Close-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$175

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$16	17	+17	Down	+$1	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Down	+$0	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Up	+$0	05-06 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	Down	+$0	05-06 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	Down	+$0	05-06 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	Down	+$0	05-06 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	Up	+$0	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	Down	+$0	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-06 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	Down	+$0	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-06 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-06 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Up	+$1	05-06 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	$-3	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-06 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 06:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x918fb1…
05-06 06:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x12907d…
05-06 06:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xf95d26…
05-06 06:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x33f80e…
05-06 06:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x89fda1…
05-06 05:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcb3e47…
05-06 05:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1898f4…
05-06 05:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x080721…
05-06 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a191b…
05-06 03:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x12d12a…
05-06 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4d2aaf…
05-06 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9227b7…
05-06 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x628bbb…
05-06 02:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb7e45f…
05-06 01:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7f1fe5…
05-06 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xbc241b…
05-06 00:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa4a223…
05-06 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7dff4d…
05-06 00:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x753635…
05-06 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb7869b…
05-06 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3c566a…
05-05 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x97e1ad…
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd0b7a6…
05-05 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x679929…
05-05 20:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x97d8f0…
05-05 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x559ac6…
05-05 03:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xfe7d93…
05-04 20:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6fdbd8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	28	$727	117	05-06 06:53
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	27	$5.49K	221	05-06 06:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	26	$16.5K	117	05-06 06:54
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	25	$2.07K	189	05-06 06:54
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	25	$779	87	05-06 06:54
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	24	$2.55K	57	05-06 06:54
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	24	$2.41K	442	05-06 06:54
Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4	24	$830	84	05-06 06:54