Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$244

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

144

Trades

2,662

lifetime

Volume

$501.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-15

last 10-17 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

64% 23% -$149

Politics

35% 2% -$84

Sports

1% 12% -$7

Crypto

0% 38% -$3

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No		+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	09-21 13:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	328	$135.3K	67,771	67,771	+0	No	-$68	07-03 21:51
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	130	$57.6K	28,839	28,839	+0	No	-$29	06-27 16:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	240	$38.4K	19,224	19,224	+0	No	-$19	06-17 08:21
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	234	$33.2K	16,644	16,644	+0	No	-$17	06-22 08:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	66	$30.8K	15,430	15,430	+0	No	-$17	06-22 15:56
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	142	$27.6K	13,822	13,822	+0	No	-$16	06-23 18:47
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	58	$23.4K	11,732	11,732	+0	No	-$13	06-29 23:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	44	$18.3K	9,157	9,157	+0	No	-$11	06-23 18:46
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	40	$9.5K	4,748	4,748	+0	No	-$5	06-21 20:56
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	88	$8.2K	4,086	4,086	+0	No	-$4	10-04 19:16
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	28	$8.0K	4,008	4,008	+0	open	—	07-09 20:49
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	70	$7.1K	3,543	3,543	+0	open	—	09-29 21:32
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	84	$7.0K	3,481	3,481	+0	No	-$3	10-06 20:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	82	$6.0K	3,002	3,002	+0	No	-$3	10-14 21:16
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	46	$5.7K	2,834	2,834	+0	No	-$3	09-03 22:36
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	10	$4.9K	2,446	2,446	+0	No	-$3	06-23 20:59
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	54	$4.9K	2,434	2,434	+0	No	-$2	10-04 19:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	44	$4.7K	2,354	2,354	+0	No	-$2	09-29 21:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	38	$4.6K	2,298	2,298	+0	No	-$2	09-03 22:42
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	34	$3.9K	1,970	1,970	+0	No	-$2	09-03 22:50
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	36	$3.8K	1,893	1,893	+0	open	—	09-29 21:20
Will Luciano Darderi win the 2026 Men's US Open?	32	$3.8K	1,889	1,889	+0	No	-$2	09-03 22:46
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	36	$3.8K	1,880	1,880	+0	open	—	09-29 21:23
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	28	$3.7K	1,847	1,847	+0	No	-$2	08-05 23:41
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	42	$3.1K	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	10-08 22:16
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	24	$3.0K	1,523	1,523	+0	open	—	08-17 16:19
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	24	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	No	-$2	08-17 16:27
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	10	$3.0K	1,503	1,502	+0	open	—	07-09 20:51
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	6	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$2	06-23 18:45
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	16	$2.7K	1,370	1,370	+0	No	-$4	06-17 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 23:51:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa7e546…
10-17 23:51:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb6a8b7…
10-17 23:51:06	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1eacc7…
10-17 23:51:02	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6bfab4…
10-17 23:50:48	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xedba33…
10-17 23:50:42	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8ae9c9…
10-14 21:16:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xb3a5ae…
10-14 21:16:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x38ea88…
10-14 21:16:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x2439ae…
10-14 21:16:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x810526…
10-14 21:16:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x8cb084…
10-14 21:16:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xbc3b2d…
10-14 21:16:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xa6dc18…
10-14 21:15:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x2c7387…
10-14 21:15:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$76	0xdff6f8…
10-14 21:15:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xf803b8…
10-14 21:15:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$76	0x08f548…
10-14 21:15:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x3f37ea…
10-14 21:15:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x61caa5…
10-14 21:15:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9417c4…
10-14 21:15:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x498ef1…
10-14 21:15:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x1dae8b…
10-14 21:15:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x3081fd…
10-14 21:15:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf2bf4f…
10-14 21:15:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x3b0a1b…
10-14 21:15:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xbac873…
10-14 21:15:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x58cb94…
10-14 21:14:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x928e19…
10-14 21:14:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x550025…
10-14 21:14:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x1e0ade…
10-14 21:14:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x05fba0…
10-14 21:14:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xafd9d1…
10-14 21:14:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x5b91c4…
10-14 21:14:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xc22cd8…
10-14 21:14:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x7f42cc…
10-14 21:14:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xe2aef7…
10-14 21:14:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x42eb5d…
10-14 21:13:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb61a02…
10-14 21:13:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xbed191…
10-14 21:13:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf6c1fe…
10-14 21:13:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x740767…
10-14 21:13:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xc12023…
10-14 21:13:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0x3fea0e…
10-14 21:13:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9a3bf3…
10-14 21:13:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0xa386ad…
10-14 21:13:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$75	0x05efc6…
10-14 21:13:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x884ee2…
10-14 21:13:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xd33e18…
10-14 21:13:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xb1f5b3…
10-14 21:12:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x6bb846…
10-14 21:12:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xc6a13a…
10-14 21:12:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x8bd401…
10-14 21:12:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xe03eed…
10-14 21:12:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x4f7bef…
10-14 21:12:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xc18577…
10-14 21:12:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x7364c6…
10-14 21:12:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x40af05…
10-14 21:12:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xfb7d65…
10-14 21:12:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x0501a8…
10-14 21:12:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x35f14d…
10-14 21:11:25	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x5c8f1c…
10-14 21:11:18	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2d79f6…
10-14 21:10:54	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd93e7d…
10-14 21:10:46	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xef2ed6…
10-14 21:10:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 18	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9394b5…
10-14 21:10:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 18	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9a1f43…
10-14 21:09:57	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2b3893…
10-14 21:09:48	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0bffdf…
10-10 23:32:31	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x12254e…
10-10 23:32:18	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0881c7…
10-10 23:32:07	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3b373b…
10-10 23:32:01	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x00d691…
10-10 23:31:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x40c36e…
10-10 23:31:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4e9593…
10-10 23:31:04	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x3a6785…
10-10 23:31:00	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x651b83…
10-10 23:30:34	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xaf67cc…
10-10 23:30:30	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x403cd2…
10-10 23:30:19	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x63ddfc…
10-10 23:30:13	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75bbad…
10-10 23:29:45	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x61aefa…
10-10 23:29:39	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0eb548…
10-10 23:29:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf06c9d…
10-10 23:29:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x056bf9…
10-10 23:29:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9ebed1…
10-10 23:28:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x367cef…
10-10 23:28:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa9932…
10-10 23:28:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2c1f73…
10-10 23:28:19	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x248fce…
10-10 23:28:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf76b90…
10-10 23:27:57	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xdbd2ae…
10-10 23:27:52	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x575601…
10-10 23:27:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x162e4e…
10-10 23:27:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x331f53…
10-10 23:26:57	Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs NRG (BO3) - FRAG University Playoffs	NRG	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa3820d…
10-10 23:26:51	Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs NRG (BO3) - FRAG University Playoffs	NRG	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb135e9…
10-10 23:26:19	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe70fcf…
10-10 23:26:13	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf5c525…
10-10 23:26:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xc9be84…
10-10 23:25:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x681e04…