Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

1,359

Trades

5,386

lifetime

Volume

$97.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-20 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 43% +$3,467

Tech

13% 57% -$1,206

Politics

1% 0% -$537

Other

0% 0% -$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	25	$6.7K	3,569	3,569	+0	Yes	+$94	04-23 18:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:50 UTC	55	$2.7K	1,539	1,538	+1	Up	+$65	02-14 21:55
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	21	$2.1K	2,706	1,247	+1,459	Yes	-$1,044	06-30 17:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$1.2K	2,358	2,358	+0	Yes	-$528	02-28 19:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$30	04-27 11:36
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	Yes	+$20	04-16 14:24
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$963	807	807	+0	No	-$37	02-16 21:40
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	9	$946	1,331	1,331	+0	No	-$278	02-16 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 15:50 UTC	11	$778	782	551	+231	Down	+$128	02-14 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 19:55 UTC	34	$715	500	500	+0	Down	+$265	02-28 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:10 UTC	20	$610	500	492	+8	Up	+$186	03-01 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 15:40 UTC	40	$582	800	597	+203	Up	+$197	02-14 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:50 UTC	14	$578	480	473	+7	Down	+$186	02-16 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 00:25 UTC	25	$490	400	400	+0	Down	+$130	03-02 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:25 UTC	2	$481	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$481	06-30 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:10 UTC	10	$480	400	400	+0	Down	+$160	02-19 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:45 UTC	5	$468	400	394	+6	Down	+$126	03-01 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:40 UTC	1	$463	1,058	0	+1,058	Up	+$595	02-16 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 15:45 UTC	42	$460	600	397	+203	Down	+$59	02-14 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:00 UTC	6	$455	370	365	+5	Down	+$154	02-17 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:50 UTC	51	$441	600	400	+200	Up	-$1	03-01 16:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:55 UTC	2	$426	300	300	+0	Down	+$144	02-18 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:45 UTC	22	$402	300	300	+0	Down	+$122	02-18 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 19:15 UTC	22	$399	300	287	+13	Up	+$43	02-14 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:20 UTC	8	$394	300	296	+4	Down	+$172	02-18 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:35 UTC	11	$390	300	300	+0	Down	+$150	02-19 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:20 UTC	31	$390	300	300	+0	Up	+$180	02-18 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 19:00 UTC	11	$375	300	300	+0	Up	+$165	02-14 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:00 UTC	11	$351	300	297	+3	Up	+$186	02-19 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 09:20 UTC	3	$341	200	200	+0	Down	+$55	03-06 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 22:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe2407b…
10-20 19:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xebdf8d…
10-20 19:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x843e97…
10-20 19:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0xb17846…
10-20 19:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x2ff47b…
10-20 09:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd0cc48…
10-20 07:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x4b675f…
10-20 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x77f854…
10-20 07:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x0feebf…
10-20 04:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x8ef1f1…
10-20 04:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x3444f3…
10-20 04:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe6f3ce…
10-19 23:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xc5e898…
10-19 23:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	18¢	$7	0x1d20bf…
10-19 23:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x41c55f…
10-19 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xdc3e49…
10-18 11:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x9fa793…
10-18 11:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0xc8c490…
10-18 10:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xad0f61…
10-18 10:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x4f0a49…
10-18 09:05:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xcaad86…
10-18 08:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x966a2e…
10-18 08:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x9a0f9b…
10-18 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbbd51d…
10-18 08:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xbed849…
10-18 08:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0x711296…
10-18 08:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xaba7ca…
10-18 05:23:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xdd65cc…
10-18 05:22:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xf015a0…
10-18 05:22:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xddde44…
10-18 03:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xccfc64…
10-18 02:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0x6f5293…
10-18 02:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xf96dda…
10-18 02:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0xb530f0…
10-18 02:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xb5dbb4…
10-18 02:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x4a0825…
10-18 02:11:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x89b32d…
10-18 02:11:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xdfbe7a…
10-18 02:11:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x788b5e…
10-18 01:12:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x93f8ca…
10-18 01:12:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xfbc7fe…
10-18 01:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xac5a19…
10-18 00:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4c3837…
10-18 00:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x67f48b…
10-18 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3154ca…
10-18 00:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2fdc09…
10-18 00:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6eb5ff…
10-18 00:21:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xbc3583…
10-18 00:21:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x6b5418…
10-18 00:20:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x7a9570…
10-17 23:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xddba62…
10-17 23:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x4a09f7…
10-17 23:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x6a1fca…
10-17 23:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe6b484…
10-17 09:25:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xacad19…
10-17 09:25:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x2f28f8…
10-17 09:13:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x91e2da…
10-17 09:12:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xa16b2c…
10-17 09:12:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x0360dd…
10-17 09:12:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x90e019…
10-17 07:58:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9b3be1…
10-17 07:26:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x73a56f…
10-17 07:25:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	30¢	$9	0x260046…
10-17 07:25:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc00b80…
10-17 07:25:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x45fc47…
10-17 07:25:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x6bdcf4…
10-17 06:50:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7c259c…
10-17 06:50:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x58b25c…
10-17 06:49:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8d238e…
10-17 06:43:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xe83434…
10-17 02:53:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xf5794e…
10-17 01:54:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x3fa3a6…
10-17 01:53:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x2663b3…
10-17 01:53:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xfbea59…
10-17 01:53:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x670509…
10-17 01:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x43a162…
10-17 01:28:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf4b5e2…
10-17 01:28:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x65db12…
10-17 00:42:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x150625…
10-17 00:13:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x82c14f…
10-17 00:12:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x373899…
10-17 00:12:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xd4f36c…
10-17 00:12:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfab674…
10-16 23:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x929da8…
10-16 23:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5dda9a…
10-16 23:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x53f9bb…
10-16 23:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x482b9a…
10-16 23:22:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x830021…
10-16 23:11:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xff8aa2…
10-16 23:11:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfaed95…
10-16 23:11:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf448f4…
10-16 23:10:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xc7fc4a…
10-16 23:10:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xfee755…
10-16 22:57:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x44e55b…
10-16 22:57:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x365381…
10-16 22:57:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xc0b219…
10-16 22:41:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x843d13…
10-16 22:40:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xae281c…
10-16 22:40:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x57e9f1…
10-16 22:40:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x063641…