Lost-Journalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$225

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

247

Trades

406

lifetime

Volume

$228.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$562

Open exposure

$1.04K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-24 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% +$225

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No		+1,042	$1,033	100¢	$1.0K	+$6	10-24 16:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 100k on january 20	23	$4.8K	25,990	25,990	+0	No	+$0	01-19 22:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 21	9	$2.4K	11,052	10,256	+796	No	+$1	01-21 02:33
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	10	$2.4K	15,847	15,052	+795	Yes	+$1	01-19 12:06
ethereum above 2500 on april 8	18	$1.8K	917	917	+0	No	+$3	04-08 02:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	2	$1.8K	906	906	+0	No	+$0	03-29 21:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 29	2	$1.8K	905	905	+0	No	+$0	03-28 20:53
ethereum above 2400 on march 23	2	$1.8K	899	899	+0	No	+$0	03-23 08:54
ethereum above 1500 on march 6	2	$1.7K	867	867	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 10:52
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	3	$1.7K	863	863	+0	No	+$2	03-03 08:55
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	6	$1.7K	27,887	27,887	+0	No	+$0	02-04 06:17
ethereum above 2300 on february 28	2	$1.7K	855	855	+0	No	+$0	02-28 00:04
will ethereum reach 2500 february 9 15	2	$1.7K	853	853	+0	No	+$4	02-15 21:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 9	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$0	02-09 09:36
bitcoin above 84k on february 9	2	$1.7K	837	837	+0	No	+$2	02-08 22:54
bitcoin above 86k on february 8	2	$1.7K	836	836	+0	No	+$1	02-07 22:34
bitcoin above 84k on february 7	2	$1.7K	835	835	+0	No	+$1	02-06 23:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	2	$1.7K	834	834	+0	No	+$2	02-06 00:05
bitcoin above 74k on february 23	2	$1.7K	830	830	+0	No	+$0	02-23 08:47
bitcoin above 92k on january 31	7	$1.7K	25,304	25,304	-0	No	+$0	01-31 00:47
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 29	2	$1.6K	825	825	+0	No	+$0	01-28 22:21
bitcoin above 82k on january 28	2	$1.6K	824	824	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 09:26
ethereum above 3300 on january 27	5	$1.6K	8,636	8,636	+0	No	$0	01-26 23:48
bitcoin above 80k on january 27	2	$1.6K	822	822	+0	Yes	+$0	01-27 12:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 19	4	$1.6K	815	815	+0	No	+$0	01-19 11:10
will ethereum reach 3900 january 12 18	2	$1.6K	813	813	+0	No	+$0	01-18 22:21
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 12 18	2	$1.6K	813	813	+0	No	+$1	01-18 06:17
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 21	6	$1.6K	816	806	+11	No	+$0	01-20 23:10
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	1	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	10-24 16:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	2	$1.0K	1,034	0	+1,034	Yes	+$1	10-22 06:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	2	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	No	+$1	10-21 04:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:25:24	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,042	99¢	$1,033	0xbf3dad…
10-22 06:46:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	925	100¢	$925	0xd6bf49…
10-22 06:34:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xe635be…
10-21 04:18:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x8d44cc…
10-21 04:16:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	727	100¢	$726	0x4d3a58…
10-19 14:31:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	498	100¢	$498	0xa7597f…
10-18 21:55:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0x0b40ba…
10-17 00:43:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x6f36c2…
10-17 00:42:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x3e06b8…
10-13 05:29:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	1,029	100¢	$1,028	0xf23cdb…
10-12 15:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1,028	100¢	$1,027	0xda0ea9…
10-11 13:46:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	880	100¢	$879	0x3ff011…
10-11 12:25:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x9c4322…
10-10 06:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1,026	100¢	$1,025	0xac3ec7…
10-09 05:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	1,025	100¢	$1,024	0xcf7936…
10-08 13:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0xe708a2…
10-08 12:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0x601b00…
10-07 10:52:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,022	100¢	$1,021	0xabd540…
10-05 08:45:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0xe47e35…
10-04 10:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0x4725b1…
10-03 14:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	1,019	100¢	$1,018	0x5d341e…
09-30 23:48:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x593c49…
09-30 23:45:56	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	516	100¢	$515	0xd7f83c…
09-30 11:31:47	bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	966	100¢	$965	0x1557c8…
09-30 11:24:21	bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf5789e…
09-29 12:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xe18b68…
09-29 11:47:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	674	100¢	$674	0xd1e6ff…
09-28 01:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,013	0xc3b78c…
09-27 04:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	1,013	100¢	$1,012	0x6719ad…
09-26 01:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	1,013	100¢	$1,012	0x5dcbc0…
09-25 03:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1,012	100¢	$1,011	0x11a7c0…
09-24 05:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,010	0xcbd2c6…
09-23 00:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0x4f7970…
09-22 02:56:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,008	0xc95be5…
09-21 09:30:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	1,007	100¢	$1,006	0x9dee32…
09-21 03:44:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	1,006	100¢	$1,005	0x008b22…
09-20 00:17:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,003	0xd3851a…
09-19 09:51:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa1113e…
09-19 09:51:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	946	100¢	$946	0x4a091d…
09-18 08:49:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0xc27ad4…
09-16 13:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0xdb7c0e…
09-15 04:14:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x73ef0e…
09-15 04:14:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb81ce5…
09-15 04:14:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	318	100¢	$317	0x097b2b…
08-31 00:08:31	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	998	100¢	$997	0x4e7aca…
08-29 16:04:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	444	100¢	$444	0xce65a4…
08-29 08:28:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	554	100¢	$553	0x203bb9…
08-28 08:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	508	100¢	$507	0xe94b95…
08-28 08:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	488	100¢	$488	0x960451…
08-27 16:00:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	818	100¢	$817	0x3ab5cd…
08-27 16:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xe81dfa…
08-22 18:33:13	bitcoin above 54k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	612	100¢	$611	0x44a5a3…
08-22 11:50:12	bitcoin above 54k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	382	100¢	$382	0xe7c2ee…
08-21 08:58:36	bitcoin above 64k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	993	100¢	$992	0x3fa479…
08-07 11:40:00	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x034850…
08-07 11:37:15	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	877	100¢	$876	0x5eca5c…
08-06 12:44:12	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	849	100¢	$848	0x301274…
08-06 12:44:05	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xda5a86…
08-04 21:01:24	bitcoin above 54k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	990	100¢	$989	0xe108f7…
08-03 20:00:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	633	100¢	$632	0x5e326a…
08-03 20:00:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$356	0xb23cd6…
08-01 09:38:56	ethereum above 1600 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	988	100¢	$987	0xd8037d…
07-31 16:23:09	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	987	100¢	$986	0x15aa6d…
07-29 20:54:41	ethereum above 2200 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xd59b4b…
07-29 20:13:39	xrp above 1pt3 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	449	100¢	$448	0xdc4aec…
07-28 02:34:48	bitcoin above 56k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	986	100¢	$985	0xe8b75d…
07-26 17:18:03	ethereum above 2200 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	985	100¢	$984	0xcd4d5d…
07-24 14:03:45	bitcoin above 54k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x2f9728…
07-24 11:36:07	bitcoin above 54k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	754	100¢	$754	0x423a31…
07-19 04:30:10	bitcoin above 52k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	983	100¢	$982	0xd3daec…
07-16 09:05:20	xrp above 1pt3 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	982	100¢	$981	0x74f21d…
07-14 21:24:28	ethereum above 1500 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	981	100¢	$980	0x27db6a…
07-14 04:00:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	980	100¢	$979	0xe78876…
07-10 11:14:08	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xf4e9dc…
07-10 10:26:01	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x42e63c…
07-10 09:46:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9399dc…
07-10 08:58:23	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	709	100¢	$708	0xdf8aea…
07-08 09:54:08	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	978	100¢	$977	0x6c4914…
07-07 13:07:11	bitcoin above 48k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	977	100¢	$976	0x0f0334…
07-06 00:49:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	976	100¢	$975	0x054f44…
07-04 21:00:23	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	946	100¢	$945	0xa8c71f…
07-04 20:27:41	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2dddc1…
07-04 11:32:41	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	974	100¢	$973	0x9f4522…
07-03 09:10:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	973	100¢	$972	0x28b34b…
07-01 17:49:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	850	100¢	$849	0xbf829e…
07-01 17:38:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x645a13…
07-01 14:46:05	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xbf2d1d…
06-30 19:42:01	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	971	100¢	$970	0x1ad0aa…
06-29 21:58:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x6f6eff…
06-29 21:06:52	ethereum above 1900 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	834	100¢	$833	0x54c433…
06-28 23:00:32	bitcoin above 70k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x76d78b…
06-28 22:44:07	bitcoin above 70k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	639	100¢	$638	0xdd9738…
06-28 09:21:50	ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	968	100¢	$967	0xdc4754…
06-26 20:30:10	ethereum above 1900 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	968	100¢	$967	0x82ac53…
06-25 21:32:17	ethereum above 2100 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	967	100¢	$966	0xb3e8f8…
06-25 12:45:14	bitcoin above 52k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	966	100¢	$965	0x536846…
06-24 12:06:26	bitcoin above 70k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	887	100¢	$886	0x9cf084…
06-22 21:50:41	xrp above 0pt7 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	886	100¢	$885	0xc4cb2b…
06-21 21:21:53	ethereum above 2300 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x815629…
06-21 16:56:01	ethereum above 2100 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	443	100¢	$443	0xc18111…