20	303	6	+297	Yes	-$17	04-02 17:34
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	7	$20	19	19	+0	Yes	-$6	03-31 23:37
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-31 20:15
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-25 20:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$1	03-24 21:11
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	3	$16	52	52	+0	Yes	+$14	04-29 22:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	3	$16	13	6	+7	Yes	-$4	04-20 12:52
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	3	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	03-31 20:40
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?	4	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	03-29 19:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$12	22	10	+12	Yes	-$4	04-01 08:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	7	$12	37	0	+37	No	-$12	11-02 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	4	$12	56	6	+50	No	$0	04-19 06:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:15 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-24 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:05 UTC	3	$11	105	5	+100	Up	-$1	03-24 23:09
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	5	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-31 20:39
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	7	$11	78	63	+16	No	+$1	05-01 11:11
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	3	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-24 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:10 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-24 23:15
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	03-27 04:13
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 20:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	8	$9	32	0	+32	Yes	-$9	11-02 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-08 19:39
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	4	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-30 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:56:46	Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x1fc747…
11-02 22:53:16	Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x99f378…
11-02 22:48:37	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x272410…
11-02 22:46:04	Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x1fc0fd…
11-02 22:44:21	Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x875159…
11-02 22:41:21	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfda409…
11-02 22:39:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x38cbe9…
11-02 22:38:51	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2bf702…
11-02 22:31:55	Blue wave in 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7ac6d7…
11-02 22:29:36	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3ea372…
11-02 22:28:15	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x065c2f…
11-02 22:23:49	Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x573e10…
11-02 22:19:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x981157…
11-02 22:15:10	Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa7e0e8…
11-02 22:13:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8811bf…
11-02 22:11:54	Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc77842…
11-02 22:09:55	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x96d0ec…
11-02 22:08:16	Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x670458…
11-02 22:07:16	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe4dc74…
11-02 22:05:46	Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd173f9…
11-02 22:01:55	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x74d6a1…
11-02 21:57:28	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x29f076…
11-02 21:53:42	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc2f037…
11-02 21:45:10	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf85791…
11-02 21:41:10	Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xae0dfd…
11-02 21:40:21	Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xda4083…
11-02 21:39:33	Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x582858…
11-02 21:37:58	Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3fc832…
11-02 21:36:54	Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd8df1f…
11-02 21:34:58	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe3ddc2…
11-02 21:32:31	Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x69c37b…
11-02 21:30:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe65410…
11-02 21:24:55	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8c18cd…
11-02 21:14:57	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x79d083…
11-02 21:14:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xab5763…
11-02 21:13:25	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9e0347…
11-02 21:12:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x787dab…
10-28 20:54:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xff6462…
10-28 19:35:25	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfd0288…
10-27 20:42:03	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x44947e…
10-26 18:56:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeb223b…
10-25 22:31:17	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x69542d…
10-25 22:30:38	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2dae35…
10-25 11:46:59	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb54c08…
10-25 11:46:00	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5029cc…
10-25 11:36:41	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8e003d…
10-23 07:41:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x671313…
10-22 19:41:38	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbb198c…
10-22 19:40:59	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6381e7…
10-21 22:58:15	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf3404a…
10-21 22:51:51	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xce26f3…
10-20 21:43:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x466457…
10-20 21:42:32	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x27bc1f…
10-20 21:37:15	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb47b47…
10-20 21:34:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x04f0ac…
10-20 21:30:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x49d3f6…
10-20 00:16:51	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8e766f…
10-18 20:40:38	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x811a3b…
10-18 20:40:29	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf02f3a…
10-18 20:40:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcdbbbd…
10-18 14:34:24	Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb9b4df…
10-18 14:33:29	Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x48d832…
10-18 14:30:06	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x99f071…
10-18 14:11:11	Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x10ad6c…
10-18 14:09:05	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc1c5b6…
10-18 14:08:38	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfa2b09…
10-18 13:16:18	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x24a848…
10-17 23:53:29	Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb91ee4…
10-17 23:43:20	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x61c01a…
10-16 21:35:47	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x10018f…
10-16 21:19:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x099f21…
10-16 21:16:45	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdddbd9…
10-16 08:15:30	Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x983d19…
10-16 08:14:36	Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf628db…
10-16 08:13:31	Will the Republican Party win the CA-47 House seat?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x60e089…
10-16 08:12:55	Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf13302…
10-16 08:12:09	Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x975b23…
10-16 08:11:34	Will the Republican Party win the CA-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xcc7afd…
10-16 08:10:28	Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcd358b…
10-16 00:53:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x116bc4…
10-16 00:50:30	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd25ca2…
10-16 00:25:04	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe684b4…
10-16 00:23:37	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe0d7e7…
10-14 01:26:52	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x83970d…
10-14 01:25:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xede44b…
10-12 13:14:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe78c0d…
10-12 01:09:26	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd6bcbb…
10-12 01:00:51	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf668a9…
08-23 22:37:15	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc854ab…
08-18 07:51:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x9117b9…
08-18 07:51:00	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	46	12¢	$5	0xc77ee8…
08-18 07:50:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	32	49¢	$16	0x94bf28…
05-01 11:11:54	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x26d97c…
04-30 20:01:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x070c06…
04-30 05:37:24	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6d8884…
04-29 22:17:26	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xd338a5…
04-29 22:17:26	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xb96417…
04-20 16:56:58	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa61921…
04-20 16:56:24	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x79a0d8…
04-20 16:55:48	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd01f9d…