Bold-Everybody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

5,186

Trades

18,862

lifetime

Volume

$112.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-27 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 42% +$2,446

Other

3% 68% -$25

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Politics

0% 14% -$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		-12	-$2	6¢	$-1	+$2	05-01 23:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	10	$168	39,377	58	+39,319	Yes	-$64	04-18 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$154	80	80	+0	Down	-$4	06-12 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:35 UTC	2	$154	80	80	+0	Down	-$5	06-12 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	13	$153	78	78	+0	No	+$3	10-24 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	10	$153	78	78	+0	No	+$3	10-25 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	10	$153	78	78	+0	No	+$3	10-23 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	8	$150	162	0	+162	open	—	10-26 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	9	$150	162	0	+162	open	—	10-26 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:10 UTC	2	$142	80	80	+0	Up	-$16	06-12 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 02:50 UTC	11	$139	157	157	+0	Up	+$42	03-09 02:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:40 UTC	13	$122	437	219	+219	Down	-$17	02-25 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 24?	4	$116	60	60	+0	No	+$3	10-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	6	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:50 UTC	8	$112	156	156	+0	Down	+$12	03-11 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?	7	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$4	10-22 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:00 UTC	11	$99	219	219	+0	Up	+$29	02-25 13:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:15 UTC	2	$99	150	150	+0	Up	+$69	02-11 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:00 UTC	3	$99	118	0	+118	Down	-$19	06-12 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:05 UTC	2	$99	119	0	+119	Down	-$19	06-12 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:25 UTC	7	$98	113	113	+0	Down	+$28	03-10 03:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:40 UTC	7	$98	113	113	+0	Down	+$28	03-09 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:30 UTC	4	$98	113	113	+0	Down	+$28	03-09 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:15 UTC	6	$98	113	113	+0	Down	+$28	03-10 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 11:20 UTC	8	$98	113	113	+0	Up	+$28	03-09 11:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:45 UTC	6	$98	113	113	+0	Up	+$28	03-10 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 23:40 UTC	4	$98	113	113	+0	Down	+$28	03-09 23:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:15 UTC	14	$98	113	113	+0	Down	+$28	03-10 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:20 UTC	11	$98	113	113	+0	Up	+$28	03-10 01:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 11:55 UTC	12	$98	113	113	+0	Down	+$28	03-09 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:45 UTC	12	$98	113	113	+0	Up	+$28	03-10 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf14bff…
10-27 01:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 27?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xa5c468…
10-26 22:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3d7ac6…
10-26 22:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbbe7e1…
10-26 21:49:36	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x7ffee4…
10-26 21:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x333009…
10-26 21:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xa68608…
10-26 21:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0xb868d5…
10-26 21:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x75e0c0…
10-26 20:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xdc8f73…
10-26 19:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x294f60…
10-26 18:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 27?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x956dc8…
10-26 18:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x56155f…
10-26 17:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x762eb2…
10-26 16:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9b49d0…
10-26 16:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$37	0x6191c9…
10-26 16:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdd80ed…
10-26 16:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xb10303…
10-26 16:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x81b3cd…
10-26 16:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x95a26d…
10-26 14:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x50690a…
10-26 14:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0036e1…
10-26 14:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x4998fe…
10-26 14:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x5d423d…
10-26 13:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfcda90…
10-26 13:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x18ecd0…
10-26 13:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x05bbcd…
10-26 13:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x320fc4…
10-26 12:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2e7f25…
10-26 12:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd214ab…
10-26 12:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe0cb0e…
10-26 12:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x597cc9…
10-26 12:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x225c4e…
10-26 12:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x41053a…
10-26 12:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa5b82f…
10-26 10:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x56643a…
10-26 10:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x45e252…
10-26 09:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc2db64…
10-26 08:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xd4c1ff…
10-26 08:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x4a6880…
10-26 08:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b1855…
10-26 08:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x58218d…
10-26 08:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xa0e7f3…
10-26 08:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x3c7a3e…
10-26 08:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x2d13c1…
10-26 08:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xd5dca6…
10-26 07:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa76eb5…
10-26 07:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x68854d…
10-26 07:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xa31b0d…
10-26 06:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xb5cb28…
10-26 05:47:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8927c7…
10-26 04:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 26?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xebe29a…
10-26 01:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xa90bb3…
10-25 23:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x004b43…
10-25 23:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf2b3fa…
10-25 21:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x26ba1c…
10-25 17:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbb8278…
10-25 17:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x552ee9…
10-25 17:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x52d7e1…
10-25 12:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xac6efd…
10-25 10:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xed9acb…
10-25 10:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x99c825…
10-25 10:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 25?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5b6b23…
10-25 10:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x26a8f2…
10-25 10:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 25?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf661aa…
10-25 09:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb30d5d…
10-25 03:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc7d2b3…
10-25 03:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x30ad48…
10-24 23:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x292238…
10-24 23:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x76d240…
10-24 21:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x5951e8…
10-24 20:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 25?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x750938…
10-24 20:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 25?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x534a56…
10-24 15:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x33a6e2…
10-24 15:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb64bc3…
10-24 14:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6d34d6…
10-24 14:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x484626…
10-24 14:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1330c0…
10-24 14:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe69e9d…
10-24 14:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa49d40…
10-24 14:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x97413d…
10-24 14:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x69b510…
10-24 14:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x23b3fb…
10-24 14:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xca5ae5…
10-24 14:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7f0da2…
10-24 14:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x73ba03…
10-24 12:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbfdc7c…
10-24 11:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5f5af9…
10-24 05:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 24?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x41220a…
10-24 01:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x850a24…
10-24 01:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8fdb8d…
10-24 01:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa90e5f…
10-24 01:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9cd364…
10-24 01:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfc5757…
10-23 23:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x15f693…
10-23 23:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x64e917…
10-23 20:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x69994f…
10-23 20:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xc8bb2e…
10-23 15:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb44716…
10-23 15:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x6a2292…