Vast-Invention — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$52

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,517 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$681

$31.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-20 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% +$187

Other

1% 39% -$91

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Sports

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes		+7	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	05-07 12:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	8	$551	470	470	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$448	383	383	+0	Up	+$68	05-22 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	7	$400	303	275	+28	Up	+$47	05-11 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$340	439	404	+35	Down	+$36	05-09 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$249	193	112	+81	Down	+$30	05-11 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:30 UTC	3	$238	270	170	+100	Up	-$32	06-05 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$230	241	241	+0	Up	+$80	05-08 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$221	262	192	+69	Up	+$17	05-11 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$205	186	122	+64	Up	+$69	05-08 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$196	260	198	+63	Down	+$36	05-08 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$195	121	121	+0	Up	+$45	05-11 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$187	191	128	+63	Up	+$50	05-08 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$183	155	94	+61	Up	+$44	05-08 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$180	128	128	+0	Down	+$50	05-06 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:40 UTC	5	$180	179	140	+38	Up	+$21	06-08 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$177	335	150	+185	Down	+$27	05-23 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$165	157	89	+68	Up	+$33	05-08 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$164	131	78	+53	Up	+$17	05-08 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$156	162	88	+75	Down	+$31	05-07 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$154	378	128	+250	Down	+$44	05-08 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$150	194	0	+194	Up	+$44	05-09 08:51
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$150	231	0	+231	Down	-$150	05-09 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$150	183	0	+183	Up	+$33	05-09 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$150	181	0	+181	Up	+$31	05-11 07:46
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$149	77	77	+0	Down	-$1	05-11 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$147	140	111	+29	Up	+$26	05-08 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:00 UTC	3	$146	199	108	+91	Down	+$46	06-08 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$143	123	94	+29	Down	+$21	05-08 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$140	154	114	+40	Up	-$10	05-08 11:11
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$139	107	64	+42	Up	+$22	05-11 09:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 10:05:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0x23ada2…
10-20 10:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xa7dc46…
10-20 09:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xb98915…
10-20 09:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x288799…
10-20 09:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	33	79¢	$26	0x461185…
10-20 09:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x8d55a2…
10-20 09:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xc14d3b…
10-20 09:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x9e1e94…
10-20 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x69e7b4…
10-20 09:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x79d777…
10-20 09:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x2f257e…
10-20 09:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd4649e…
10-19 19:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xe480f5…
10-19 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	28	81¢	$22	0x4570fd…
10-19 19:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x216c70…
10-19 19:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x4eb886…
10-19 19:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	83¢	$23	0xa88f51…
10-19 19:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x7c99a9…
10-19 19:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d8c5c…
10-19 18:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5f40cc…
10-19 18:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x147dc6…
10-19 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc18388…
10-19 18:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	52	43¢	$22	0x711a43…
10-19 18:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xb319a7…
10-19 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7df81b…
10-19 13:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x5d5788…
10-19 13:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xb47ca1…
10-19 13:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0xce67c2…
10-19 13:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf0a7eb…
10-19 13:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	45	68¢	$31	0x94dd39…
10-19 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x862271…
10-19 13:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3ae527…
10-19 13:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x315bd1…
10-19 13:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0x1c36eb…
10-19 13:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x57e101…
10-19 13:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xda0c60…
10-19 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xde42e4…
10-19 11:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xfcf7c7…
10-19 11:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbf7f53…
10-19 11:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	37	86¢	$31	0xa43c64…
10-19 11:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x303936…
10-19 11:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa673bb…
10-19 11:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x658cd7…
10-19 11:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x20b9e9…
10-19 11:35:44	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x397a42…
10-19 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc21a4f…
10-19 11:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x03afd9…
10-19 11:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9faf77…
10-19 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0a880a…
10-19 11:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xbd2fc6…
10-19 11:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x593c95…
10-19 11:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa3f8d0…
10-19 11:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	96	28¢	$27	0x584ca3…
10-19 11:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6acccd…
10-19 11:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xdc15e8…
10-19 11:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xaf0552…
07-14 15:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x705d13…
07-14 15:52:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdf68d8…
07-14 15:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbb397c…
07-01 09:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xc960bf…
07-01 09:26:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa7526e…
07-01 09:20:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x71de22…
07-01 09:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xfd56f3…
07-01 09:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x250b5e…
07-01 09:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x56134e…
07-01 09:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x0546e5…
07-01 09:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7e4d88…
07-01 08:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf08f0…
06-30 12:13:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	67	20¢	$13	0xafe82c…
06-30 12:12:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x42392a…
06-30 12:11:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xb29b9b…
06-30 12:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa0fb1f…
06-30 11:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xcf9b48…
06-30 11:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x9af528…
06-30 11:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xcfc780…
06-30 11:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xccd6c7…
06-30 11:17:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc870e3…
06-30 11:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x96dfec…
06-30 11:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8df8d4…
06-30 11:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfb5e3d…
06-30 11:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9b4be6…
06-30 11:07:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0xadbc62…
06-30 11:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbd1176…
06-30 11:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0c08f9…
06-30 10:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd12e12…
06-30 10:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbfd4f0…
06-30 10:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x8db08b…
06-30 10:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc37bab…
06-30 10:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1a70e8…
06-30 10:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x4dd823…
06-30 10:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9028c8…
06-30 10:23:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x566120…
06-30 10:22:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:20 UTC	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xa0da56…
06-30 10:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1a9490…
06-30 10:16:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xfc8e37…
06-30 10:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe5ad73…
06-30 10:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x6ad180…
06-30 10:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9c6f4f…
06-30 10:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xe55044…
06-30 10:00:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x77049f…