Close-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

23 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$137

$137 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	+8	$8	99¢	$8	+$0	05-06 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	+6	$6	78¢	$5	$-1	05-06 05:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$16	17	+17	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-06 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcb3e47…
05-06 05:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1898f4…
05-06 05:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x080721…
05-06 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a191b…
05-06 03:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x12d12a…
05-06 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4d2aaf…
05-06 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9227b7…
05-06 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x628bbb…
05-06 02:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb7e45f…
05-06 01:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7f1fe5…
05-06 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xbc241b…
05-06 00:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa4a223…
05-06 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7dff4d…
05-06 00:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x753635…
05-06 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb7869b…
05-06 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3c566a…
05-05 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x97e1ad…
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd0b7a6…
05-05 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x679929…
05-05 20:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x97d8f0…
05-05 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x559ac6…
05-05 03:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xfe7d93…
05-04 20:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6fdbd8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	23	$631	100	05-06 05:35
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$2.63K	158	05-06 05:40
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$13.9K	98	05-06 05:35
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	20	$1.78K	163	05-06 05:35
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	20	$635	69	05-06 05:39
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	19	$2.05K	375	05-06 05:35
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	19	$1.77K	45	05-06 05:35
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	19	$658	41	05-06 05:39