Guilty-Fertilizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

1,187

Trades

3,541

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% -$205

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on april 2 2026	10	$1.8K	1,154	1,144	+10	Down	+$514	04-02 14:37
bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	10	$1.7K	1,343	1,319	+24	Down	+$587	03-31 13:00
ethereum up or down on march 19 2026	12	$1.2K	960	934	+26	Down	+$479	03-19 14:17
ethereum up or down on march 22 2026	9	$1.1K	580	580	+0	Down	+$64	03-22 11:46
ethereum up or down on march 21 2026	2	$895	512	508	+4	Up	+$98	03-21 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1AM ET	11	$806	508	501	+7	Up	-$9	04-26 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ET	29	$675	454	445	+8	Down	-$21	04-26 19:22
ethereum up or down on march 23 2026	2	$674	522	516	+6	Up	+$363	03-23 15:57
bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	2	$454	945	935	+10	Up	-$94	03-28 07:52
bitcoin up or down on april 2 2026	13	$430	1,203	1,194	+9	Down	-$386	04-02 12:50
ethereum up or down on march 29 2026	1	$353	1,019	0	+1,019	Down	-$353	03-29 04:10
ethereum up or down on march 30 2026	2	$342	925	0	+925	Up	-$342	03-30 06:31
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	3	$315	783	771	+11	Down	-$295	03-27 13:10
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	3	$315	525	517	+8	Up	-$312	03-23 14:51
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 7am et	5	$300	188	188	+0	Up	-$50	03-27 11:51
ethereum up or down on march 26 2026	16	$245	635	0	+635	Down	-$245	03-26 10:41
ethereum up or down march 21 2026 10am et	14	$230	683	681	+3	Down	-$6	03-21 15:08
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 11pm et	2	$216	113	113	+0	Down	+$10	03-27 04:00
ethereum up or down march 7 11pm et	3	$213	162	160	+2	Down	+$109	03-08 05:06
ethereum up or down march 11 3am et	6	$206	132	130	+2	Down	+$34	03-11 07:39
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 8am et	4	$205	110	109	+1	Down	+$3	04-12 12:59
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 10am et	2	$185	98	98	+0	Down	+$9	03-28 14:59
ethereum up or down march 28 2026 7am et	2	$177	96	96	+0	Up	-$1	03-28 11:52
bitcoin up or down march 12 2am et	11	$171	122	120	+2	Up	+$53	03-12 07:00
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 7pm et	4	$170	93	93	+0	Down	-$1	03-27 00:00
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 10am et	4	$163	107	106	+1	Down	+$21	03-23 14:49
ethereum up or down march 21 2026 6am et	36	$162	314	299	+15	Down	-$10	03-21 10:27
bitcoin up or down march 11 6am et	7	$160	111	110	+2	Up	+$58	03-11 10:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	15	$149	190	187	+3	Up	+$0	03-11 10:02
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 6am et	20	$148	93	92	+1	Down	+$35	03-17 11:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x915a56…
10-30 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x982699…
10-30 02:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4e118e…
10-29 21:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x92a0ef…
10-29 20:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2aceb1…
10-29 04:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xad06fc…
10-28 16:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x351c02…
10-28 15:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5beb49…
10-28 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x44fce8…
10-25 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe1285d…
10-23 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb97c6a…
10-23 14:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x28301e…
10-22 09:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x47c84e…
10-22 08:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1e4a88…
10-21 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8acdd1…
10-21 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x448d96…
10-19 02:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf3d27c…
10-19 01:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2ed3c7…
10-19 00:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb7fb93…
10-18 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x804aa1…
10-18 14:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xe2f7b4…
10-18 14:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd408d9…
10-18 08:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf6a9e7…
10-18 03:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf895f9…
10-18 02:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xac83fb…
10-17 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe48f95…
10-16 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb5a97f…
10-16 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x5a28f0…
10-16 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x55b8ef…
10-16 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4a91ae…
10-15 13:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2b1205…
10-15 13:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xd87f73…
10-15 13:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3744df…
10-15 12:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc9b408…
10-15 04:00:35	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe27e02…
10-14 16:18:09	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x653bf4…
10-14 15:00:37	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x458eec…
10-13 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf42c68…
10-13 05:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5ae6fe…
10-13 05:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x47a6d0…
10-11 20:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x68245f…
10-10 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x71b452…
10-10 12:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0aed69…
10-10 11:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x91aad4…
10-09 23:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf9c71f…
10-09 23:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc3f65d…
10-09 21:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xca7a49…
10-09 21:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6b16f1…
10-09 20:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x27bbf1…
10-09 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xefb6b4…
10-09 08:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe29c19…
10-09 07:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd2e2c5…
10-09 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf3ad8e…
10-09 04:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1ca653…
10-09 04:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0bc295…
10-08 14:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x29ef5f…
10-07 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x77e984…
10-07 13:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4e654c…
10-07 10:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xd64dc7…
10-07 10:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x33e397…
10-07 10:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbacd29…
10-07 04:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x870bc7…
10-06 13:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x722295…
10-06 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xeee0e9…
09-27 11:13:57	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x735d32…
09-27 11:13:51	ethereum up or down september 27 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdb8307…
09-27 10:12:45	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbe9352…
09-27 10:12:39	ethereum up or down september 27 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6d204c…
09-27 09:05:27	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8d0e76…
09-27 09:05:21	ethereum up or down september 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x723481…
09-27 08:02:38	ethereum up or down september 27 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0xc37d2a…
09-27 08:02:33	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x44afc9…
09-27 06:48:47	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x57212f…
09-27 06:48:41	ethereum up or down september 27 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd7157d…
09-26 23:05:59	ethereum up or down september 26 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x495646…
09-26 23:05:53	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x50fedf…
09-26 22:02:38	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8a5cd3…
09-26 22:02:35	ethereum up or down september 26 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdcdf63…
09-26 21:20:26	ethereum up or down september 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4cb777…
09-26 21:20:20	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x207494…
09-26 17:06:05	ethereum up or down september 26 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6fa96e…
09-26 17:05:59	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x34b8aa…
09-26 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbdb681…
09-26 14:18:47	Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xef49f2…
09-26 12:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5b1681…
09-26 12:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x545614…
09-26 11:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x171456…
09-26 11:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdd8260…
09-26 08:25:12	ethereum up or down september 26 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x661d82…
09-26 08:25:08	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf9f1a4…
09-26 06:04:35	ethereum up or down september 26 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2424e7…
09-26 06:04:29	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x88d99b…
09-25 23:05:38	ethereum up or down september 25 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x23867b…
09-25 23:05:32	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2efcf6…
09-25 22:09:42	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8b427b…
09-25 22:09:38	ethereum up or down september 25 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7f37cc…
09-25 21:34:24	ethereum up or down september 25 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x96344b…
09-25 21:34:20	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x29d4b5…
09-25 18:24:57	ethereum up or down september 25 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x85e6e9…
09-25 18:24:53	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdf2950…