Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved (90d)

269

Trades (90d)

534

534 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.08K

$2.08K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-12

last 11-06 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 76% -$7

Other

3% 0% -$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+20	$1	7¢	$1	$0	11-06 06:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	13	$40	51	21	+30	Down	+$10	10-12 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$31	32	32	+0	Down	-$1	10-12 23:00
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	5	$29	40	40	+0	open	—	10-29 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	4	$23	22	22	+0	Up	$0	10-13 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$22	24	24	+0	Up	-$1	10-12 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	10-12 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-13 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-12 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	10-13 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-12 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	10-12 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Down	$0	10-13 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:35 UTC	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	10-13 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	$0	10-13 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	10-12 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-13 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	10-12 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	10-12 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	10-12 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	$0	10-12 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	10-23 05:27
Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	10-27 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$11	10	10	+0	Up	-$8	10-24 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$11	10	10	+0	Up	-$8	10-23 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	10-12 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-12 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	4	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$0	10-14 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$0	10-14 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	4	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$0	10-14 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:06:48	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xcfd294…
11-04 07:30:28	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7d6278…
11-04 07:30:28	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x23cfa6…
11-04 07:30:07	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xdc701b…
11-04 07:23:03	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x39dcbb…
11-04 07:23:03	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x28787b…
11-04 06:15:00	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x00331f…
11-04 05:29:51	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa7d76e…
10-29 07:50:11	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xbdb697…
10-29 07:50:05	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5c3df8…
10-28 19:30:34	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x261251…
10-28 19:30:17	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xa0e423…
10-28 19:30:17	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f0e84…
10-28 11:48:37	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd8b73b…
10-28 11:48:32	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8afdfe…
10-28 11:48:17	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x9c5ade…
10-28 11:48:14	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x28904a…
10-28 11:47:58	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x2f11f3…
10-28 11:47:53	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xec9ce4…
10-27 19:49:18	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xdd8305…
10-27 17:48:44	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xea37b8…
10-27 09:55:23	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x8b0c67…
10-27 09:53:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xea934d…
10-24 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b6b6b…
10-24 07:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x226909…
10-24 07:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2cfcb0…
10-24 07:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x707376…
10-24 07:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x527eb5…
10-24 07:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f73e2…
10-24 06:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x89c0dd…
10-24 06:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa746d6…
10-24 06:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x610165…
10-24 06:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x999caf…
10-24 06:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x406016…
10-24 06:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xccee96…
10-24 06:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x000759…
10-24 06:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x32e682…
10-24 05:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe511ea…
10-24 05:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13a9ef…
10-24 04:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x760726…
10-24 04:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a7e43…
10-24 04:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc3382a…
10-24 04:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x462860…
10-24 03:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xadc1c6…
10-24 03:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb52ef2…
10-24 03:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x486047…
10-24 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1fb0d9…
10-24 03:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d1275…
10-24 03:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94720a…
10-24 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5eb0e0…
10-24 03:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x82a97a…
10-24 03:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa4db50…
10-24 02:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x623a1c…
10-24 02:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb89ac4…
10-24 01:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x78eeea…
10-24 01:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc5fa1…
10-24 01:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x27547e…
10-24 01:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad10cc…
10-24 01:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x400f1b…
10-24 01:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x278a67…
10-24 01:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfbc485…
10-24 01:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7729cb…
10-24 01:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa5d695…
10-24 01:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x39b2f0…
10-24 01:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x2f5e29…
10-24 01:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaeaab7…
10-24 01:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd68238…
10-24 01:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x084210…
10-24 00:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc95ab3…
10-24 00:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa5750f…
10-24 00:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd9a5e0…
10-24 00:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7ad6a1…
10-24 00:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x572730…
10-24 00:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9651be…
10-24 00:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0f967…
10-24 00:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbf4091…
10-24 00:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0dd819…
10-24 00:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x10232f…
10-23 23:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x787d67…
10-23 23:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x66ba46…
10-23 23:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f42a2…
10-23 23:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa45eaa…
10-23 23:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x519f84…
10-23 23:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x948b66…
10-23 23:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf84ced…
10-23 22:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa19fd7…
10-23 22:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd164c8…
10-23 22:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe8a404…
10-23 22:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x79f2a1…
10-23 22:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60677a…
10-23 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0c918b…
10-23 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xefbd0f…
10-23 22:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf59cbd…
10-23 22:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f728f…
10-23 21:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x269533…
10-23 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5597e4…
10-23 21:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe18226…
10-23 21:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b533c…
10-23 20:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x149cb7…
10-23 20:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0244a7…