Growing-Cash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

2,022

Trades

21,576

lifetime

Volume

$3.33M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$31

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-31 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

100% 22% -$2,619

Crypto

0% 39% -$504

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 9561 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+19	$12	55¢	$10	-$2	10-30 18:59
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+15	$9	68¢	$10	+$2	10-31 05:05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+24	$9	40¢	$10	+$0	10-31 09:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+3	$5	8¢	$0	-$5	10-29 17:46
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1	$3	19¢	$0	-$3	10-31 00:52
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	14¢	$0	+$1	10-28 22:56
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+2	$0	6¢	$0	$0	10-29 00:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12,277	$2.42M	5,981,360	5,748,578	+232,782	No	-$3,909	10-26 00:04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4,480	$565.0K	358,145	358,137	+8	No	-$621	06-16 00:38
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1,558	$330.0K	193,893	203,437	-9,545	Yes	+$3,270	06-15 11:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	53	$4.0K	4,172	4,155	+18	Yes	-$13	06-24 10:55
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$1.3K	1,544	32	+1,512	No	-$1,333	04-15 01:10
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	14	$706	431	431	+0	open	—	06-23 09:05
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$588	0	38,992	-38,992	No	+$588	05-11 08:39
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	50	$430	1,417	1,415	+1	open	—	10-31 00:52
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$300	2,909	0	+2,909	No	-$300	04-13 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$247	150	150	+0	Up	+$47	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$230	132	132	+0	Up	+$30	05-11 20:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	31	$230	199	180	+19	open	—	10-30 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$227	128	128	+0	Up	+$27	05-12 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$221	122	122	+0	Up	+$21	05-12 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$214	130	130	+0	Up	+$14	05-11 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$209	117	117	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$204	112	112	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$203	108	108	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$202	105	105	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 05:09
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$200	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$200	04-13 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$200	420	0	+420	Down	-$200	05-13 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$200	322	0	+322	Up	+$122	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$200	211	0	+211	Down	+$11	05-12 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$197	101	101	+0	Up	-$3	05-11 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	Down	+$25	05-11 12:03
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$100	312	0	+312	No	-$100	04-14 19:31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	165	0	+165	Yes	+$65	07-19 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$100	1,047	0	+1,047	Down	-$100	05-12 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:29:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x5e87d5…
10-31 05:05:30	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xded096…
10-31 04:52:03	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xbdb3ba…
10-31 04:48:33	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8cc4af…
10-31 00:52:28	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0xf32ec1…
10-31 00:51:04	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xb40ae8…
10-30 20:36:01	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	119	16¢	$19	0x3d38fc…
10-30 18:59:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x3209f9…
10-30 17:14:24	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xe8616b…
10-30 16:51:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xae2f3b…
10-30 16:29:13	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x550335…
10-30 15:17:43	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	16¢	$10	0xfb34ad…
10-30 13:12:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x82a7e6…
10-30 11:33:58	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xf96a9b…
10-30 09:58:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xce224b…
10-30 09:14:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x3571c3…
10-30 07:29:33	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	61	16¢	$10	0xd188cb…
10-30 03:06:21	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xee63cc…
10-30 01:26:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x2ff737…
10-30 01:19:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xc5654e…
10-30 01:05:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xe4f10e…
10-29 22:58:07	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x355bde…
10-29 20:29:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x86b257…
10-29 20:09:49	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xdfa4e3…
10-29 20:09:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6858eb…
10-29 19:50:36	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0x91ba31…
10-29 19:09:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4890b0…
10-29 17:48:35	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb0d27a…
10-29 17:46:52	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	6¢	$8	0x5ee198…
10-29 17:46:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xdfbbb5…
10-29 16:41:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x293875…
10-29 16:36:50	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x744b45…
10-29 15:46:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2bf624…
10-29 15:24:56	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x222fba…
10-29 14:57:20	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x8c84fc…
10-29 13:33:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$9	0x9b00ef…
10-29 13:31:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x61b3ed…
10-29 13:11:14	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0x76748e…
10-29 12:05:50	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	54	16¢	$8	0xb7ec44…
10-29 11:35:07	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xac99b3…
10-29 11:04:02	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xd9eb69…
10-29 09:11:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xd64ce7…
10-29 09:08:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x975f56…
10-29 08:59:29	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x82121e…
10-29 07:53:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xe5f88c…
10-29 07:53:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbc00f8…
10-29 07:16:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x989ae4…
10-29 06:23:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6f8be6…
10-29 05:56:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5944b5…
10-29 00:21:28	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	11¢	$10	0xd73b78…
10-28 23:26:44	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	180	15¢	$27	0xca65e9…
10-28 23:12:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0x2cd330…
10-28 22:56:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	16¢	$10	0xa3824e…
10-28 20:40:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb0384f…
10-28 18:33:55	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	6¢	$16	0x68c481…
10-28 07:55:02	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xdc07b5…
10-28 05:39:52	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0xd32d30…
10-28 05:39:50	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x60bdc5…
10-28 04:30:47	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xc81297…
10-28 04:25:35	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0xde3bd6…
10-28 04:22:01	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x340182…
10-28 04:19:20	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xf7dbdd…
10-28 04:15:34	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x33e239…
10-28 03:12:32	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	64	16¢	$10	0x6ba557…
10-28 02:12:48	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x51e8ed…
10-28 01:43:02	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x309e60…
10-27 23:46:12	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	64	15¢	$10	0x685c7c…
10-27 23:36:51	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	15¢	$10	0xbd87d0…
10-27 22:56:32	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xe6e02d…
10-27 22:55:57	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x5c5ecd…
10-27 22:52:50	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	72	14¢	$10	0xbc9f7c…
10-27 20:31:45	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x35f4c5…
10-27 20:08:08	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	74	14¢	$10	0x37e127…
10-27 18:19:33	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xd59489…
10-27 17:50:21	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	74	13¢	$10	0x164c1d…
10-27 17:43:00	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x9715e4…
10-27 17:42:57	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x5fa613…
10-27 14:52:05	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	7¢	$9	0x234333…
10-27 14:27:33	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0xfa2e05…
10-27 14:01:35	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	7¢	$9	0x85ac04…
10-27 13:51:50	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x94f25d…
10-27 13:25:36	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x695330…
10-27 03:34:53	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	70	14¢	$10	0x52c73a…
10-26 21:21:23	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xf2ba87…
10-26 20:53:53	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0xe687e6…
10-26 20:52:32	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0x6ad55b…
10-26 20:26:41	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0x18c091…
10-26 20:22:50	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xdb21cb…
10-26 18:55:41	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x3b8ad3…
10-26 00:04:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$1	0xbfa1c8…
10-26 00:04:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30,505	0¢	$92	0x12b51d…
10-26 00:04:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	930	0¢	$3	0x49f479…
10-26 00:04:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18,889	0¢	$57	0x3b7eb1…
10-26 00:04:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x90e5f2…
10-26 00:04:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x82e690…
10-26 00:04:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x76cf4d…
10-26 00:04:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x6374de…
10-26 00:04:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27,300	0¢	$82	0x1888de…
10-26 00:04:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25,000	0¢	$100	0xe5d2fa…
10-26 00:04:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xcc26d0…