Close-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$96

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	+8	$8	99¢	$8	+$0	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	+8	$8	99¢	$8	+$0	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	+8	$8	92¢	$7	$-1	05-06 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	+7	$7	56¢	$4	$-3	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	+5	$4	62¢	$3	$-1	05-06 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa4a223…
05-06 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7dff4d…
05-06 00:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x753635…
05-06 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb7869b…
05-06 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3c566a…
05-05 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x97e1ad…
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd0b7a6…
05-05 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x679929…
05-05 20:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x97d8f0…
05-05 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x559ac6…
05-05 03:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xfe7d93…
05-04 20:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6fdbd8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$4.17K	62	05-06 00:49
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$1.18K	75	05-06 00:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$1.05K	96	05-06 00:49
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	10	$1.31K	232	05-06 00:49
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	10	$1.09K	159	05-06 00:49
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	9	$833	56	05-06 00:44
Noisy-Death 0x2eb8…310f	8	$2.24K	8	05-06 00:49
Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6	8	$1.65K	25	05-06 00:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$16	17	+17	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-06 00:09