Cultivated-Return — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

967

Trades

3,049

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 11-13 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$23

Other

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:40 UTC	8	$460	251	250	+0	Up	+$0	02-17 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:30 UTC	6	$327	179	179	+0	Down	-$3	02-17 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:10 UTC	10	$317	185	184	+1	Up	+$8	02-17 20:15
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:40 UTC	6	$305	245	242	+3	Down	+$5	03-29 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:50 UTC	6	$272	146	145	+0	Down	+$3	02-17 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:30 UTC	5	$268	207	205	+2	Up	+$110	02-17 19:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:25 UTC	9	$249	167	166	+1	Up	-$11	02-17 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:45 UTC	4	$222	183	181	+2	Up	+$24	03-29 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:00 UTC	7	$205	124	123	+1	Down	+$26	02-17 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:25 UTC	4	$202	150	148	+2	Up	+$4	03-29 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:20 UTC	5	$183	96	96	+0	Up	+$3	02-17 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC	6	$182	109	109	+0	Up	-$8	02-17 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:45 UTC	7	$181	115	114	+1	Down	-$9	02-17 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:35 UTC	7	$178	107	107	+1	Up	-$2	02-17 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:35 UTC	8	$174	117	79	+37	Up	-$26	02-17 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:50 UTC	8	$173	92	92	+0	Up	+$3	02-17 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:50 UTC	3	$164	72	95	-24	Down	+$1	02-17 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:05 UTC	6	$164	112	111	+1	Up	+$5	02-17 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:10 UTC	5	$162	88	87	+0	Up	+$3	02-17 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:55 UTC	6	$160	90	90	+0	Down	-$10	02-17 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 02:00 UTC	8	$154	85	85	+0	Up	+$5	02-18 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:45 UTC	8	$148	77	77	+0	Up	+$2	02-17 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC	4	$145	79	79	+0	Down	+$5	02-17 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	9	$144	80	80	+0	Down	+$5	02-17 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:25 UTC	6	$143	79	79	+0	Up	+$3	02-17 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC	9	$143	89	89	+1	Down	+$3	02-17 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:25 UTC	10	$134	79	79	+0	Up	+$9	02-19 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:20 UTC	12	$131	73	73	+0	Up	+$5	02-19 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:55 UTC	4	$127	78	78	+0	Down	-$13	02-17 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:50 UTC	4	$126	71	71	+0	Up	+$7	02-17 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 08:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x88fa95…
11-13 08:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x22b29a…
11-13 08:31:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd48c69…
11-13 08:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc1e3fb…
11-13 08:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf2ac48…
11-13 08:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x1fc5bb…
11-13 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xdbb7e6…
11-13 08:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4cd5f3…
11-13 08:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe8bbb9…
11-13 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2dd067…
11-13 07:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcd413a…
11-13 07:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6168ce…
11-13 07:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfaf2a9…
11-13 07:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x30ff96…
11-13 07:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd08da9…
11-13 06:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6828d1…
11-13 06:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xf8f359…
11-13 06:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x478d28…
11-13 06:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xffe6ab…
11-13 06:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xe5cffd…
11-13 06:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x362895…
11-12 19:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2dbbee…
11-12 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8a62f8…
11-12 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x51a86f…
11-12 18:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaca2d1…
11-12 18:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x40e09f…
11-12 18:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x451be9…
11-12 18:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd2588c…
11-12 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd100e5…
11-12 18:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xab42fc…
11-12 18:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x7cd6e5…
11-12 18:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8dfb58…
11-12 18:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x964fd5…
11-12 17:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x66fd65…
11-12 17:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x0a634b…
11-12 17:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0bb40a…
11-12 17:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0425d3…
11-12 17:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x34f613…
11-12 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1f47ae…
11-12 17:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6c560b…
10-03 08:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xf5c7f7…
10-03 08:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf7c851…
10-03 08:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xece9ee…
10-03 08:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1959e2…
10-03 08:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe70925…
10-03 08:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d0aff…
10-03 08:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x33bdd6…
10-03 08:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb3cec9…
10-03 08:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd1be4c…
10-03 08:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb62f2e…
10-03 08:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x4b5937…
10-03 08:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x686a00…
10-03 08:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xe9760a…
10-03 08:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xcebc72…
10-03 07:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x247483…
10-03 07:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3e823a…
10-03 07:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x90f58a…
10-03 07:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x625d8c…
10-03 07:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x5c8f00…
10-03 07:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd8aabe…
10-03 07:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x039eca…
10-03 07:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x368fa0…
09-14 09:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xccfc1f…
09-14 09:56:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x084bdd…
09-14 09:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xfa943d…
09-14 09:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4c1e3b…
07-16 16:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x942428…
07-16 16:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x22fba6…
07-16 04:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x209c57…
07-16 04:48:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4f6d5b…
07-16 04:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x2b5ee6…
07-16 04:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x610389…
07-16 04:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xa21b8b…
07-16 04:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x96da3e…
07-16 04:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x793afd…
07-16 04:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3e38d4…
07-16 04:42:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x711c34…
07-16 04:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0b1be9…
07-16 04:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc22bca…
07-16 04:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7dbe50…
07-16 04:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x3c0bc6…
07-16 04:38:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x095d7a…
07-16 04:38:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x7ebec7…
07-16 04:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x77f8c1…
07-16 04:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xd5cee2…
07-16 04:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6e7cb1…
07-16 04:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb33a21…
07-16 04:34:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x24b2b8…
07-16 04:34:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9b1187…
07-16 04:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x99ac82…
07-16 04:33:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdd8812…
07-16 04:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x22b916…
07-16 04:32:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf1a4b1…
07-16 04:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x681fd2…
07-16 04:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x55bb0d…
07-16 04:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x4c63f8…
07-16 04:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb5dcfd…
07-16 04:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb3a67d…
07-16 04:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x512584…
07-16 04:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x6eea40…