Some-Oasis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

317

Trades

706

lifetime

Volume

$9.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-17 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

73% 74% +$1

Crypto

18% 85% +$1

Politics

5% 93% +$0

Sports

3% 55% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	09-22 19:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on June 28?	5	$112	56	56	+0	No	$0	06-27 09:37
Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	5	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	06-02 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on May 21?	3	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-21 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 4?	4	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-03 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 5?	6	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-05 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on July 13?	8	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-12 23:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	3	$69	49	20	+29	Yes	+$0	05-26 13:45
will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	5	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	06-28 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 31?	5	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-31 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-13 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-29 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-17 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C or higher on June 29?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-29 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on July 10?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 15?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-15 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-21 21:01
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 11?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-11 14:31
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 6?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-30 09:08
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 12?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-12 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on July 17?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on June 25?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-25 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 3?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-03 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 16?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-16 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 2?	6	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-01 20:06
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-03 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:24:09	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x362951…
10-17 03:17:44	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa63411…
10-08 03:29:37	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x852937…
10-02 08:39:18	Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d9dd8…
10-02 08:38:27	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9f4ad0…
10-02 08:36:14	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd310ce…
10-02 08:35:17	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xafc232…
10-02 08:34:24	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x38695c…
10-02 08:33:29	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc028f7…
09-22 19:39:00	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9891e0…
09-18 08:47:09	Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b98c6…
09-12 19:57:24	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x459978…
09-06 14:33:49	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24729b…
08-31 04:23:45	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x7caaa2…
08-12 18:43:27	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x19a145…
08-08 20:52:28	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cd107…
07-24 00:13:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfdabc3…
07-23 15:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe203a0…
07-23 08:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb7f821…
07-23 08:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc7051f…
07-23 08:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf57d25…
07-23 00:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5a7f92…
07-22 14:52:18	xrp above 1pt4 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x04b76e…
07-22 09:45:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x085d16…
07-22 09:23:15	xrp above 1pt4 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xca5fbe…
07-22 03:55:21	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7b1a87…
07-22 03:01:10	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd78938…
07-21 23:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 22?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2c7011…
07-21 21:47:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8898bb…
07-21 21:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x05d0f6…
07-21 19:47:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcc41da…
07-21 18:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x18a15f…
07-21 18:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe3f3b7…
07-21 16:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x5bf7d1…
07-21 16:00:36	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4d6a46…
07-21 15:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8d0099…
07-21 15:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7f1840…
07-21 14:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x373bca…
07-21 13:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd8e5b1…
07-21 12:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c17da…
07-21 12:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc332f8…
07-21 12:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf5b7a4…
07-21 11:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe3cb72…
07-21 10:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8127fd…
07-21 08:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9173dd…
07-21 06:37:03	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x742328…
07-21 06:26:46	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x93cd9e…
07-21 06:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x46af41…
07-21 06:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x87ffb4…
07-21 05:12:40	xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf984ce…
07-21 05:10:39	xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0e80a1…
07-21 02:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xac446d…
07-21 02:12:54	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x98b25b…
07-21 00:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x64798f…
07-21 00:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x4dc051…
07-21 00:02:12	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5feeab…
07-20 20:05:30	xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf3501a…
07-20 18:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x352a7d…
07-20 13:28:18	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfa42ff…
07-20 13:02:18	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x177dfe…
07-20 10:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4e1656…
07-20 08:42:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x43b752…
07-20 06:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x201c36…
07-20 06:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xdefd75…
07-20 06:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 20?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe2f69c…
07-20 06:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x134976…
07-20 05:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x246232…
07-19 22:03:00	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa580ec…
07-19 20:58:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6b31fc…
07-19 20:20:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc65f94…
07-19 20:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 20?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0d9532…
07-19 19:32:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8db2d…
07-19 14:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x019c44…
07-19 10:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa90e86…
07-19 10:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 19?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x73a4d8…
07-19 10:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x586d8b…
07-19 07:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 19?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xecea10…
07-19 06:12:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc788bb…
07-19 03:25:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xaee512…
07-19 01:37:52	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7cc4f3…
07-19 01:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfbc67c…
07-19 00:37:45	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff7924…
07-18 21:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad4110…
07-17 22:05:46	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 17	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfa82ab…
07-17 19:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x84a539…
07-17 19:27:04	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 17	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfa04b0…
07-17 17:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 18?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf9f285…
07-17 14:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0be362…
07-17 11:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9f522f…
07-17 11:41:15	ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x787c20…
07-17 10:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0e28be…
07-17 06:54:09	ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1043ae…
07-17 02:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x5e4fe8…
07-16 23:27:07	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5142b4…
07-16 23:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xf2e9ed…
07-16 16:47:43	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0b2b04…
07-16 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1b5616…
07-16 13:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x180332…
07-16 12:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a7d9c…
07-16 11:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc76ad4…