Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$762

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

421

Trades

1,103

lifetime

Volume

$7.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-29 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 39% -$987

Other

6% 50% +$225

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$4	5¢	$0	-$3	07-06 16:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	21	$654	880	440	+440	Down	-$226	10-28 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	5	$220	400	0	+400	Down	+$180	10-28 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:10 UTC	1	$171	400	0	+400	Down	-$171	03-18 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	3	$114	100	100	+0	Down	+$8	03-16 14:48
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	3	$112	200	0	+200	No	+$88	08-12 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:40 UTC	17	$112	300	0	+300	Up	+$88	03-18 11:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	15	$110	200	0	+200	Down	-$110	03-17 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:40 UTC	4	$108	200	0	+200	Down	+$92	03-17 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:05 UTC	7	$106	200	0	+200	Down	-$106	03-18 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:50 UTC	1	$106	200	0	+200	Down	+$94	03-17 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:45 UTC	2	$104	200	0	+200	Up	-$104	03-17 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:15 UTC	4	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-17 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:55 UTC	1	$100	291	0	+291	Down	-$100	03-17 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	7	$100	400	0	+400	Down	-$100	10-28 14:21
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$93	100	0	+100	No	+$7	08-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$86	190	0	+190	Down	+$4	10-21 16:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:35 UTC	6	$81	100	84	+16	Up	+$6	03-17 10:39
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	1	$78	100	0	+100	Yes	+$22	08-12 09:24
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	2	$71	150	0	+150	No	+$79	10-21 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$69	170	0	+170	Up	+$1	10-21 16:23
will xrp reach 1pt5 on september 14 2026	1	$69	100	0	+100	No	+$31	09-14 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	6	$65	200	0	+200	Up	+$35	09-03 21:49
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	2	$62	200	0	+200	Yes	+$138	10-23 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	9	$60	400	0	+400	Down	-$60	10-29 16:21
XRP Up or Down on September 15?	4	$60	200	0	+200	Down	+$40	09-15 13:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	9	$58	100	0	+100	Up	+$42	08-27 12:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:55 UTC	15	$56	200	0	+200	Down	+$44	03-17 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:15 UTC	1	$53	100	0	+100	Up	+$47	03-17 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	2	$53	100	0	+100	Up	+$47	03-17 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:25 UTC	1	$53	100	0	+100	Down	+$47	03-17 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x72a7a3…
10-29 17:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	394	10¢	$39	0x3a808b…
10-29 17:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc5a7cf…
10-29 16:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xf8d7cb…
10-29 16:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xe8082a…
10-29 16:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0xe50f2f…
10-29 16:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x9c0390…
10-29 16:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x3107bc…
10-29 16:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xa1336b…
10-29 16:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x591495…
10-29 16:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x784095…
10-29 16:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x2d3c72…
10-28 14:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0xf84fcc…
10-28 14:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	159	25¢	$40	0x2a6d42…
10-28 14:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xb789ca…
10-28 14:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2f3f4e…
10-28 14:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x18dc72…
10-28 14:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xbd2282…
10-28 14:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9416c9…
10-28 13:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe5a450…
10-28 13:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xcad92f…
10-28 13:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x3c94c1…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xce9376…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xc7133e…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xb84eac…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	261	50¢	$131	0x9e01a2…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x8e94ad…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71e3fe…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x71444d…
10-28 13:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0xb2613c…
10-28 13:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	440	49¢	$214	0xcb2b82…
10-28 13:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x208522…
10-28 13:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf29f5a…
10-28 12:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	62	50¢	$31	0xe01f60…
10-28 12:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x595a4a…
10-28 12:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9818d4…
10-28 12:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1003d0…
10-28 12:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2cfea3…
10-28 12:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x3472c8…
10-28 12:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0x45c64b…
10-28 12:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x4cbee9…
10-28 12:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7923cd…
10-28 12:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd8aa95…
10-28 12:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe727b7…
10-28 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	348	55¢	$191	0x6657e1…
10-28 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x638a08…
10-28 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5ce8ee…
10-28 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x138e5f…
10-28 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x054aa2…
10-25 16:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbe5134…
10-25 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x70406f…
10-25 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xfdfcee…
10-25 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x38acac…
10-24 17:08:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xfbb530…
10-23 11:07:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x56f9b7…
10-23 11:07:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x00c1df…
10-21 20:42:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x5d76b8…
10-21 20:04:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xb7c192…
10-21 17:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x49c476…
10-21 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdfe055…
10-21 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbd2e2b…
10-21 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x72e6a2…
10-21 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x13a547…
10-21 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x05b3dd…
10-21 17:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	10¢	$8	0x5a640d…
10-21 17:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x520e2f…
10-21 17:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3d19d3…
10-21 17:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb29d1d…
10-21 17:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x925cbc…
10-21 17:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3004d3…
10-21 17:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x2b96f9…
10-21 17:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x2657ce…
10-21 16:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0xaab796…
10-21 16:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$51	0xa607d5…
10-21 16:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x79050b…
10-21 16:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x844f65…
10-21 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0xbcaeb8…
10-21 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x95642e…
10-21 16:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8bc011…
10-21 16:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	80¢	$25	0xd1bc1d…
10-21 16:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x74cefe…
10-21 16:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x901592…
10-21 16:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9acd4b…
10-21 10:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x9c40ef…
10-21 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x682f70…
10-21 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x448d96…
10-21 09:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x66c2e8…
10-21 07:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7e7758…
10-16 09:26:10	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa96a62…
10-16 08:23:54	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x48f7fe…
10-15 07:00:41	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x085a32…
10-14 13:52:14	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x174bb9…
10-14 12:01:51	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x9c80c7…
10-14 12:01:21	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf0d141…
10-14 07:06:28	will bitcoin dip to 83k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x90cd1f…
10-14 07:05:40	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1cd084…
10-12 17:39:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x05e092…
09-25 22:10:45	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xbecaf8…
09-25 22:10:44	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb268ea…
09-25 22:10:44	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x63b3d3…