Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$2.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$156

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-18

last 10-26 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

49% 11% -$65

Other

38% 100% +$33

Crypto

10% 100% +$25

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+85	$48	68¢	$58	+$10	10-25 11:05
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+50	$44	86¢	$43	-$1	10-19 00:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+90	$29	36¢	$33	+$4	10-22 04:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	+32	$22	68¢	$22	$0	10-26 00:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	3	$123	65	65	+0	open	—	10-23 18:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$120	80	80	+0	open	—	10-25 22:04
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	2	$105	185	185	+0	Yes	-$2	10-21 05:06
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	2	$105	100	100	+0	No	+$33	10-19 19:10
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	2	$102	55	55	+0	open	—	10-20 21:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	2	$95	95	95	+0	Yes	+$21	10-24 12:02
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	6	$94	145	145	+0	Yes	-$3	10-25 14:04
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 05:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$87	110	110	+0	No	-$1	10-19 16:04
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$83	60	60	+0	open	—	10-25 16:03
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$75	47	47	+0	open	—	10-26 06:04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	2	$67	110	110	+0	No	-$10	10-24 23:05
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$67	115	115	+0	open	—	10-25 08:08
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$66	100	100	+0	open	—	10-22 06:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	4	$64	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 02:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$62	35	35	+0	open	—	10-25 04:03
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$62	255	255	+0	open	—	10-26 03:05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$1	10-18 23:09
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$55	210	210	+0	open	—	10-23 23:28
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	2	$51	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	10-24 23:05
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	1	$48	85	0	+85	open	—	10-25 11:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	2	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$2	10-19 00:09
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$45	150	150	+0	open	—	10-21 15:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$45	285	285	+0	open	—	10-26 18:02
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	2	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	10-21 20:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	10-19 00:08
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$41	65	65	+0	Yes	-$2	10-25 21:10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$40	115	115	+0	open	—	10-19 15:09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	10-20 20:05
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 18?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-18 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:02:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x0d1a52…
10-26 19:05:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x40dcec…
10-26 18:02:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	8¢	$10	0xd5c9b5…
10-26 09:06:41	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xcfc905…
10-26 09:06:41	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x115be5…
10-26 06:04:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xa13012…
10-26 03:05:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xe02873…
10-26 03:05:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$8	0x24c7ab…
10-26 03:04:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	180	11¢	$20	0xb706db…
10-26 00:03:08	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x801fd9…
10-25 22:04:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0x6ac1e9…
10-25 21:10:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	65	30¢	$20	0x20c095…
10-25 21:06:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0x0456d9…
10-25 18:04:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x4514c8…
10-25 18:02:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0xbd8470…
10-25 18:02:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x9302fb…
10-25 16:03:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x22bfb4…
10-25 15:07:47	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	145	16¢	$23	0x57a9ce…
10-25 15:07:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xa0ad68…
10-25 14:04:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xd80bf0…
10-25 14:02:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x82571b…
10-25 11:05:20	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	85	57¢	$48	0x04fc08…
10-25 08:08:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	80	29¢	$24	0xd4e0ed…
10-25 08:06:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0xe6301f…
10-25 05:05:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5c0816…
10-25 04:05:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xf97df7…
10-25 04:03:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0xe637f4…
10-25 03:07:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xe3396c…
10-24 23:05:36	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xfdab2a…
10-24 23:05:33	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	SELL	110	26¢	$29	0x7eee8e…
10-24 22:05:26	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x4b0087…
10-24 21:03:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0x8dec92…
10-24 20:07:18	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x511ee0…
10-24 19:06:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0xd25b32…
10-24 18:03:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0x287160…
10-24 17:06:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0x266630…
10-24 12:02:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0x0be8d5…
10-24 12:02:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	95	61¢	$58	0x13233f…
10-24 09:02:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	75	12¢	$9	0x4dc739…
10-24 03:06:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	95	39¢	$37	0x579e40…
10-24 00:09:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	110	35¢	$38	0xed7724…
10-23 23:28:44	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$5	0x7e5c31…
10-23 23:28:44	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	85	10¢	$8	0x500bac…
10-23 18:07:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x535e46…
10-23 18:06:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x544472…
10-23 18:01:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4a50ad…
10-23 14:02:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xcbe88b…
10-23 08:07:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0xe4e2ed…
10-23 07:09:45	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0x44971c…
10-23 03:09:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	90	29¢	$26	0xb230cc…
10-22 09:07:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x630989…
10-22 09:06:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0x1f1509…
10-22 06:08:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0xb9dd45…
10-22 06:06:26	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xa85549…
10-22 04:03:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	32¢	$29	0x3d2efb…
10-22 02:01:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x200485…
10-22 01:02:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x2c977f…
10-21 21:04:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5432ec…
10-21 20:03:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x992e50…
10-21 20:01:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x4b919d…
10-21 19:04:15	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x70b011…
10-21 17:01:41	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0x45fbb1…
10-21 15:04:45	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	150	17¢	$26	0xfc5b87…
10-21 12:05:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x5cc69d…
10-21 05:06:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	185	28¢	$52	0xc62a50…
10-21 02:04:57	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x53ede4…
10-21 02:02:41	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x61b524…
10-21 01:20:35	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xe91eb6…
10-21 01:16:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	45	31¢	$14	0x1a20b6…
10-21 00:04:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x05bf82…
10-20 21:06:26	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	185	29¢	$54	0x6374ed…
10-20 21:05:35	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x4d111a…
10-20 20:06:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x92ae5b…
10-20 20:05:05	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x983d12…
10-20 18:03:38	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xd678d3…
10-20 16:27:27	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0xdf8035…
10-20 16:10:57	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xda2fd7…
10-20 10:47:27	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x90f54c…
10-20 10:47:26	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0x2369ef…
10-20 10:04:50	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x25f427…
10-20 09:10:32	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x9b1ed0…
10-20 09:10:11	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0xd333b8…
10-20 08:08:01	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xfe831b…
10-20 05:07:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	24	27¢	$7	0x78feba…
10-20 04:34:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3edc28…
10-20 04:04:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x67c343…
10-19 22:09:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x531629…
10-19 20:06:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x74bcec…
10-19 19:10:12	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x24f074…
10-19 16:04:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	110	39¢	$43	0x781f84…
10-19 15:09:09	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	13¢	$15	0xa0d486…
10-19 15:07:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	110	40¢	$44	0xcda6db…
10-19 05:32:02	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x5140bb…
10-19 05:27:53	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x02eaaa…
10-19 02:12:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	21¢	$24	0x846977…
10-19 01:25:05	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0xc7a474…
10-19 01:24:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xc3ea70…
10-19 00:09:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xc47e07…
10-19 00:08:14	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xaa8191…
10-18 23:09:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x7e91e3…