Cruel-Abbey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-30 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

30% 100% +$2

Crypto

20% 100% +$12

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$149	172	+172	open	—	05-16 09:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$106	113	+113	open	—	05-18 23:56
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$92	103	+103	Yes	+$11	05-04 20:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	05-30 12:11
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$71	71	+71	open	—	05-12 09:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$68	71	+71	No	+$2	05-09 23:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$67	67	+67	open	—	04-23 17:30
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$66	67	+67	open	—	05-25 16:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$65	66	+66	open	—	05-21 07:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$64	64	+64	open	—	04-27 22:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$55	67	+67	open	—	04-21 04:01
gc settle 4975 5100 jan 2026	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	01-06 11:36
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	01-07 05:16
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	01-24 17:56
will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$11	12	+12	open	—	03-31 03:30
amzn above 290 on january 30 2026	2	$11	11	+11	open	—	01-22 23:04
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	01-08 11:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	3	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-09 14:40
googl above 280 on february 27 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-21 06:35
aapl above 300 on february 27 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-21 08:14
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	2	$9	9	+9	open	—	05-14 19:13
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-23 23:04
aapl above 230 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-10 17:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-09 23:01
amzn above 170 on january 30 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-11 23:54
amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	3	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-08 14:01
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	01-12 17:02
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	03-24 15:04
will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-25 19:28
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-23 04:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:11:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$88	0x592649…
05-25 16:07:57	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0x804a25…
05-21 07:37:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x32ad0e…
05-18 23:56:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	113	94¢	$106	0x73bf56…
05-16 09:59:22	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	87¢	$149	0x36ef48…
05-14 19:13:56	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc946d5…
05-12 09:48:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xa4e445…
05-09 23:47:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0xa000eb…
05-09 23:01:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95ec70…
05-09 21:47:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x048338…
05-09 14:40:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7f7d3c…
05-09 05:38:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x008e20…
05-08 20:52:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x887162…
05-07 15:50:54	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x656941…
05-06 15:55:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x83f66d…
05-05 14:36:04	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0e6899…
05-04 20:16:40	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb7ee91…
05-04 12:43:12	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbd4114…
05-04 01:22:26	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	88	87¢	$77	0xf5d89c…
05-03 20:52:50	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x294a4a…
05-03 20:35:30	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xff69a4…
05-03 04:11:36	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd92646…
05-03 01:12:38	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc876e3…
04-27 22:07:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0xe05771…
04-27 14:01:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c8ad8…
04-26 03:57:42	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x36d608…
04-23 17:30:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0x9729bd…
04-21 11:41:28	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75ad4a…
04-21 04:01:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	67	82¢	$55	0xa5b763…
04-19 00:14:42	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa04f6f…
04-18 17:09:30	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x41d416…
04-18 12:42:10	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x1cf31d…
04-18 06:20:16	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04d89a…
04-17 05:28:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe075f0…
04-15 20:30:30	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd389c5…
04-15 13:35:16	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x17c060…
04-14 15:11:23	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89165f…
04-13 21:18:31	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa63937…
04-12 09:43:21	Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x653ba7…
04-11 13:04:03	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbc34ab…
04-11 11:33:41	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0f3ed6…
04-11 04:44:37	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x41a90c…
04-10 13:21:29	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x901408…
04-08 12:37:15	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf153fa…
04-07 10:55:31	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb92ed1…
04-06 16:37:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x534736…
04-06 15:57:13	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x596b2a…
03-31 03:30:47	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb45f1…
03-29 13:57:48	nflx above 80 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x74e662…
03-29 12:06:20	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f0348…
03-27 22:12:35	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x611aa7…
03-27 19:05:59	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x858a2e…
03-27 09:11:39	pltr above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c49eb…
03-27 01:40:53	will bnb dip to 300 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4be2c1…
03-27 00:37:57	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x96501f…
03-26 23:39:49	will xrp reach 2pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x75c315…
03-26 07:46:07	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7b3003…
03-25 19:28:41	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f74b0…
03-24 15:04:09	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x91d95f…
03-23 22:10:55	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1fa854…
03-23 20:36:45	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99cd53…
03-23 10:50:43	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c19d9…
03-23 03:15:59	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3d1a94…
03-22 00:33:57	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f1b76…
03-21 14:37:03	meta above 760 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcd3057…
03-21 03:50:31	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7f4793…
03-12 07:01:49	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x29a455…
03-12 03:39:53	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e16c6…
03-11 22:12:27	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49934b…
03-11 13:02:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6b6882…
03-10 06:02:47	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4c5adc…
03-10 04:41:41	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7f22b9…
03-10 03:56:05	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xea8dc1…
03-09 11:19:13	will xrp reach 2pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x91562f…
03-08 14:01:09	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x35d35f…
03-08 07:25:19	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b17db…
03-08 07:16:27	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa996d2…
03-07 08:17:57	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x649b87…
03-07 04:31:05	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa3333f…
03-07 02:31:33	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe62810…
03-06 23:08:57	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x21cce4…
03-06 20:23:29	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b90d2…
03-06 12:20:29	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9879fb…
03-06 10:12:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6f27f8…
03-06 03:43:11	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x173eeb…
03-05 17:32:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9a87b…
03-05 17:12:17	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf8eb3d…
03-05 13:38:29	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x559813…
03-05 06:21:01	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5fe83d…
03-05 05:15:35	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd49d98…
03-04 23:17:05	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9174eb…
03-04 22:22:29	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe1a26e…
03-04 09:23:25	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x391d65…
02-24 17:22:02	will solana reach 180 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f852c…
02-24 16:49:24	will solana reach 190 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd58a9f…
02-24 10:22:42	msft above 510 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4b36d8…
02-24 04:05:00	msft above 480 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4cbaaf…
02-24 02:42:20	meta above 820 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5bb5f…
02-23 23:04:52	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8ab74…
02-23 12:56:58	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xecc4a1…