Cultivated-Return — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,940

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-25 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-14

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771353600	8	$460	251	250	+0	open	—	02-17 18:43
btc updown 5m 1771360200	6	$327	179	179	+0	open	—	02-17 20:34
btc updown 5m 1771359000	10	$317	185	184	+1	open	—	02-17 20:15
xrp updown 5m 1774809600	6	$305	245	242	+3	open	—	03-29 18:44
btc updown 5m 1771361400	6	$272	146	145	+0	open	—	02-17 20:56
btc updown 5m 1771356600	5	$268	207	205	+2	open	—	02-17 19:35
btc updown 5m 1771352700	9	$249	167	166	+1	open	—	02-17 18:30
btc updown 5m 1774809900	4	$222	183	181	+2	open	—	03-29 18:49
btc updown 5m 1771354800	7	$205	124	123	+1	open	—	02-17 19:05
btc updown 5m 1774808700	4	$202	150	148	+2	open	—	03-29 18:28
btc updown 5m 1771352400	5	$183	96	96	+0	open	—	02-17 18:22
btc updown 5m 1771362600	6	$182	109	109	+0	open	—	02-17 21:15
btc updown 5m 1771353900	7	$181	115	114	+1	open	—	02-17 18:49
btc updown 5m 1771353300	7	$178	107	107	+1	open	—	02-17 18:40
btc updown 5m 1771360500	8	$174	117	79	+37	open	—	02-17 20:39
btc updown 5m 1771354200	8	$173	92	92	+0	open	—	02-17 18:55
btc updown 5m 1771357800	3	$164	72	95	-24	open	—	02-17 19:54
btc updown 5m 1771351500	6	$164	112	111	+1	open	—	02-17 18:09
btc updown 5m 1771351800	5	$162	88	87	+0	open	—	02-17 18:14
btc updown 5m 1771358100	6	$160	90	90	+0	open	—	02-17 20:00
btc updown 5m 1771380000	8	$154	85	85	+0	open	—	02-18 02:04
btc updown 5m 1771335900	8	$148	77	77	+0	open	—	02-17 13:50
btc updown 5m 1771362000	4	$145	79	79	+0	open	—	02-17 21:05
btc updown 5m 1771363200	9	$144	80	80	+0	open	—	02-17 21:24
btc updown 5m 1771359900	6	$143	79	79	+0	open	—	02-17 20:29
btc updown 5m 1771362300	9	$143	89	89	+1	open	—	02-17 21:09
btc updown 5m 1771485900	10	$134	79	79	+0	open	—	02-19 07:30
btc updown 5m 1771485600	12	$131	73	73	+0	open	—	02-19 07:24
btc updown 5m 1771347300	4	$127	78	78	+0	open	—	02-17 17:00
btc updown 5m 1771347000	4	$126	71	71	+0	open	—	02-17 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 12:01:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbb693c…
05-25 11:51:12	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8bc4b4…
05-25 11:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa6f7b2…
05-25 11:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xfb0824…
05-25 11:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc7d363…
05-25 11:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8be5c2…
05-25 11:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd87aea…
05-25 11:21:11	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xaf2e3e…
05-25 11:16:08	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf38ce0…
05-25 11:11:11	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x59809b…
05-25 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x057979…
05-25 11:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9adc8a…
05-25 10:56:10	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x88ad0d…
05-25 10:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x589019…
05-25 10:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8386aa…
05-25 10:46:13	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xed53b5…
05-25 10:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x01e048…
05-25 10:36:11	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf5f4a2…
05-25 10:31:13	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc089d3…
05-25 10:26:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x199a01…
05-25 10:26:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6bcad8…
05-25 01:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb6f530…
05-24 22:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x73a3f9…
05-24 22:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9d405e…
05-24 13:17:33	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xcaf963…
05-24 13:17:24	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6121cd…
05-24 13:01:13	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xef168c…
05-24 13:01:09	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x58b928…
05-24 12:57:11	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd2cc58…
05-24 12:57:11	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xd27e4a…
05-24 12:53:04	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc8da9c…
05-24 12:53:01	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x56aea4…
05-24 12:46:38	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x9574fc…
05-24 12:46:24	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc6fc72…
05-24 12:41:31	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x31537c…
05-24 12:41:28	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdc5fb4…
05-24 12:36:55	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb72fc7…
05-24 12:36:55	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x144610…
05-24 12:36:11	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd0e69b…
05-24 12:31:24	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8aa0ca…
05-24 12:26:37	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x3a9871…
05-24 12:26:35	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x92e2ad…
05-24 12:16:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x3e5619…
05-24 12:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x89c10f…
05-24 12:08:13	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x6ae644…
05-24 12:08:09	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1a55f7…
05-24 11:56:42	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xc56f71…
05-24 11:56:10	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc295cf…
05-24 11:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x828096…
05-24 11:46:20	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xf8b5d4…
05-24 11:46:13	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa68e9…
05-24 11:46:13	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x58dc28…
05-24 11:28:52	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x216d37…
05-24 11:28:49	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2f444f…
05-24 11:24:24	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe6382f…
05-24 11:16:16	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xe1fee8…
05-24 11:16:09	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x50fe96…
05-24 11:11:40	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe7e7c4…
05-24 11:06:16	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x69b822…
05-24 11:06:14	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x031002…
05-24 10:09:32	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x3e9d56…
05-24 10:06:23	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x498a94…
05-24 09:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xefd232…
05-21 12:55:16	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x38253b…
05-21 12:52:42	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xe5f5ad…
05-21 12:50:38	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4347b9…
05-21 12:50:17	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x24ba25…
05-21 12:45:37	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x4a0bad…
05-21 12:45:16	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdacf67…
05-21 12:35:19	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xac91dc…
05-21 11:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9701f7…
05-21 11:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xef93d6…
05-21 11:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xecc710…
05-21 11:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xcf3d7b…
05-21 11:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5d398b…
05-21 09:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xbbadda…
05-21 09:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x672e21…
05-21 09:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd63b2a…
05-19 18:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x4e7730…
05-19 18:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x52e3a3…
05-19 18:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x2b2391…
05-19 18:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xaee94e…
05-19 18:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xe3367b…
05-19 18:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa6fd4a…
05-19 03:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5535df…
05-19 03:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x697ad0…
05-19 03:06:32	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x5eb99b…
05-19 03:06:01	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x98eb6b…
05-19 03:05:38	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1ebeaa…
05-19 02:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x7c3239…
05-19 02:39:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x1ce598…
05-19 02:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x38def7…
05-19 02:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbf5c0d…
05-19 02:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa7c600…
05-19 02:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xca5bd3…
05-19 02:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdc4e44…
05-19 02:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xfef9ad…
05-19 02:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1b29e8…
05-19 02:32:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xc7db7f…
05-19 02:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x62ec1c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	722	$1.20K	2,573	05-25 11:49
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	692	$1.03M	185,628	05-25 11:54
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	685	$312.3K	22,874	03-30 07:44
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	594	$8.96K	1,539	05-14 16:49
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	594	$1.84K	3,501	05-25 11:49
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	593	$45.5K	10,805	05-25 11:48
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	576	$610	1,529	05-21 11:59
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	571	$3.16M	19,881	04-04 18:09