Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$49.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$463

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 03-08 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 63% -$123

Politics

15% 80% +$28

Other

9% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	7	$7.4K	4,256	3,203	+1,053	No	+$7	02-27 11:29
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	4	$4.2K	2,099	2,099	+0	No	-$2	02-26 13:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$2.3K	1,137	1,137	+0	No	-$1	02-13 01:58
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$2.2K	1,115	1,115	+0	No	+$1	02-14 02:01
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	-$1	02-24 01:43
ethereum above 1700 on february 13	2	$2.2K	1,103	1,103	+0	Yes	-$4	02-13 10:52
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$2.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	No	-$1	02-24 13:49
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	No	+$14	02-23 02:08
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	2	$2.1K	1,057	1,057	+0	No	-$6	02-25 06:49
bitcoin above 64k on february 14	2	$2.1K	1,051	1,051	+0	Yes	-$1	02-14 10:11
ethereum above 1900 on february 14	3	$2.1K	1,102	1,002	+100	Yes	-$3	02-14 13:34
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$2.1K	1,049	1,049	+0	No	-$1	02-25 13:05
ethereum above 2200 on february 16	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	No	-$2	02-16 10:56
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	-$1	02-23 14:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	-$1	02-15 05:37
bitcoin above 72k on february 13	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	-$1	02-13 04:16
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.0K	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$1	02-15 02:37
bitcoin above 64k on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	Yes	+$2	02-15 05:42
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	1	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	Yes	+$1	02-27 11:29
bitcoin above 60k on february 26	1	$1.0K	0	1,033	-1,033	Yes	-$2	02-26 05:20
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$1000	1,003	0	+1,003	No	+$3	02-16 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 15:00 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-13 15:11
bitcoin up or down february 13 5am et	2	$205	105	105	+0	Up	+$5	02-13 11:03
bitcoin up or down february 23 1am et	2	$200	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	02-23 07:28
bitcoin up or down february 13 9pm et	2	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	02-14 03:08
bitcoin up or down february 23 8pm et	2	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	02-24 02:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$79	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	02-11 06:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$79	45	45	+0	Yes	+$11	03-01 04:07
bitcoin up or down february 13 10pm et	2	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:05 UTC	1	$60	63	0	+63	Up	+$3	02-14 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-08 15:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0x92f9fe…
03-08 14:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfda555…
03-08 13:48:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x1a7c3b…
03-08 04:26:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa17991…
03-07 14:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x57f782…
03-07 11:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x301122…
03-07 08:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x6e3a90…
03-06 16:27:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x5de0ae…
03-06 05:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xeed748…
03-05 04:56:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x1ccf1b…
03-05 04:21:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x738aff…
03-04 12:35:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x8fb5e4…
03-04 04:42:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x68fb54…
03-04 04:22:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x500a23…
03-04 04:03:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xf09df8…
03-03 12:03:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xf2460b…
03-02 15:38:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xa32d18…
03-01 04:12:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x3e9a1b…
03-01 04:08:21	Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x0cf958…
03-01 04:07:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x2c096b…
02-28 15:44:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x4af7bb…
02-28 04:57:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xb3fdf4…
02-28 04:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x617f5e…
02-27 11:29:59	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0xdf3e96…
02-27 11:29:15	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	1,041	100¢	$1,038	0x893908…
02-26 13:49:56	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	1,041	99¢	$1,033	0xa934d2…
02-26 13:49:32	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,001	100¢	$999	0x9ab6cb…
02-26 05:24:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x182e47…
02-26 05:21:40	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xb6859b…
02-26 05:20:12	bitcoin above 60k on february 26	Yes	SELL	1,033	100¢	$1,031	0x06bdb1…
02-25 15:26:16	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	1,053	99¢	$1,046	0xba899e…
02-25 13:05:36	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	SELL	1,049	100¢	$1,046	0xfec693…
02-25 06:51:26	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	1,049	100¢	$1,047	0xaea52e…
02-25 06:49:16	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	No	SELL	1,057	99¢	$1,047	0xf65397…
02-25 02:41:20	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,053	0x20d714…
02-25 01:43:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xf5f311…
02-25 01:42:18	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	1,068	99¢	$1,060	0x8be09d…
02-24 13:49:56	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	1,068	99¢	$1,061	0x226f82…
02-24 13:49:04	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,064	100¢	$1,061	0x21f42c…
02-24 08:38:40	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0x19bf9e…
02-24 04:21:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x535f83…
02-24 04:21:28	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	1,093	99¢	$1,082	0xca7c54…
02-24 02:16:54	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	1,093	99¢	$1,086	0xd1e484…
02-24 02:15:50	bitcoin up or down february 23 8pm et	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x6a3f19…
02-24 01:44:20	bitcoin up or down february 23 8pm et	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa5c4c8…
02-24 01:43:48	Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xeef7db…
02-24 01:43:08	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,108	100¢	$1,106	0x7ab096…
02-23 14:30:56	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,108	100¢	$1,107	0x4e5d16…
02-23 14:24:40	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,008	100¢	$1,006	0x956109…
02-23 07:29:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x1034b1…
02-23 07:28:40	bitcoin up or down february 23 1am et	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0e1e17…
02-23 06:48:36	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,008	100¢	$1,007	0x38123a…
02-23 06:46:36	bitcoin up or down february 23 1am et	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xab58c6…
02-23 02:08:26	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	SELL	1,067	100¢	$1,064	0xe70872…
02-22 14:41:54	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	1,067	98¢	$1,050	0x4684e7…
02-16 15:27:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x99fe8b…
02-16 10:59:03	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xbe9b38…
02-16 10:56:57	ethereum above 2200 on february 16	No	SELL	1,023	100¢	$1,018	0x744dc6…
02-16 08:04:19	ethereum above 2200 on february 16	No	BUY	1,023	100¢	$1,020	0x3b7789…
02-16 07:53:53	bitcoin up or down february 16 2am et	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6596a2…
02-16 07:52:57	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,098	99¢	$1,091	0x9b691f…
02-16 06:34:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,098	99¢	$1,092	0xfcf2b4…
02-16 06:29:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7ae633…
02-15 05:42:19	bitcoin above 64k on february 15	Yes	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0xd67feb…
02-15 05:37:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,042	96¢	$999	0xbed662…
02-15 04:21:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x3d8705…
02-15 04:14:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe9170d…
02-15 02:41:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x03619b…
02-15 02:37:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,006	99¢	$999	0x6f330f…
02-14 13:34:59	ethereum above 1900 on february 14	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6b1ebb…
02-14 12:20:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0x556157…
02-14 11:56:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x313ffd…
02-14 11:55:11	ethereum above 1900 on february 14	Yes	SELL	1,002	99¢	$996	0x9cee16…
02-14 10:28:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xb9a38f…
02-14 10:13:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x554714…
02-14 10:12:47	ethereum above 1900 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x6b4552…
02-14 10:11:11	bitcoin above 64k on february 14	Yes	SELL	1,051	100¢	$1,049	0xb7ed05…
02-14 04:01:15	bitcoin up or down february 13 10pm et	Up	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x520bac…
02-14 03:54:29	bitcoin up or down february 13 10pm et	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x53599c…
02-14 03:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xa038cd…
02-14 03:08:35	bitcoin up or down february 13 9pm et	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x0dc075…
02-14 02:57:11	bitcoin up or down february 13 9pm et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5d3e60…
02-14 02:50:21	bitcoin above 64k on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,050	0x7927a1…
02-14 02:01:21	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	1,115	100¢	$1,111	0x38dd45…
02-13 15:32:45	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	1,115	100¢	$1,110	0x101c16…
02-13 15:11:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x8bfef1…
02-13 12:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x3f61a2…
02-13 11:03:07	bitcoin up or down february 13 5am et	Up	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x775c5a…
02-13 10:57:13	bitcoin up or down february 13 5am et	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x656da5…
02-13 10:52:35	ethereum above 1700 on february 13	Yes	SELL	1,103	99¢	$1,096	0x62d73e…
02-13 06:26:05	ethereum above 1700 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,100	0x3360fd…
02-13 06:13:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb9dc15…
02-13 04:16:27	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	SELL	1,001	100¢	$999	0x92c513…
02-13 02:42:19	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xf95611…
02-13 01:58:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,096	99¢	$1,089	0x906488…
02-12 23:31:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb4a153…
02-12 23:30:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xeb4589…
02-12 23:30:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x405182…
02-12 06:47:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0xca8942…
02-12 02:09:13	bitcoin up or down february 11 8pm et	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe8549e…