Ruddy-Con — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$882

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,360

lifetime

Volume

$85.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-09 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

63% 82% +$64

Other

35% 20% $-945

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	68	$6.0K	19,852	21,692	-1,840	open	—	03-01 01:32
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	18	$5.2K	3,173	3,173	+0	open	—	03-06 22:45
will iran strike israel on march 4	31	$3.1K	1,784	1,836	-51	open	—	03-06 22:46
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	9	$2.7K	1,825	1,825	+0	open	—	04-03 14:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$2.1K	12,858	2,000	+10,858	open	—	01-09 15:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$2.0K	2,844	2,834	+10	open	—	04-03 15:25
iran strike on israel by february 28	20	$1.7K	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	02-28 22:23
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	5	$1.6K	901	901	+0	open	—	03-05 20:14
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	36	$1.6K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	02-28 22:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$1.6K	1,472	1,472	+0	open	—	03-08 20:37
will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	12	$1.5K	918	918	+0	open	—	03-18 14:45
highest temperature in dallas on january 12 65forbelow	20	$1.5K	746	746	+0	open	—	01-12 23:53
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	26	$1.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	03-01 23:19
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	12	$1.4K	1,607	1,607	+0	No	$-858	04-11 05:15
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$1.2K	654	654	+0	open	—	03-04 06:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 14 36corbelow	9	$1.2K	687	599	+88	open	—	01-14 23:23
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	19	$1.1K	8,199	1,399	+6,800	open	—	03-02 14:19
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	5	$1.1K	760	760	+0	open	—	03-28 13:42
will iran strike uae in march	6	$956	536	536	+0	open	—	03-01 12:19
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$874	2,751	2,751	+0	open	—	03-07 14:25
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	15	$863	683	369	+314	open	—	05-19 05:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	12	$831	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	04-21 15:25
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	2	$822	426	426	+0	open	—	03-01 07:07
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$815	459	459	+0	open	—	05-13 12:42
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	5	$807	934	233	+700	open	—	03-20 22:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$779	649	649	+0	open	—	03-06 13:57
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	2	$775	500	500	+0	open	—	02-28 06:33
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	3	$768	448	448	+0	open	—	03-20 12:36
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	3	$732	394	394	+0	open	—	03-01 11:28
will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	2	$715	395	395	+0	open	—	03-16 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:54:18	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x3111e1…
06-09 21:50:51	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x2c1053…
06-09 21:50:34	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x69d524…
06-09 21:49:37	will starmer say defense during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137142	No	BUY	65	43¢	$28	0xbfd83c…
06-09 21:49:37	will starmer say defense during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137142	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x807988…
06-09 21:49:37	will starmer say defense during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137142	No	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x5295a6…
06-09 21:42:39	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x2714e6…
06-09 21:42:03	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	239	28¢	$67	0xc28df4…
06-09 21:41:31	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0xffbac0…
06-09 17:07:16	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xca65bb…
06-08 16:06:30	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x43d725…
06-08 13:36:30	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 11 20260607232624535	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x8eb144…
06-08 13:07:49	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 11 20260607232624535	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xe2fbc8…
06-08 13:05:03	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x58d639…
06-08 13:04:49	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	80	87¢	$69	0xbe6a47…
06-08 13:04:18	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 11 20260607232624535	No	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0xa32d25…
06-08 13:03:51	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 9 20260607232624533	No	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x256098…
06-08 12:50:58	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x860ab6…
06-08 12:27:01	will trump say ay ay ay in june	No	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0xeb8d40…
06-08 12:24:06	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	201	16¢	$32	0x58c264…
06-08 12:16:06	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217	No	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xba8fad…
06-08 12:15:37	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa16d34…
06-08 12:13:46	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xe6ca74…
06-08 12:10:18	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 15 20260607232624536	No	BUY	41	16¢	$7	0x713f3a…
06-08 12:10:01	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 11 20260607232624535	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x33becd…
06-08 12:09:46	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 10 20260607232624534	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x859412…
06-08 12:09:30	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 9 20260607232624533	No	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0xa02046…
06-08 12:07:31	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x95f95f…
06-08 12:07:01	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	188	12¢	$23	0x8edd46…
06-08 12:03:55	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x0f3ee3…
06-08 12:03:39	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x612ef0…
06-08 11:58:12	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x1987c2…
06-08 11:57:12	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x0da70d…
06-08 11:53:16	will donald trump publicly insult alex jones by june 30 2026	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x2a3653…
06-08 11:46:46	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x72cf24…
06-08 11:45:45	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	38	64¢	$24	0xf7f7df…
06-08 11:44:43	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0x672dc6…
06-08 11:38:31	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x42eec3…
06-08 11:37:55	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	508	26¢	$132	0x7c47e9…
06-08 11:36:57	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x069235…
06-08 07:51:25	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x7f605b…
06-08 07:50:24	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xcf7e17…
06-08 07:45:42	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xf95acc…
06-08 07:40:57	will trump praise weijia jiang by june 30	No	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x2663f0…
06-08 07:39:28	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x272c97…
06-08 06:28:51	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	No	BUY	48	70¢	$33	0x218280…
06-08 06:28:22	will trump praise pele by june 30	No	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0x2ae968…
06-08 06:27:45	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	No	BUY	263	12¢	$31	0x6d582a…
06-08 06:26:31	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	22	88¢	$20	0x57d061…
06-08 06:24:12	will starmer say reform during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137137	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc580bf…
06-08 06:23:57	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137133	No	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x3f658f…
06-08 06:23:25	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0xeaec99…
06-08 06:22:30	will donald trump publicly insult alex jones by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x607640…
06-08 06:21:36	will trump say sucker this week 20260605142537473	No	BUY	35	64¢	$23	0xb21dbf…
06-08 06:21:10	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x80e6b1…
06-08 06:20:51	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	No	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x97b235…
06-08 06:20:10	will trump say six seven this week 20260605142537476	Yes	BUY	75	50¢	$37	0x85930b…
06-08 06:19:30	will trump say six seven this week 20260605142537476	Yes	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x0e6511…
06-08 06:17:01	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x58ab15…
06-08 06:16:42	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x9f421f…
06-07 02:44:22	will starmer say reform during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137137	No	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x6bd859…
06-07 02:43:57	will starmer say public health during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137153	No	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x6fb386…
06-07 02:43:21	will starmer say defense during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137142	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x6c68c1…
06-07 02:42:40	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137133	No	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0x4e613a…
06-07 02:40:48	will trump say jerome or powell this week	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0xb9fd0e…
06-07 02:38:37	will trump say yips in june	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x33a8c5…
06-06 18:30:28	will trump say yips in june	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xc707b5…
06-04 11:11:12	will trump praise susan dell by june 30	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xcd3d46…
06-04 11:10:51	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xa94ce9…
06-04 11:05:01	will trump say iran 5 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201998	No	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x899101…
06-04 11:04:16	will trump say drug during wisconsin events 20260602174202016	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xddf4b4…
06-04 11:03:04	will trump say death tax during wisconsin events 20260602174202011	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xc0834e…
06-04 11:00:21	will donald trump dance on june 5 2026 20260602150034328	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x548f4b…
06-04 10:57:40	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	186	26¢	$48	0xde68be…
06-04 10:55:54	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x6fe8ec…
06-04 10:55:31	will trump say death tax during wisconsin events 20260602174202011	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x72fa65…
06-04 10:55:06	will trump say big beautiful bill during wisconsin events 20260602174202012	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9c38a0…
06-04 10:54:55	will trump say big beautiful bill during wisconsin events 20260602174202012	No	BUY	88	18¢	$16	0x9235f7…
06-04 10:54:15	will trump say landslide during wisconsin events 20260602174202020	No	BUY	48	57¢	$28	0xfc6f63…
06-03 20:36:36	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd66404…
06-03 20:36:27	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0xf7dd44…
06-03 20:35:16	will trump say landslide during wisconsin events 20260602174202020	No	BUY	58	54¢	$31	0x2919e7…
06-03 20:31:09	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xba1a4d…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Texas" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x149f62…
06-03 00:18:50	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6b126b…
06-03 00:08:48	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	56¢	$49	0x8c876a…
06-03 00:07:32	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0xebc611…
06-02 14:02:02	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x6681b5…
06-02 13:57:26	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	220	39¢	$86	0x136d86…
06-02 13:56:58	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	170	26¢	$45	0x7fee83…
06-02 13:27:58	Will "Texas" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x59dfa6…
06-02 13:27:02	Will "Love" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xc014aa…
06-02 13:26:36	Will "Different" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa8851b…
06-02 13:26:12	Will "System" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x453b0f…
06-02 13:26:01	Will "System" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xd7b4ed…
06-02 13:25:05	Will "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x18d3d8…
06-02 13:24:44	Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 15+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	70	22¢	$16	0x4732ce…
06-02 13:23:52	Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?	No	BUY	38	65¢	$24	0xdaae32…
06-01 13:06:40	will trump say yips in june	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x70cda0…
06-01 08:48:55	will trump say yips in june	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc0f9eb…