Back-Fledgling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$103

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-04 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 44% -$5

Other

20% 40% -$6

Tech

15% 0% -$5

Politics

12% 50% -$1

Sports

6% 100% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-65	-$10	9¢	$-6	+$4	05-10 06:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	2	$15	17	8	+8	No	-$5	06-04 17:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$10	0	65	-65	open	—	05-10 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	6	$7	16	8	+8	Down	-$1	02-10 20:57
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	2	$6	15	4	+11	Yes	+$8	02-11 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	3	$6	10	4	+6	Up	$0	02-24 18:02
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-23 11:31
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	-$5	06-04 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:15 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	02-10 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:45 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	02-24 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:35 UTC	3	$4	52	2	+50	Up	+$0	02-24 17:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:30 UTC	3	$4	1,002	2	+1,000	Up	$0	02-10 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:55 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	02-24 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:30 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	02-10 20:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	5	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	02-10 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:50 UTC	2	$2	24	0	+24	Down	-$2	02-24 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 02:40 UTC	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	-$2	02-25 02:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:30 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	02-24 17:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:00 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	02-10 20:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 05:17
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	02-11 16:25
will ethereum reach 2400 february 9 15	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	02-10 20:37
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	02-10 20:43
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	111	0	+111	No	-$1	02-11 16:29
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	02-28 17:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:00 UTC	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	02-10 21:02
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-11 17:04
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	03-21 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:05 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	02-24 18:06
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	06-04 17:00
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	03-08 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 17:05:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf79e1b…
06-04 17:03:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x8e9ae2…
06-04 17:00:12	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x49f824…
06-03 05:17:31	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x97c39f…
06-03 05:17:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb07241…
05-23 11:45:44	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2b9a66…
05-23 11:31:32	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x036baa…
05-10 06:34:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x75dd09…
05-10 06:32:27	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdc3ab4…
05-10 06:28:13	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	65	15¢	$10	0x5c251e…
03-21 17:50:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x55a079…
03-08 08:39:03	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x350806…
02-28 17:51:41	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x34744e…
02-28 17:50:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2bcfad…
02-25 02:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa01350…
02-25 02:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9c56db…
02-24 18:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0fc362…
02-24 18:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x13cc16…
02-24 18:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x1e2081…
02-24 18:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x845a85…
02-24 17:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6d675a…
02-24 17:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcec44e…
02-24 17:52:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc42fd7…
02-24 17:52:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdd514b…
02-24 17:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2823b2…
02-24 17:46:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x760f14…
02-24 17:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe4edeb…
02-24 17:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x671be3…
02-24 17:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce8131…
02-24 17:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x461fa5…
02-11 17:04:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x05f1bf…
02-11 16:29:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8d55c5…
02-11 16:28:13	will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xee7c2c…
02-11 16:25:51	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xf0e0d8…
02-10 21:32:55	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd01db2…
02-10 21:02:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x929f76…
02-10 20:57:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2ad136…
02-10 20:55:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x0808de…
02-10 20:53:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x865767…
02-10 20:52:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x7bee55…
02-10 20:52:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xa8ce20…
02-10 20:47:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x552123…
02-10 20:46:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x449cf8…
02-10 20:43:49	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2781d6…
02-10 20:37:41	will ethereum reach 2400 february 9 15	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x550236…
02-10 20:32:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf13dd7…
02-10 20:31:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x590beb…
02-10 20:16:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1b2f34…
02-10 20:01:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7dd528…
02-10 20:01:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaded57…
02-10 20:00:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd025ab…
02-10 19:59:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa43efc…
02-10 19:57:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb61780…
02-10 19:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1e96e7…
02-10 19:51:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x877c72…
02-10 19:49:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9ce945…
02-10 19:46:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xafe7a2…
02-10 19:36:29	will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2da699…
02-10 19:31:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x70a6e5…