Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$216

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

21.6%

Resolved

1,541

Trades

5,198

lifetime

Volume

$7.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-29 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 18% -$310

Other

5% 20% +$82

Sports

1% 67% +$12

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No		+70	$46	76¢	$53	+$7	10-28 18:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	79	$118	215	175	+40	Down	-$5	07-17 02:57
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 11am et	54	$111	175	90	+85	Down	-$4	07-16 15:59
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 9pm et	43	$96	130	85	+45	Down	-$3	07-17 01:47
ethereum up or down july 17 2026 9am et	30	$95	75	65	+10	Down	-$1	07-17 13:59
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 8pm et	50	$86	150	90	+60	Up	-$5	07-17 00:54
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 2pm et	53	$81	150	115	+35	Up	-$2	07-16 18:49
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 12pm et	31	$78	125	25	+100	Down	-$3	07-16 16:26
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 7am et	37	$76	134	19	+115	Down	-$3	07-16 11:58
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 1pm et	32	$75	121	30	+91	Down	-$3	07-16 17:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$71	66	66	+0	Yes	+$13	10-02 06:04
xrp up or down july 7 2026 12pm et	18	$69	73	73	+0	Down	-$7	07-07 16:37
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 5pm et	29	$64	102	30	+72	Up	-$1	07-16 21:28
xrp up or down july 26 2026 1am et	25	$63	105	7	+98	Down	-$3	07-26 05:50
xrp up or down july 7 2026 11am et	20	$59	64	44	+20	Up	-$1	07-07 15:52
ethereum up or down july 27 2026 4pm et	24	$56	98	5	+93	Down	-$2	07-27 20:58
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 6pm et	28	$55	100	30	+70	Down	-$3	07-16 22:38
ethereum up or down july 17 2026 7am et	18	$53	50	40	+10	Up	+$0	07-17 11:59
ethereum up or down july 5 2026 4am et	12	$50	54	25	+29	Down	-$1	07-05 08:57
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2pm et	19	$50	92	0	+92	Up	-$2	07-28 18:49
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	3	$49	48	48	+0	Yes	+$1	07-14 14:54
xrp up or down july 10 2026 4pm et	22	$48	86	10	+76	Down	-$1	07-10 20:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$46	70	0	+70	open	—	10-28 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ET	20	$46	84	5	+79	Up	-$1	07-29 07:45
xrp up or down july 12 2026 7pm et	27	$46	67	23	+44	Down	-$3	07-12 23:58
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 4pm et	21	$45	80	25	+55	Down	-$1	07-16 20:54
xrp up or down july 10 2026 1pm et	18	$44	86	0	+86	Down	-$3	07-10 17:53
xrp up or down july 7 2026 9am et	15	$43	61	10	+51	Down	-$1	07-07 13:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	4	$41	75	0	+75	open	—	10-28 23:52
ethereum up or down july 4 2026 7pm et	18	$41	82	0	+82	Down	-$2	07-04 23:45
ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1pm et	18	$40	85	0	+85	Up	$0	07-04 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:33:34	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe1255d…
10-28 23:52:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xac23ed…
10-28 18:08:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xae834a…
10-28 18:05:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd0edda…
10-28 18:05:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0xac7015…
10-28 17:50:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x339fc4…
10-28 17:50:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xf1a322…
10-28 17:50:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa3409f…
10-28 17:48:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xbf535c…
10-28 17:46:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x022e30…
10-28 17:42:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x352941…
10-28 17:37:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x18b06f…
10-28 17:08:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xa70759…
10-28 16:37:43	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xde9060…
10-28 16:22:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xb6efdb…
10-28 16:22:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x55b4e6…
10-28 15:32:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc36b46…
10-28 15:32:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa7c283…
10-28 15:31:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x65874d…
10-28 15:31:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6511f4…
10-28 15:02:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7456fb…
10-28 14:52:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd96897…
10-28 14:42:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe06b60…
10-28 14:42:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xaf3f18…
10-28 14:12:34	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4b28e3…
10-28 14:12:26	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc57294…
10-28 13:56:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b631e…
10-28 13:47:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x095240…
10-28 13:47:11	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x632c52…
10-28 13:47:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x395934…
10-28 13:46:46	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4740f…
10-28 13:36:56	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2a71ee…
10-28 13:36:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0ff03e…
10-28 13:32:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x05026b…
10-28 13:31:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xffe891…
10-28 13:30:56	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b2652…
10-28 13:27:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xef3f36…
10-28 13:27:34	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbbfd13…
10-28 13:07:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe51f47…
10-28 13:06:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xdb3944…
10-28 12:38:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x202785…
10-28 12:38:01	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb9101a…
10-28 12:12:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc85296…
10-28 12:02:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa35074…
10-28 11:57:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd3f36f…
10-28 11:57:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a8deb…
10-28 11:57:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x825748…
10-28 11:56:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x74c69d…
10-28 11:42:50	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2838bd…
10-28 11:07:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5ae5bf…
10-28 11:07:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf4ea6d…
10-28 11:02:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b2233…
10-28 10:58:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x608922…
10-28 10:57:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3bf865…
10-28 10:47:44	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe00c9c…
10-28 10:47:44	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2a480f…
10-28 10:47:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x019b0c…
10-28 10:47:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xeee728…
10-28 10:07:22	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe981b3…
10-28 09:52:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc2577e…
10-28 09:52:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x33fdc1…
10-28 09:22:32	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x787007…
10-28 09:21:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x849f3b…
10-28 09:17:28	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c68cd…
10-28 08:36:38	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x088670…
10-28 08:36:10	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3dc487…
10-28 08:27:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1c9079…
10-28 08:26:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd60475…
10-28 08:26:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x662fff…
10-28 08:26:38	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfc0dde…
10-28 08:22:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xddcbbb…
10-28 08:10:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x54ecd0…
10-28 08:10:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbe00e1…
10-28 08:02:34	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x655248…
10-28 07:58:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd49134…
10-28 07:57:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x55429d…
10-28 07:53:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x38cc58…
10-28 07:52:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29fb1d…
10-28 07:47:46	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf16252…
10-28 07:47:35	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfb2c6a…
10-28 06:57:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa32c02…
10-28 06:52:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x93a9fa…
10-28 06:52:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x91cbad…
10-28 05:37:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x39d03f…
10-28 05:32:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6a9cc5…
10-28 05:17:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x60bc43…
10-28 05:17:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x529270…
10-28 05:12:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x95bd1a…
10-28 04:47:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3d1392…
10-28 04:47:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x69250d…
10-28 04:33:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3f9330…
10-28 04:32:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x017780…
10-28 04:32:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd1d9fe…
10-28 04:32:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa69430…
10-28 04:22:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe478ab…
10-28 04:22:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x561f53…
10-28 04:22:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf6d4a3…
10-28 04:17:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x410c00…
10-28 04:07:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x91270b…
10-28 04:07:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x527b3f…