Last-Outhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved (30d)

3,920

Trades (30d)

17,388

24,697 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$54.1K

$393.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-31 01:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

94% 56% +$1,316

Politics

3% 69% +$195

Sports

3% 59% +$37

Crypto

0% 58% +$57

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 1715 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	90	$11.7K	10,776	2,375	+8,402	Yes	-$72	03-06 16:43
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	3	$11.6K	5,800	5,800	+0	No	+$0	02-17 11:32
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	80	$11.2K	7,106	5,743	+1,363	No	-$579	02-10 13:55
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	62	$9.7K	10,565	234	+10,331	Yes	+$901	02-13 16:45
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	165	$9.5K	6,519	10,539	-4,020	Yes	+$863	03-10 16:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	47	$9.4K	10,053	0	+10,053	Yes	+$639	02-10 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	59	$9.2K	7,780	1,738	+6,043	Yes	+$51	03-03 16:42
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	34	$8.8K	8,322	631	+7,691	Yes	+$81	02-03 16:55
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	185	$8.8K	8,993	5,470	+3,524	Yes	-$934	03-13 15:57
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	27	$8.7K	8,655	236	+8,419	Yes	+$53	02-04 16:45
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	15	$8.3K	6,573	1,836	+4,738	No	+$15	01-28 05:50
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	16	$8.0K	4,258	4,238	+20	No	-$40	02-10 04:12
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	9	$6.6K	6,651	57	+6,593	No	-$1	04-22 06:54
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	23	$6.6K	6,636	0	+6,636	Yes	+$21	02-06 16:37
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	21	$6.2K	5,544	693	+4,852	Yes	+$19	02-16 16:53
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 190 214	19	$6.1K	3,098	3,098	+0	No	+$45	01-20 13:52
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	106	$6.0K	6,412	812	+5,600	Yes	+$427	02-17 17:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	17	$5.8K	5,875	0	+5,875	No	+$69	03-14 01:04
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	124	$5.8K	6,066	1,077	+4,989	Yes	+$672	01-27 17:05
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	12	$5.4K	5,434	0	+5,434	Yes	+$8	02-09 16:47
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	8	$4.9K	4,940	39	+4,901	No	+$22	03-04 10:31
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	32	$4.8K	3,400	3,424	-23	No	+$386	03-05 09:37
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	24	$4.6K	3,710	3,910	-200	No	+$43	03-17 13:02
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	8	$4.5K	4,513	16	+4,497	No	+$4	03-18 08:03
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	131	$4.2K	3,903	2,329	+1,575	Yes	-$137	02-20 16:49
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	14	$4.1K	4,196	196	+4,000	No	+$37	02-06 16:23
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	67	$4.0K	4,629	271	+4,358	Yes	+$646	01-20 16:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	6	$4.0K	4,015	0	+4,015	Yes	+$26	09-12 14:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$3.9K	3,296	1,192	+2,104	No	+$131	03-19 00:38
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	6	$3.8K	1,924	1,924	-0	No	+$1	02-10 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x426ee5…
10-31 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	67	50¢	$33	0x8c4454…
10-31 01:00:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2d03b9…
10-31 00:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	140	53¢	$74	0xcf1ddc…
10-30 19:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0e3d49…
10-30 19:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$16	0x34e62c…
10-30 05:53:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x17b9a7…
10-30 05:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc38ebe…
10-30 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xfb7214…
10-30 00:01:03	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x313b87…
10-30 00:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0x6cd986…
10-30 00:00:54	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x021a63…
10-29 22:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x966cae…
10-29 22:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb03d3c…
10-29 21:43:16	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x58749b…
10-29 21:43:16	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x544ba6…
10-29 21:09:00	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0xf71598…
10-29 21:05:33	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb157ac…
10-29 21:01:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe4e0d6…
10-29 20:47:18	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x3e5ee8…
10-29 20:01:03	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6f4d07…
10-29 16:05:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb7fca1…
10-29 16:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0xe39685…
10-29 16:02:17	Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x7d02c5…
10-29 15:32:20	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	No	BUY	268	92¢	$248	0x8166f9…
10-29 15:32:19	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbebec2…
10-29 14:48:40	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f487f…
10-29 13:39:02	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x96ab38…
10-29 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9f7d9a…
10-29 10:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	120	57¢	$68	0x6b0f4c…
10-29 07:13:13	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	283	88¢	$249	0x41603e…
10-29 04:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x689a44…
10-29 03:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	178	53¢	$95	0xd99c19…
10-29 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	194	50¢	$97	0xb1e4c2…
10-29 03:08:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4c9eef…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0x73c123…
10-29 02:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x8fe83a…
10-29 01:01:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6f2759…
10-29 01:01:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x66541f…
10-28 21:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xa9970b…
10-28 21:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8bd2ff…
10-28 20:30:50	Will XRP dip to $1.10 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xeb71c4…
10-28 20:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	54	53¢	$28	0x1691c1…
10-28 17:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x2ad559…
10-28 17:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xeccfe5…
10-28 17:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x41777b…
10-28 16:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x003815…
10-28 16:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x5dad6c…
10-28 16:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xeaf6b1…
10-28 16:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x29b042…
10-28 15:22:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6f22af…
10-28 15:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0xd0d89c…
10-28 15:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x468116…
10-28 15:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x587df2…
10-28 15:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x825159…
10-28 15:13:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xac6699…
10-28 15:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0xfff715…
10-28 13:45:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x61eb67…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0xf4906b…
10-28 11:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x541bc5…
10-28 09:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd99df9…
10-28 09:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xa27774…
10-28 08:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb0ac07…
10-28 08:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x40cb4e…
10-28 08:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa4301a…
10-28 08:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x80a62e…
10-28 06:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xd99a8f…
10-28 06:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3349a4…
10-28 06:09:56	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe7076d…
10-28 05:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x33031f…
10-28 05:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5af670…
10-28 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd6953e…
10-28 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc51a4a…
10-28 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x8575da…
10-28 05:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf95a00…
10-28 05:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc76d4f…
10-28 05:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7b51b1…
10-28 05:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x2d48d0…
10-28 05:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x7638a2…
10-28 04:56:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa0cf2c…
10-28 03:58:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcec599…
10-28 03:57:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xcc42cb…
10-27 22:32:06	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xfa2d2b…
10-27 22:31:50	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x1f750e…
10-27 22:31:20	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x50c465…
10-27 22:30:45	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x2ee540…
10-27 22:30:24	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x3f99c4…
10-27 22:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x9a5445…
10-27 22:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x4771bb…
10-27 22:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x266684…
10-27 22:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x3a91e7…
10-27 22:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x87ec16…
10-27 22:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x91ba0f…
10-27 21:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xc85285…
10-27 21:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa411af…
10-27 21:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x4c8f6c…
10-27 21:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x4731be…
10-27 21:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x2f12fb…
10-27 21:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3cb7f0…
10-27 21:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x039eb8…