Wary-Quiche-Illustration — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved (90d)

1,085

Trades (90d)

1,637

9,484 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.95K

$169.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-12 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% -$449

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 09:05 UTC	4	$103	104	+104	Down	+$1	07-23 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	6	$102	103	+103	Up	-$102	07-11 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:55 UTC	2	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-11 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:30 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-11 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:15 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-11 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:40 UTC	9	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-15 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:20 UTC	2	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-11 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:35 UTC	4	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-15 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:35 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-11 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:15 UTC	2	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-15 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:20 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-11 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:45 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-10 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:55 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-15 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-15 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:40 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-10 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:50 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-15 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:50 UTC	10	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-10 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:40 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-15 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:25 UTC	3	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-10 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:45 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-15 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:35 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-15 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:10 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-10 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:25 UTC	2	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-15 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:00 UTC	4	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-10 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:15 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Up	+$1	07-15 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:10 UTC	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-15 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$102	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-10 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$101	103	+103	Down	+$1	07-15 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 21:20 UTC	3	$101	102	+102	Up	+$1	07-10 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:50 UTC	1	$101	102	+102	Down	+$1	07-15 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 09:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x80c57b…
10-12 09:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0430d2…
10-12 08:52:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xaafb56…
10-12 08:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0b8895…
10-12 08:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x648d5f…
10-12 08:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x06ded0…
10-12 08:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8aa3e8…
10-12 07:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7fab39…
10-12 07:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x4779d9…
10-12 07:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x399637…
10-12 07:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x218a84…
10-12 07:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xc7600a…
10-12 07:03:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb171e1…
10-12 07:03:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xae90d8…
10-12 06:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3591a3…
10-12 05:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa1030d…
10-12 04:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x86e291…
10-12 04:22:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9464e9…
10-12 04:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xccf2d6…
10-12 03:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xc9625e…
10-12 02:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3f4877…
10-12 02:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x1f984c…
10-12 02:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x97ff53…
10-12 02:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x4ea21e…
10-12 01:38:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x534b89…
10-12 01:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xd176b3…
10-12 01:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x55f288…
10-12 01:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7829e6…
10-12 01:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x11e0fd…
10-12 00:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8db2ed…
10-12 00:32:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x733fa6…
10-12 00:32:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x13eda0…
10-12 00:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0e2911…
10-11 23:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe1511d…
10-11 23:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbb3fbe…
10-11 23:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xca220c…
10-11 22:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9d7a28…
10-11 22:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf64272…
10-11 22:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x6c6d2e…
10-11 22:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x19f3c1…
10-11 21:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x6e1f76…
10-11 20:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd7f32f…
10-11 18:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xa2f2ea…
10-11 18:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x92c802…
10-11 16:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf8b8d7…
10-11 16:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0692d2…
10-11 16:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x18f3ed…
10-11 16:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x17178b…
10-11 15:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xfd21c7…
10-11 15:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x75a888…
10-11 15:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5fdbda…
10-11 15:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe22b79…
10-11 14:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x9b0baf…
10-11 14:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xdd67f3…
10-11 13:19:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6e32b3…
10-11 13:19:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x09cf94…
10-11 13:19:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x28711e…
10-11 13:18:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xea6c0f…
10-11 12:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xf68c58…
10-11 12:13:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x6b2733…
10-11 11:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xfb7320…
10-11 11:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xd4ca67…
10-11 11:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x246bb8…
10-11 11:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb77d53…
10-11 11:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x724d3c…
10-11 11:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3e595b…
10-11 11:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5f4241…
10-11 10:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8b545b…
10-11 10:23:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xdf1f6e…
10-11 10:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0883b8…
10-11 10:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3d0509…
10-11 09:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa16b44…
10-11 09:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3a8fc9…
10-11 09:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2d552e…
10-11 08:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe7f243…
10-11 08:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x30146c…
10-11 06:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xb78dab…
10-11 05:33:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x7a04cd…
10-11 05:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x056141…
10-11 05:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4a4435…
10-11 05:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe92919…
10-11 04:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9e619b…
10-11 04:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x423ce5…
10-11 02:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe3f417…
10-11 00:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xea200f…
10-10 22:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xad0aa3…
10-10 19:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8aa821…
10-10 19:27:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5d1c1f…
10-10 19:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3da19e…
10-10 18:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x441b41…
10-10 18:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbe2e71…
10-10 18:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xc9546e…
10-10 18:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xbd2755…
10-10 18:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xcd863b…
10-10 18:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x567887…
10-10 18:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0a5b92…
10-10 18:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd5168e…
10-10 17:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x38694e…
10-10 17:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbff03c…
10-10 17:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x053a13…