Realized P&L
-$2.38K
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
55.7%
Resolved
331
Trades
1,413
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$108
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-25 15:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
63% 45% -$2,517
Crypto
22% 60% +$10
Politics
9% 72% +$106
Sports
4% 52% +$130
Tech
1% 50% -$96
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $15 82¢ $21 +$6 09-26 21:11
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 92¢ $13 +$3 09-23 03:35
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 09-23 03:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $11 88¢ $10 -$1 09-25 17:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 09-24 22:22
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +11 $9 95¢ $10 +$1 10-01 19:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 80¢ $10 $0 09-23 00:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +13 $5 60¢ $8 +$3 09-30 22:04
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No +14 $5 45¢ $6 +$1 09-26 21:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 10-10 19:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +16 $5 19¢ $3 -$2 09-25 13:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +129 $15 1¢ $2 -$13 09-25 16:08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +15 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-23 16:07