Glistening-Naming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$297

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

303

Trades

2,090

lifetime

Volume

$85.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$919

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-26 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Politics

59% 55% +$1,164

Other

41% 67% +$2,923

Sports

0% 33% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+1,316	$380	38¢	$494	+$113	10-25 08:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	+325	$37	86¢	$277	+$240	10-25 03:27
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	+193	$39	40¢	$77	+$38	10-15 21:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+330	$93	11¢	$35	-$58	08-07 19:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	+400	$32	6¢	$24	-$8	10-05 08:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	+242	$40	5¢	$12	-$28	10-26 01:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	122	$7.5K	9,091	9,091	+0	Yes	+$69	03-12 15:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	15	$2.8K	2,589	2,589	+0	Yes	+$44	04-10 02:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	7	$2.3K	1,225	1,225	+0	No	+$61	06-14 22:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?	50	$2.0K	1,545	1,545	+0	No	+$723	09-11 18:30
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	7	$1.8K	1,744	1,744	+0	Yes	+$738	06-14 18:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$1.7K	930	930	+0	No	+$72	05-16 07:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$1.7K	1,145	1,145	+0	Yes	-$159	06-14 22:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	35	$1.6K	2,661	2,661	+0	No	-$180	03-29 21:25
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$1.6K	980	980	+0	No	+$210	06-19 15:33
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	34	$1.5K	2,144	2,151	-7	No	-$63	04-09 18:01
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	31	$1.5K	1,912	1,599	+313	Yes	+$683	07-19 12:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	23	$1.4K	1,054	1,054	+0	Yes	+$47	03-17 14:29
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	18	$1.4K	764	764	+0	Yes	+$51	04-10 12:51
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	55	$1.3K	2,135	2,135	+0	No	-$305	07-01 14:11
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	5	$1.3K	718	718	+0	No	+$19	04-11 07:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	21	$1.3K	777	777	+0	No	+$72	03-31 22:00
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	16	$1.2K	971	971	+0	Yes	+$74	07-01 14:12
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	36	$1.2K	3,977	3,977	+0	No	+$395	07-13 19:35
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	19	$1.2K	2,296	2,296	+0	No	+$258	05-27 15:02
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	26	$1.1K	1,888	1,888	+0	No	+$42	07-31 22:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	17	$1.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	Yes	-$151	07-31 22:27
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	22	$977	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	10-21 02:02
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	14	$944	620	620	+0	No	+$26	07-03 08:47
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	15	$937	2,643	2,643	+0	Yes	+$233	07-11 16:46
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	16	$899	1,120	1,120	+0	No	+$132	09-28 13:48
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	15	$837	709	709	+0	No	+$2	03-14 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$824	981	981	+0	No	+$32	04-21 20:16
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	35	$741	1,164	1,164	+0	No	+$84	06-27 07:06
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	6	$730	537	237	+300	No	+$40	05-22 21:17
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	7	$720	500	500	+0	No	+$8	06-10 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:33:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x5d7e69…
10-26 11:02:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xe570a2…
10-26 09:50:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x59ede9…
10-26 09:47:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7e8836…
10-26 08:46:45	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xbd6cb8…
10-26 08:46:44	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0xb91cb3…
10-26 01:56:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc87570…
10-26 01:16:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb39e37…
10-26 01:11:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x257052…
10-26 00:17:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x327a8b…
10-26 00:17:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0xb7f76c…
10-26 00:12:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xe3a75c…
10-26 00:01:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xe6bc48…
10-26 00:00:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x411724…
10-26 00:00:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe72b60…
10-25 14:13:48	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x790a46…
10-25 12:00:38	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x5798f8…
10-25 12:00:35	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xf3e475…
10-25 12:00:35	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x6e58fe…
10-25 12:00:35	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x186682…
10-25 08:19:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	130	28¢	$36	0xfd0eae…
10-25 04:08:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xb0feec…
10-25 04:08:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x7f4ed5…
10-25 04:07:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xfaa9e5…
10-25 04:07:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x673722…
10-25 03:34:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x7e74e8…
10-25 03:34:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x400a82…
10-25 03:33:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x01e219…
10-25 03:27:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x2576cd…
10-25 00:39:02	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x2c64f1…
10-24 23:39:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x8e0003…
10-24 22:35:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	760	1¢	$6	0x3cc537…
10-24 22:31:45	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	26	67¢	$18	0x14fde3…
10-24 22:25:57	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xcadbc1…
10-24 22:23:27	Will BNG win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xf69673…
10-24 22:22:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x4af181…
10-24 22:21:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x976c0d…
10-24 22:21:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x8d0e4a…
10-24 22:20:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	45	76¢	$35	0xaf3ace…
10-24 22:19:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	103	77¢	$79	0x5bd563…
10-24 22:14:05	Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?	No	SELL	180	74¢	$133	0x129d79…
10-23 22:25:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa76269…
10-23 22:18:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x6f3b87…
10-23 22:17:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x9bbd03…
10-23 17:43:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0xf22f9d…
10-23 17:33:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc03b96…
10-23 17:33:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x1f7c2b…
10-23 17:33:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x3318a9…
10-23 17:33:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x148fee…
10-23 17:16:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x576eb5…
10-23 16:46:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xa7be45…
10-23 16:43:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0x5681d5…
10-23 15:22:50	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	10¢	$6	0xd0c941…
10-23 14:36:38	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x52f4e9…
10-23 14:33:15	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xa74c9e…
10-23 14:19:54	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0xdec06d…
10-23 13:03:39	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	10¢	$5	0x7bfb7e…
10-23 12:00:05	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb2fa3f…
10-23 11:46:18	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x2a7fc1…
10-23 11:03:29	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x72f61e…
10-22 14:32:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xa8b377…
10-22 14:20:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa6bbd5…
10-22 14:18:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x25f54e…
10-22 10:20:38	Will BNG win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0xc68739…
10-22 00:20:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x102908…
10-21 22:55:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0x5b0cce…
10-21 22:50:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x4b6986…
10-21 22:48:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xe4081b…
10-21 22:47:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x2eb722…
10-21 22:40:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x1a7a6e…
10-21 22:31:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$16	0x9722e8…
10-21 22:20:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x309dac…
10-21 21:03:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x06618e…
10-21 21:03:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x5782bb…
10-21 20:34:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	120	33¢	$40	0x9342eb…
10-21 20:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc9c061…
10-21 20:19:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0xd5a6b1…
10-21 20:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x7fc962…
10-21 20:11:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	80	48¢	$38	0x645dda…
10-21 20:11:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0x4b8b9d…
10-21 20:11:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	130	38¢	$49	0x4df0d3…
10-21 20:11:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	280	64¢	$178	0x4b7e53…
10-21 20:10:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x70e3e0…
10-21 20:10:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	125	36¢	$45	0x52a6e2…
10-21 20:10:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xce78a4…
10-21 20:10:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	221	35¢	$77	0x34157f…
10-21 20:10:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xbd89ef…
10-21 20:09:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x606463…
10-21 18:49:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x149374…
10-21 18:18:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x69fe51…
10-21 18:07:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x61a928…
10-21 17:18:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x000c22…
10-21 16:15:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0xaf9d07…
10-21 16:09:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x33f6bf…
10-21 15:53:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xbfb8b1…
10-21 15:14:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xfd57b9…
10-21 15:14:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x727d5c…
10-21 13:48:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x8cbc82…
10-21 12:43:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x2c91a8…
10-21 12:43:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x7fb62a…