Pristine-Contingency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$99

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-01 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-4

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Sports

14% 50% +$2

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-2	$-1	100¢	$-2	$-2	05-31 00:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+4	$1	18¢	$1	$-0	06-01 17:54
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	48¢	$1	$-0	06-01 17:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	6	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	$-0	05-04 18:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 20:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 19:21
Set Handicap: Garin (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5)	1	$4	9	0	+9	Choinski	$-4	05-04 20:56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$4	4	4	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	$-0	05-04 20:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 01:29
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5	2	$4	5	5	+0	Under	$-0	05-05 10:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 18:03
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 15:21
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 13:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 01:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 13:38
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	1	$2	4	0	+4	San Diego Padres	+$2	05-05 12:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 16:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 16:48
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 16:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 15:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 17:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-24 15:02
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 13:48
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 13:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-24 15:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 17:52
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-24 15:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-24 20:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 17:21
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 17:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-27 17:36
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	04-27 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:54:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0af380…
06-01 17:52:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x89f031…
06-01 17:44:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x01be9b…
06-01 17:24:37	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7ea894…
06-01 17:21:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x9f6773…
06-01 17:13:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7917fc…
06-01 16:52:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6ba9d8…
06-01 16:51:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdfe257…
06-01 16:48:34	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x9c46c0…
06-01 16:48:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x475dfe…
06-01 16:48:32	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x3ac57e…
06-01 16:48:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xa1e90a…
06-01 16:38:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe793b4…
06-01 16:37:01	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcbbd3d…
06-01 16:36:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x516385…
06-01 16:36:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xdceca3…
06-01 16:36:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x602012…
05-31 00:27:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xf19d00…
05-27 17:36:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$1	0x125113…
05-26 13:12:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xbeda6e…
05-25 22:39:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3d867e…
05-25 13:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdcb758…
05-25 03:03:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5f7b02…
05-25 01:43:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5b8345…
05-24 20:44:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x15b330…
05-24 18:16:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x755684…
05-24 18:03:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xac1e7c…
05-24 17:56:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb926df…
05-24 16:10:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2d27e0…
05-24 15:41:39	Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xb58215…
05-24 15:41:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6d7f5d…
05-24 15:34:50	Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6b20fc…
05-24 15:21:13	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x008545…
05-24 15:14:25	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x4b9ef0…
05-24 15:04:47	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd3371f…
05-24 15:02:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2fe014…
05-24 15:02:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xbbea99…
05-24 14:53:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5eae24…
05-24 14:52:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x06644a…
05-21 17:57:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1fca40…
05-21 17:51:45	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xf851e9…
05-21 17:21:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xd64b4b…
05-21 17:17:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf55907…
05-21 17:08:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x60a841…
05-19 15:00:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x60527c…
05-19 14:57:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb0c4bf…
05-19 13:48:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x4fa746…
05-19 13:45:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x93141e…
05-19 13:38:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x891b7d…
05-19 13:35:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3afe44…
05-19 01:29:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x14b670…
05-19 01:26:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x37cd77…
05-19 01:20:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x96b1fb…
05-19 01:17:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xff8395…
05-15 19:21:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x5a3d3d…
05-15 13:05:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6bd408…
05-15 12:39:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x182552…
05-15 12:35:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x16e9bf…
05-05 12:02:52	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Diego Padres	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5d5f35…
05-05 10:34:28	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x39e9a4…
05-05 10:30:24	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa90c9c…
05-04 20:56:56	Set Handicap: Garin (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5)	Garin	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xbe1738…
05-04 20:47:40	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x2bd3c8…
05-04 20:44:02	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfb963c…
05-04 18:43:02	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa19d81…
05-04 18:42:56	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6e2598…
04-28 10:13:26	Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3528d7…
04-28 09:33:10	Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngold	Ekaterina Reyngold	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x77d84f…
04-27 20:01:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x89500a…
04-27 17:18:34	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd72617…
04-27 15:43:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x6756f6…
04-27 11:37:08	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x558c9f…
04-27 07:07:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x337f29…
04-26 19:59:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa19c9d…
04-26 19:25:32	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x17ab31…
04-25 19:07:02	Málaga CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc88900…
04-25 19:07:00	FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb7e038…
04-25 19:07:00	Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Alexander Bublik	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x773411…
04-25 19:06:58	Will AS Saint-Étienne vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb0b2a5…
04-25 16:44:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3f821d…
04-25 16:10:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb0c917…
04-25 16:10:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90ed09…
04-24 19:05:26	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc278cc…
04-24 19:03:22	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x542755…
04-24 19:03:18	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xefa366…
04-24 19:01:56	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x4eaa28…
04-24 18:59:40	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x120737…
04-23 09:45:10	lol lgd edg 2026 04 23	LGD Gaming	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xef1db8…