Ruddy-Con — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.46K

Unrealized P&L

-$151

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

422

Trades

1,548

lifetime

Volume

$91.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$204

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-25 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Politics

62% 57% -$2,457

Other

36% 37% -$4,422

Sports

2% 71% +$345

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$109

Crypto

0% 0% -$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+558	$194	16¢	$89	-$104	07-16 17:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+89	$60	67¢	$59	-$1	07-16 17:26
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+414	$101	13¢	$55	-$46	07-17 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	68	$6.0K	19,852	21,692	-1,840	Yes	+$1,252	03-01 01:32
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	18	$5.2K	3,173	3,173	+0	Yes	+$403	03-06 22:45
will iran strike israel on march 4	31	$3.1K	1,784	1,836	-51	Yes	+$425	03-06 22:46
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	9	$2.7K	1,825	1,825	+0	Yes	+$338	04-03 14:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$2.1K	12,858	2,000	+10,858	No	-$1,480	01-09 15:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$2.0K	2,844	2,834	+10	Yes	+$210	04-03 15:25
iran strike on israel by february 28	20	$1.7K	1,187	1,187	+0	Yes	-$41	02-28 22:23
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	5	$1.6K	901	901	+0	Yes	+$181	03-05 20:14
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	36	$1.6K	1,036	1,036	+0	Yes	+$87	02-28 22:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$1.6K	1,472	1,472	+0	Yes	+$143	03-08 20:37
will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	12	$1.5K	918	918	+0	No	+$190	03-18 14:45
highest temperature in dallas on january 12 65forbelow	20	$1.5K	746	746	+0	Yes	+$35	01-12 23:53
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	26	$1.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	No	+$363	03-01 23:19
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	12	$1.4K	1,607	1,607	+0	No	-$858	04-11 05:15
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$1.2K	654	654	+0	Yes	+$78	03-04 06:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 14 36corbelow	9	$1.2K	687	599	+88	Yes	+$21	01-14 23:23
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	19	$1.1K	8,199	1,399	+6,800	No	-$948	03-02 14:19
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	5	$1.1K	760	760	+0	No	+$175	03-28 13:42
will iran strike uae in march	6	$956	536	536	+0	Yes	+$86	03-01 12:19
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$874	2,751	2,751	+0	No	+$382	03-07 14:25
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	15	$863	683	369	+314	Yes	+$113	05-19 05:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	12	$831	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	+$11	04-21 15:25
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	2	$822	426	426	+0	Yes	+$22	03-01 07:07
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$815	459	459	+0	No	+$47	05-13 12:42
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	5	$807	934	233	+700	No	-$553	03-20 22:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$779	649	649	+0	No	+$79	03-06 13:57
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	2	$775	500	500	+0	Yes	+$175	02-28 06:33
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	3	$768	448	448	+0	Yes	+$48	03-20 12:36
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	3	$732	394	394	+0	Yes	+$32	03-01 11:28
will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	2	$715	395	395	+0	Yes	+$75	03-16 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 02:37:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2ab552…
07-25 02:36:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xcd5cea…
07-25 02:35:16	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0xdaf626…
07-25 02:33:28	will trump say soaking wet in july 20260629200910956	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0xc64f87…
07-24 17:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	125	21¢	$26	0xb78eaa…
07-24 17:03:28	Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	No	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xfd2dd3…
07-24 17:03:13	Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	No	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0xb0fff3…
07-24 16:55:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc8db75…
07-24 16:55:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	37	58¢	$22	0x1e0e41…
07-24 16:51:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xd9cc03…
07-24 16:51:15	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x6245b3…
07-24 16:50:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x903b82…
07-24 16:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x3c2270…
07-24 16:49:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xe3b14c…
07-24 16:49:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x8a2274…
07-24 16:48:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0xeadd88…
07-24 14:40:51	will trump say soaking wet in july 20260629200910956	No	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0xc4a78d…
07-19 21:21:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	247	29¢	$73	0x067ab4…
07-19 17:11:24	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x70f5f8…
07-19 17:09:30	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x88b232…
07-19 17:08:04	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	438	16¢	$70	0x296a08…
07-19 17:06:51	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xeb8266…
07-19 16:58:40	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,613	3¢	$50	0xcbbea8…
07-19 16:58:19	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,351	4¢	$50	0x1a3bb1…
07-19 13:13:24	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0x2a3d09…
07-19 13:07:49	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x4e8c54…
07-19 13:07:19	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	441	3¢	$15	0x4f92ff…
07-19 13:02:55	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x56dccf…
07-19 13:02:39	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x1b0c26…
07-19 12:55:03	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x162332…
07-19 12:54:46	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	379	92¢	$349	0xeec80e…
07-17 01:51:55	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	116	53¢	$61	0xbfff65…
07-17 01:34:29	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x36b548…
07-17 01:33:20	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x55e965…
07-17 01:32:59	will trump say china during speech to the nation 20260714024840217	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x213eae…
07-16 18:29:38	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xf0bd6d…
07-16 17:26:49	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xda04fb…
07-16 17:26:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x2431ed…
07-16 13:48:55	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0xf831aa…
07-16 13:47:37	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xcb4395…
07-16 13:47:16	will trump say china during speech to the nation 20260714024840217	Yes	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x90be4b…
07-16 13:39:26	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd93d9e…
07-16 10:04:08	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x9cefdd…
07-15 21:26:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xe4c958…
07-15 21:17:56	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x2f6e28…
07-15 21:17:22	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	379	35¢	$133	0x92cc1c…
07-15 21:08:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2701ff…
07-15 20:49:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x8f6f97…
07-15 20:47:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	284	50¢	$141	0xdc3b05…
07-15 20:45:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3ff950…
07-15 20:39:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0x256fb0…
07-15 20:38:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xdfd6ee…
07-15 20:34:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xad06cf…
07-15 20:33:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x4ab0b2…
07-15 20:32:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x975eea…
07-15 20:26:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcaf41d…
07-15 20:23:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x5113fa…
07-15 20:20:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xcc9aa2…
07-15 20:15:04	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	54	17¢	$9	0xb1bc4e…
07-15 20:14:23	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	57	43¢	$25	0xae80bb…
07-15 20:14:05	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	338	30¢	$102	0xc61877…
07-15 20:12:44	will trump say soaking wet in july 20260629200910956	No	SELL	86	52¢	$45	0xc74f38…
07-08 11:02:19	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	150	23¢	$34	0x7f2214…
07-08 11:01:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x83ad39…
07-08 10:59:53	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	57	31¢	$18	0x78728d…
07-08 10:59:23	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x219228…
07-08 10:58:22	will trump say state of the art in july 20260629200910959	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x04514b…
07-06 13:41:28	will trump say mount rushmore this week 20260703145736726	No	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0xb1d452…
07-06 05:43:53	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x9cdf78…
07-06 05:43:32	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x662d0e…
07-06 05:29:07	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	6¢	$16	0xc3194d…
07-06 05:28:02	will trump say soaking wet in july 20260629200910956	No	BUY	140	17¢	$24	0xf17d78…
07-06 05:27:31	will trump say soaking wet in july 20260629200910956	No	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xa76bcd…
07-06 05:24:59	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	417	12¢	$51	0xa1ec2f…
07-06 05:24:35	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x72c4f9…
07-05 05:52:07	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x433859…
07-05 05:47:13	will leavitt say president 50 times during the next white house press briefing s8kc	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x7ef385…
07-05 05:40:13	will trump say state of the art in july 20260629200910959	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6395bf…
07-05 05:39:17	will trump say best of trump in july 20260629200910950	No	BUY	108	47¢	$51	0x1d2959…
07-05 05:31:20	will trump say mount rushmore this week 20260703145736726	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xab26f6…
07-05 05:30:38	will trump say cancer this week 20260703145736717	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x4adbbf…
07-05 05:22:40	will trump say hottest during tribute to america rally 20260630160620578	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x3f6575…
07-04 04:32:14	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$11	0x2d2edf…
07-04 04:24:28	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	417	3¢	$12	0x10a58e…
07-04 04:15:28	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2f077c…
07-04 04:11:50	will trump say marxist or marxism in july 20260629200910967	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xcedcbd…
07-04 04:05:46	will anyone say queen 20 times during house of the dragon e3 s3 20260630143728048	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd65fe6…
07-04 04:05:04	will anyone say raven during house of the dragon e3 s3 20260630143728049	No	BUY	65	29¢	$19	0x3ed6b0…
07-04 03:49:49	will trump say pass this week 20260626175002242	No	BUY	79	15¢	$12	0xea6822…
07-04 03:49:11	will trump say goal this week 20260626175002243	No	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xee4175…
07-04 03:48:14	will trump say hottest during tribute to america rally 20260630160620578	No	BUY	117	19¢	$22	0x19637f…
07-04 03:47:50	will trump say restaurant during tribute to america rally 20260630160620565	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x2468ab…
07-04 03:46:11	will trump say moon during tribute to america rally 20260630160620561	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xf25239…
07-04 03:44:35	will trump say bomb or bomber during tribute to america rally 20260630160620581 793	No	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xcc669c…
06-27 02:29:20	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 goals mehdi taremi gte1	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe89ae8…
06-27 02:12:23	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xb1d935…
06-22 11:12:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	120	63¢	$75	0xbd5ad3…
06-22 10:58:40	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	191	12¢	$23	0xbd6bad…
06-22 10:54:13	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	BUY	97	59¢	$57	0x7685b1…
06-22 10:50:02	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x2f3328…