Subdued-Article — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-13 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-2

Sports

41% 0% $-0

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-54	$-52	98¢	$-53	$-1	05-27 21:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	13	$1.7K	901	901	+0	open	—	04-11 11:55
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$1.1K	587	587	-0	Yes	$-2	03-24 21:20
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$853	449	449	+0	open	—	03-31 00:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$808	421	421	+0	open	—	03-31 19:20
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$719	371	371	+0	open	—	03-27 03:14
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$703	373	373	+0	open	—	03-28 13:11
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$679	353	353	+0	open	—	04-24 18:30
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	6	$576	295	295	+0	open	—	04-09 03:23
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$476	245	245	+0	open	—	04-07 17:14
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$466	242	242	+0	No	$-0	04-05 23:37
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$400	204	204	+0	open	—	03-13 04:08
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$395	204	204	+0	open	—	03-12 04:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 21:49
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	13	$387	205	205	-0	open	—	03-15 04:31
2026 the players championship winner rory mcilroy win	4	$384	201	201	+0	open	—	03-11 14:13
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$383	201	201	+0	open	—	03-16 20:35
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$379	194	194	+0	open	—	03-15 13:46
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$363	186	186	+0	open	—	03-22 05:48
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$355	183	183	+0	open	—	03-22 15:04
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$352	182	182	+0	open	—	03-29 21:51
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$351	181	181	+0	open	—	03-30 09:31
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$347	182	182	+0	open	—	03-26 01:14
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$347	178	178	+0	open	—	03-27 22:29
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$343	176	176	+0	open	—	03-29 15:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$336	172	172	+0	open	—	03-28 06:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	4	$233	121	121	+0	open	—	05-24 06:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$214	118	118	+0	open	—	05-17 10:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	6	$193	101	101	-0	open	—	05-15 01:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$190	105	105	+0	open	—	05-16 11:07
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$126	65	65	+0	open	—	05-10 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 16:24:22	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0x6cfec7…
06-13 08:30:27	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3a8f22…
06-13 08:18:49	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xad759a…
06-12 15:19:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	63	90¢	$57	0x20f67c…
06-12 09:17:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0x0cf930…
06-12 02:49:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x45ed65…
06-11 20:45:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x9d4886…
06-10 21:27:22	mlb lad pit 2026 06 10 spread home 3pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0x3cd52c…
06-09 08:24:55	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0x011416…
06-07 09:28:31	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x43820e…
06-07 08:59:39	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x5f3ce2…
06-07 08:59:39	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x47833d…
06-06 17:09:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x958d53…
06-06 09:05:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	54	95¢	$52	0x351511…
06-02 21:43:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x010239…
06-02 14:41:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5099d8…
05-27 21:34:56	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xee6630…
05-24 11:25:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xd23b81…
05-24 07:21:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x7c4aa4…
05-24 06:49:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	68	95¢	$64	0x676937…
05-24 00:49:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x6ed146…
05-22 00:40:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0x2148fe…
05-21 18:39:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0x07aea0…
05-18 02:42:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x060557…
05-17 18:39:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xb96830…
05-17 10:28:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xdb7193…
05-17 06:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x20f57d…
05-17 05:54:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	90¢	$52	0x8ee285…
05-16 22:53:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$52	0xfb7151…
05-16 11:07:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	52	90¢	$46	0x291c2e…
05-16 10:49:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x0f74b4…
05-16 10:18:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0xb014dd…
05-16 10:02:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xf37cfe…
05-15 06:35:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xb1ea9d…
05-15 01:08:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xb157ce…
05-15 01:02:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xb917c1…
05-14 17:57:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xcd0975…
05-14 12:41:46	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	59	91¢	$53	0x851412…
05-14 05:41:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	59	92¢	$54	0xab0fa3…
05-13 02:36:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x19842b…
05-12 17:26:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9fc69e…
05-12 17:04:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x42a3b7…
05-12 16:00:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x3bbe4c…
05-10 08:03:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xd48cf8…
05-10 03:00:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x6008b7…
05-04 05:02:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xf0041d…
05-03 21:52:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x05fcf9…
04-24 18:30:50	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	172	97¢	$166	0x15424b…
04-24 13:24:28	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	172	97¢	$166	0x047a81…
04-20 22:21:28	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x55aa3a…
04-20 16:26:30	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xc7f5eb…
04-16 13:58:14	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0xea3b58…
04-16 04:45:46	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x9c2bbf…
04-14 08:53:11	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x37f953…
04-13 22:04:19	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x82b8ed…
04-13 19:59:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x0dd33d…
04-13 10:26:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x8a4a3e…
04-11 11:55:53	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xe29db8…
04-11 07:39:33	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$47	0xeaa90e…
04-10 23:50:31	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x354c55…
04-10 18:35:11	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x246c97…
04-10 02:13:41	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x6ddbeb…
04-09 20:12:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x7ff47b…
04-09 07:45:45	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0xe5c017…
04-09 03:57:11	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x769566…
04-09 03:27:35	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x60551d…
04-09 03:23:21	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xe3b315…
04-08 20:22:51	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xb82b15…
04-08 20:16:55	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x9cca66…
04-08 14:15:49	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xd2ad72…
04-08 09:48:57	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0xb1f981…
04-08 05:42:21	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$48	0x2f4792…
04-08 05:31:19	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x559543…
04-08 00:28:59	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb82d8d…
04-08 00:25:27	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x154c98…
04-07 17:14:31	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0xf99efc…
04-07 11:13:29	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xf3e6f2…
04-07 11:10:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x2e094d…
04-07 07:07:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbb462b…
04-06 20:04:27	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x831573…
04-06 15:01:57	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xe04941…
04-05 23:37:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x368d46…
04-05 18:27:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x85d581…
04-05 18:23:05	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x4f556c…
04-05 10:22:23	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xff58c1…
04-05 01:44:49	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xf18c39…
04-04 20:34:57	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x6fc649…
04-04 20:24:55	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$60	0xef6dfc…
04-04 13:23:09	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0xaba178…
03-31 19:20:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x4a3f44…
03-31 11:01:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xb1bf85…
03-31 00:12:23	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0x5a524c…
03-30 18:06:05	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x58d9e9…
03-30 09:31:34	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	181	97¢	$176	0xac06d3…
03-29 22:12:44	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	181	97¢	$175	0x0abd58…
03-29 21:51:50	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	182	97¢	$176	0x15ffdb…
03-29 15:50:40	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x8b7d3a…
03-29 15:49:50	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x0645ee…
03-29 15:31:06	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	176	97¢	$172	0x2b7fdb…
03-29 07:27:42	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	176	97¢	$171	0x7c86db…