Deafening-Appointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$351

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-06 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$2

Other

46% 73% +$1

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+11	$10	97¢	$11	+$0	07-21 19:31
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No		+4	$4	92¢	$4	+$0	11-06 05:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $120M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-05 04:18
bitcoin above 58k on february 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	02-19 11:17
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-20 21:48
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	07-28 00:08
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-29 19:54
Over $150M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-05 04:26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-31 19:44
Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	2	$11	17	0	+17	No	-$11	09-10 08:53
will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	02-11 21:40
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-29 19:12
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-22 00:20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?	2	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$2	08-22 09:23
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	07-21 19:31
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-30 00:31
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	03-12 15:52
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 17:07
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	3	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-28 10:31
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-27 21:52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	2	$9	13	0	+13	No	-$9	11-04 12:11
will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-30 03:49
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	1	$7	12	0	+12	Yes	+$6	09-07 23:06
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	1	$7	11	0	+11	Yes	+$5	05-20 00:50
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-28 01:25
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?	1	$7	12	0	+12	No	-$7	08-18 06:39
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-31 23:19
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-26 11:18
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	07-15 14:55
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	1	$6	17	0	+17	No	-$6	11-03 00:56
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	08-04 14:07
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-04?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	09-04 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 05:02:28	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x843f05…
11-04 12:11:22	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb765ae…
11-04 02:37:19	Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbde3d9…
11-04 02:31:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x87463a…
11-03 00:56:24	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x82d6e1…
10-29 22:47:25	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc8d2bf…
10-29 15:58:40	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa56563…
10-12 02:55:53	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xac53e9…
10-09 23:46:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1d1c23…
09-30 17:20:41	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x2b65cc…
09-10 08:53:54	Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8fdf97…
09-10 08:37:03	Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x1cd0a7…
09-07 23:06:45	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xa23745…
09-04 08:45:39	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd98ab8…
08-22 09:23:27	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf509e7…
08-22 05:52:46	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x877528…
08-18 06:39:30	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x697a59…
08-04 14:07:38	Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04?	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xfb275b…
07-28 10:31:56	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b2273…
07-28 07:55:07	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x45261e…
07-28 06:58:15	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe412a0…
07-28 06:31:55	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40a803…
07-28 01:25:55	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90e467…
07-28 00:08:54	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf7188a…
07-27 15:04:12	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3a63e2…
07-22 00:20:00	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0d7768…
07-21 19:31:48	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x143bc9…
07-15 14:55:59	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xaadad5…
05-31 23:19:49	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x5b4914…
05-31 19:44:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8c16a3…
05-20 00:50:45	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x417427…
05-05 08:01:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc79ead…
04-07 14:01:05	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xcf936c…
03-29 14:02:16	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4a6a30…
03-29 12:33:36	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x192999…
03-27 21:52:29	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x15c641…
03-27 21:37:37	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xacc4eb…
03-27 17:07:01	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc3861e…
03-12 15:52:27	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x0af8f1…
03-10 15:43:49	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x86532e…
02-26 11:18:32	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8f37b7…
02-20 21:48:10	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xe61c0a…
02-20 20:18:28	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x324887…
02-19 11:17:22	bitcoin above 58k on february 19	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x920d15…
02-11 21:40:21	will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9a0bd7…
02-05 04:26:57	Over $150M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf07e72…
02-05 04:18:27	Over $120M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x417f38…
02-04 23:23:35	Over $120M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8d7ff1…
01-30 03:49:10	will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1d112b…
01-30 00:31:48	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5da63b…
01-29 19:54:10	will solana reach 170 in january 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8088da…
01-29 19:12:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c9f7d…
01-07 06:12:23	epl ful che 2026 01 07 che	No	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xbee2e8…