Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-26 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 86% -$9

Other

40% 100% +$1

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	10-26 09:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3000 on january 6	1	$97	97	+97	Yes	+$0	01-06 08:05
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 5 11	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	01-10 08:03
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$94	94	+94	Yes	+$0	01-16 01:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 19	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	01-19 08:24
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 620 639	1	$92	93	+93	No	+$0	01-27 09:09
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	01-23 08:34
bitcoin above 82k on february 8	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	02-07 09:53
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	06-01 11:17
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-15 03:51
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-28 08:32
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-01 03:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-11 02:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-23 01:48
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-06 10:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-27 02:25
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-30 03:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-07 09:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-13 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-15 09:22
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	1	$89	90	+90	No	+$0	03-11 03:06
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-07 09:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 11	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	04-11 11:03
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	03-05 02:13
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-02 08:54
bitcoin above 72k on february 13	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	02-13 11:02
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-29 08:26
bitcoin above 80k on march 26	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-25 02:13
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-21 11:14
bitcoin above 80k on april 16	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-16 07:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-30 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:31:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2c2778…
09-26 14:20:54	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc3b21b…
08-05 12:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xff1911…
06-10 02:49:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xaf9b6f…
06-10 02:49:24	bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x83af0b…
06-06 10:52:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x472f28…
06-01 11:17:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x573a32…
05-30 03:45:38	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x67c096…
05-27 02:25:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe7c37e…
05-23 01:48:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb61f3d…
05-15 09:22:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x22fab0…
05-13 07:40:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbd2663…
05-11 02:28:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x01129f…
05-07 09:17:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xeb8add…
04-30 07:47:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x02185c…
04-26 03:23:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x2d6ced…
04-26 03:23:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1713a…
04-26 03:22:54	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x191d25…
04-21 11:14:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x0567bc…
04-21 11:14:04	Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd6b62…
04-21 11:13:56	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14cf40…
04-16 07:08:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x3505b0…
04-16 07:08:34	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6852f6…
04-16 07:08:24	highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 96forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf0e18…
04-16 07:08:04	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a49a1…
04-11 11:03:45	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xaa9fc4…
04-07 09:17:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x40a309…
04-02 08:54:39	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xee1014…
03-29 08:26:36	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xce6b5a…
03-25 02:13:27	bitcoin above 80k on march 26	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xed3621…
03-19 09:14:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xe7d5ff…
03-19 09:14:49	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x7c8110…
03-15 03:51:25	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x210797…
03-11 03:06:17	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x4d15be…
03-05 02:13:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x0a78e8…
03-05 02:13:43	will zai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec139c…
03-05 02:00:05	will hoppers opening weekend box office be less than 22m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc59c4f…
02-28 08:32:05	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfcfdac…
02-13 11:02:07	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3917e9…
02-13 11:01:45	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x508874…
02-13 11:01:29	will meituan have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27f2ba…
02-13 11:00:59	will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60f55d…
02-07 09:53:37	bitcoin above 82k on february 8	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x89173b…
02-01 03:50:50	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb05277…
02-01 03:50:38	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0x02b27c…
02-01 03:48:42	will melania opening weekend box office be less than 1pt5m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x02ad01…
01-27 09:09:01	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 620 639	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x809058…
01-23 08:34:28	will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x695dfb…
01-23 08:32:58	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	No	BUY	1,700	0¢	$3	0x77d933…
01-19 08:24:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 19	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xff3bb9…
01-19 08:24:08	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 215 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a3b69…
01-19 08:23:52	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ab1ac…
01-16 01:57:40	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x01672b…
01-16 01:57:26	will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc6203…
01-16 01:57:18	will whatnot shop sell collect be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57df7c…
01-10 08:03:00	will bitcoin dip to 80k january 5 11	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x725aec…
01-10 08:02:42	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc606a9…
01-10 08:02:30	bitcoin up or down on january 10	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6e0459…
01-10 08:02:18	bitcoin above 94k on january 10	Yes	BUY	1,700	0¢	$3	0x06ef71…
01-06 08:05:07	ethereum above 3000 on january 6	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x33bf6f…
01-06 08:04:51	elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 50 59	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b36bd…
01-06 08:04:39	elon musk of tweets january 2026 520 539	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb39988…