Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
56
Trades
1,464
lifetime
Volume
$3.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$53
16 positions
First seen
2026-08-07
last 10-30 01:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
50% 52% -$9
Crypto
24% 57% +$13
Sports
18% 50% -$1
Politics
4% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +18 $10 60¢ $11 +$1 10-26 18:52
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 10-29 19:09
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 10-19 00:30
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$1 10-23 13:51
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +6 $5 83¢ $5 +$0 10-11 14:53
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +12 $4 28¢ $3 -$1 10-28 02:22
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +6 $3 46¢ $3 $0 10-25 15:11
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +6 $3 44¢ $3 $0 10-16 16:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6 $4 42¢ $2 -$1 10-23 04:19
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +23 $5 11¢ $2 -$3 10-29 16:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6 $3 32¢ $2 -$2 10-27 13:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $1 29¢ $2 +$0 10-26 13:47
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +6 $2 28¢ $2 $0 10-28 08:59
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +9 $1 17¢ $2 +$0 10-28 14:22
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +6 $2 22¢ $1 $0 10-09 12:44
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +0 $0 13¢ $0 $0 10-19 17:42