Faraway-Counterforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.78K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

141

Trades

475

lifetime

Volume

$106.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-09 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

70% 19% +$7,696

Crypto

22% 37% -$9,800

Other

9% 36% -$679

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$24.4K	20,820	20,820	+0	Yes	+$16,662	02-28 07:26
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	11	$5.0K	23,107	23,107	+0	No	-$3,040	04-20 22:22
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	9	$3.9K	2,522	2,522	+0	Yes	+$1,045	03-02 00:44
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$3.1K	2,668	2,668	+0	Yes	+$2,122	02-28 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	9	$3.0K	6,557	0	+6,557	Down	-$3,000	05-10 18:36
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$2.7K	4,759	4,759	+0	Yes	+$1,756	02-28 06:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$2.7K	4,931	4,931	+0	Yes	-$89	01-27 23:52
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$2.5K	10,428	10,428	+0	No	-$535	01-30 18:44
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	67	$2.3K	42,523	42,523	+0	No	+$291	03-07 17:10
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$1,181	02-28 07:26
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$1.9K	5,555	5,555	+0	No	-$88	01-25 15:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$1.9K	2,713	2,713	+0	Yes	-$332	02-28 14:59
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	6	$1.8K	14,536	14,536	+0	No	-$1,246	03-23 15:09
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	5	$1.8K	18,818	18,818	+0	No	-$641	02-26 17:54
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$1.7K	5,600	0	+5,600	No	-$1,675	03-07 20:21
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	31	$1.5K	42,683	0	+42,683	No	-$1,535	02-05 19:35
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$1.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$832	03-05 07:01
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$1.5K	25,182	25,182	+0	No	-$1,169	02-28 07:04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$1.5K	14,110	0	+14,110	Yes	-$1,500	04-19 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 17:15 UTC	11	$1.5K	1,045	1,029	+16	Up	+$377	01-25 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 17:30 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,121	1,104	+17	Up	+$387	01-25 17:43
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$1.3K	5,902	5,902	+0	No	-$337	02-09 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.2K	2,551	2,551	+0	No	+$52	04-09 21:25
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	3	$1.1K	8,891	8,891	+0	No	-$860	04-13 23:51
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$1.1K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	+$310	03-29 01:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$1.1K	1,536	1,536	+0	Yes	+$120	03-23 16:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	11	$1.1K	8,793	8,793	+0	Yes	+$681	05-22 22:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$1.0K	7,246	7,246	+0	open	—	05-15 20:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$1.0K	14,051	14,051	+0	Yes	-$986	04-21 18:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$998	1,929	1,929	+0	open	—	05-16 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 13:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x1e84ed…
10-09 13:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xff000d…
09-20 12:36:55	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	283	1¢	$3	0x24c8b8…
09-20 12:34:18	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	283	2¢	$5	0xe592f8…
05-26 07:59:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	71	8¢	$6	0x2b9a21…
05-26 07:48:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x952c8d…
05-25 21:51:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	103	6¢	$6	0x4ba9c4…
05-25 21:43:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	103	38¢	$39	0x3b4112…
05-25 21:33:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	630	6¢	$40	0x8b03a5…
05-25 09:31:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	630	1¢	$6	0x93c408…
05-24 06:25:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	5,688	0¢	$6	0xdfaa87…
05-23 20:45:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	376	2¢	$6	0x5ddbfe…
05-23 20:01:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	4,663	4¢	$180	0xf22320…
05-23 19:51:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x4a334b…
05-23 19:48:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xf01736…
05-23 19:45:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	371	3¢	$13	0xb8daef…
05-23 19:45:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xad44ab…
05-22 22:42:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	378	10¢	$38	0xf24db8…
05-22 22:41:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x7dd2ed…
05-22 22:41:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	3,000	10¢	$300	0x3db51b…
05-22 22:41:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	1,320	10¢	$132	0xa86664…
05-22 22:40:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xfa80e0…
05-22 22:39:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xf116f4…
05-22 22:39:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	3,338	10¢	$334	0x9e2fdc…
05-22 22:39:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x88085b…
05-22 22:38:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	500	10¢	$50	0x764795…
05-22 22:38:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	245	10¢	$26	0x4e6d9a…
05-22 18:34:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	8,793	2¢	$200	0xc8a4d1…
05-17 10:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x53f903…
05-17 10:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x76b66f…
05-17 10:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,142	9¢	$100	0xd89605…
05-17 10:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6ed3ef…
05-16 21:29:43	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x659159…
05-16 18:52:58	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,471	7¢	$100	0x6bb747…
05-16 11:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	552	18¢	$100	0xbc41cb…
05-16 11:15:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,929	31¢	$598	0x0f1473…
05-15 20:26:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,246	7¢	$522	0x06acf9…
05-12 11:19:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	17,977	0¢	$85	0x57b8d8…
05-12 11:17:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	25,714	1¢	$180	0xdc1aae…
05-11 19:15:19	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	1,899	5¢	$100	0xa98083…
05-10 18:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	622	32¢	$200	0xa1440c…
05-10 18:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	544	55¢	$300	0xb2563c…
05-10 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	704	6¢	$41	0xd0cd8b…
05-10 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	608	10¢	$59	0x86fe1f…
05-10 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	984	54¢	$535	0xd138bd…
05-10 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	115	56¢	$65	0x8fb198…
05-10 18:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	597	39¢	$231	0x789436…
05-10 18:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	571	47¢	$269	0x729734…
05-10 18:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	328	49¢	$160	0xe175a5…
05-10 18:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	658	38¢	$248	0x9257a2…
05-10 18:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	661	29¢	$192	0x0958aa…
05-10 18:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	508	58¢	$294	0x4df50e…
05-10 18:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,372	51¢	$696	0x9a2de0…
05-10 18:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	504	42¢	$210	0x8f7060…
05-10 18:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	568	54¢	$309	0x622e2b…
05-10 18:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,315	44¢	$582	0xce24c0…
05-10 18:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	643	48¢	$309	0x5800ad…
05-10 18:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	608	30¢	$181	0xa725b4…
05-10 18:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	475	53¢	$254	0xae2703…
05-10 18:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	494	50¢	$246	0x7f5cda…
05-10 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	506	20¢	$100	0x05fcdd…
05-10 18:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	375	47¢	$178	0xe67ebd…
05-10 18:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	806	50¢	$400	0x7f2d44…
05-10 18:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	978	10¢	$101	0xf896f6…
05-10 18:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	340	12¢	$41	0x209c2a…
05-10 18:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	827	16¢	$133	0xf1e08a…
05-10 18:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	806	21¢	$167	0xeaa307…
05-10 18:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	916	22¢	$203	0x888f62…
05-10 18:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	659	18¢	$119	0x294bae…
05-10 18:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	879	36¢	$320	0x955c61…
05-10 18:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x272d3b…
05-10 18:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	613	16¢	$100	0x7b42b6…
05-10 18:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x50bf84…
05-10 18:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	236	36¢	$86	0xf01511…
05-10 18:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x63e33a…
05-10 13:45:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,929	21¢	$400	0xef5bab…
05-10 13:39:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,246	7¢	$500	0xa65f3e…
05-08 21:03:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	15,180	2¢	$284	0x2e51f4…
05-08 18:11:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	14,851	3¢	$400	0x2b5cee…
05-08 12:59:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	329	2¢	$7	0xc12312…
04-22 12:24:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	419	52¢	$218	0x88b068…
04-22 12:24:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6,872	2¢	$152	0xc01960…
04-22 12:24:10	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,644	3¢	$66	0xf76956…
04-21 18:13:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,635	3¢	$169	0x312ba3…
04-21 18:12:50	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	14,051	0¢	$14	0x51dcd1…
04-20 22:22:52	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	10,128	2¢	$155	0xb35526…
04-19 17:12:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	4,435	11¢	$500	0x4044d5…
04-19 17:12:22	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	3,572	14¢	$500	0x35d02f…
04-19 17:11:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,316	8¢	$100	0x5c4e74…
04-19 15:37:00	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,370	7¢	$100	0xb65fdb…
04-19 07:07:44	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	764	13¢	$100	0xcf8e8f…
04-19 06:41:38	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	932	11¢	$100	0xaf6840…
04-19 06:37:06	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	966	10¢	$100	0xcfcc6e…
04-18 14:35:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	89	15¢	$13	0x055be2…
04-18 11:29:52	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4,780	10¢	$500	0xaee7ad…
04-18 11:28:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	9,615	5¢	$500	0x1c3fb3…
04-18 11:27:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	1,242	12¢	$152	0x007a8b…
04-18 11:27:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	10,538	9¢	$1,000	0x58743b…
04-18 11:27:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,331	15¢	$200	0x631753…
04-16 23:28:18	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	12,978	6¢	$805	0x034d39…