Last-Outhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved (90d)

3,929

Trades (90d)

17,437

24,637 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$65.3K

$391.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 01:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

94% 56% +$1,350

Politics

3% 69% +$195

Sports

3% 59% +$37

Crypto

0% 62% -$102

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1715 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	90	$11.7K	10,776	2,375	+8,402	Yes	-$72	03-06 16:43
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	3	$11.6K	5,800	5,800	+0	No	+$0	02-17 11:32
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	80	$11.2K	7,106	5,743	+1,363	No	-$579	02-10 13:55
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	62	$9.7K	10,565	234	+10,331	Yes	+$901	02-13 16:45
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	165	$9.5K	6,519	10,539	-4,020	Yes	+$863	03-10 16:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	47	$9.4K	10,053	0	+10,053	Yes	+$639	02-10 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	59	$9.2K	7,780	1,738	+6,043	Yes	+$51	03-03 16:42
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	34	$8.8K	8,322	631	+7,691	Yes	+$81	02-03 16:55
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	185	$8.8K	8,993	5,470	+3,524	Yes	-$934	03-13 15:57
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	27	$8.7K	8,655	236	+8,419	Yes	+$53	02-04 16:45
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	15	$8.3K	6,573	1,836	+4,738	No	+$15	01-28 05:50
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	16	$8.0K	4,258	4,238	+20	No	-$40	02-10 04:12
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	9	$6.6K	6,651	57	+6,593	No	-$1	04-22 06:54
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	23	$6.6K	6,636	0	+6,636	Yes	+$21	02-06 16:37
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	21	$6.2K	5,544	693	+4,852	Yes	+$19	02-16 16:53
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 190 214	19	$6.1K	3,098	3,098	+0	No	+$45	01-20 13:52
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	106	$6.0K	6,412	812	+5,600	Yes	+$427	02-17 17:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	17	$5.8K	5,875	0	+5,875	No	+$69	03-14 01:04
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	124	$5.8K	6,066	1,077	+4,989	Yes	+$672	01-27 17:05
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	12	$5.4K	5,434	0	+5,434	Yes	+$8	02-09 16:47
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	8	$4.9K	4,940	39	+4,901	No	+$22	03-04 10:31
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	32	$4.8K	3,400	3,424	-23	No	+$386	03-05 09:37
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	24	$4.6K	3,710	3,910	-200	No	+$43	03-17 13:02
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	8	$4.5K	4,513	16	+4,497	No	+$4	03-18 08:03
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	131	$4.2K	3,903	2,329	+1,575	Yes	-$137	02-20 16:49
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	14	$4.1K	4,196	196	+4,000	No	+$37	02-06 16:23
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	67	$4.0K	4,629	271	+4,358	Yes	+$646	01-20 16:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	6	$4.0K	4,015	0	+4,015	Yes	+$26	09-12 14:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$3.9K	3,296	1,192	+2,104	No	+$131	03-19 00:38
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	6	$3.8K	1,924	1,924	-0	No	+$1	02-10 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:01:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6f2759…
10-29 01:01:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x66541f…
10-28 21:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xa9970b…
10-28 21:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8bd2ff…
10-28 20:30:50	Will XRP dip to $1.10 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xeb71c4…
10-28 20:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	54	53¢	$28	0x1691c1…
10-28 17:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x2ad559…
10-28 17:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xeccfe5…
10-28 17:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x41777b…
10-28 16:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x003815…
10-28 16:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x5dad6c…
10-28 16:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xeaf6b1…
10-28 16:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x29b042…
10-28 15:22:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6f22af…
10-28 15:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0xd0d89c…
10-28 15:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x468116…
10-28 15:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x587df2…
10-28 15:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x825159…
10-28 15:13:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xac6699…
10-28 15:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0xfff715…
10-28 13:45:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x61eb67…
10-28 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0xf4906b…
10-28 11:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x541bc5…
10-28 09:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd99df9…
10-28 09:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xa27774…
10-28 08:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb0ac07…
10-28 08:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x40cb4e…
10-28 08:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa4301a…
10-28 08:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x80a62e…
10-28 06:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xd99a8f…
10-28 06:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3349a4…
10-28 06:09:56	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe7076d…
10-28 05:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x33031f…
10-28 05:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5af670…
10-28 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd6953e…
10-28 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc51a4a…
10-28 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x8575da…
10-28 05:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf95a00…
10-28 05:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc76d4f…
10-28 05:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7b51b1…
10-28 05:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x2d48d0…
10-28 05:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x7638a2…
10-28 04:56:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa0cf2c…
10-28 03:58:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcec599…
10-28 03:57:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xcc42cb…
10-27 22:32:06	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xfa2d2b…
10-27 22:31:50	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x1f750e…
10-27 22:31:20	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x50c465…
10-27 22:30:45	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x2ee540…
10-27 22:30:24	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x3f99c4…
10-27 22:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x9a5445…
10-27 22:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x4771bb…
10-27 22:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x266684…
10-27 22:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x3a91e7…
10-27 22:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x87ec16…
10-27 22:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x91ba0f…
10-27 21:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xc85285…
10-27 21:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa411af…
10-27 21:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x4c8f6c…
10-27 21:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x4731be…
10-27 21:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x2f12fb…
10-27 21:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3cb7f0…
10-27 21:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x039eb8…
10-27 21:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf9f1e7…
10-27 21:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9ce97c…
10-27 21:02:42	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	206	52¢	$107	0x75cf88…
10-27 21:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x49802a…
10-27 20:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x57c8b6…
10-27 20:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4f48c6…
10-27 20:41:56	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf56fa1…
10-27 20:40:48	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2e29a9…
10-27 20:36:44	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf3217f…
10-27 20:36:44	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x30daea…
10-27 20:36:29	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x376055…
10-27 20:36:08	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x23f526…
10-27 20:36:06	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x814cb8…
10-27 20:36:05	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5829eb…
10-27 20:35:17	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8d87af…
10-27 20:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe94caf…
10-27 20:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x90818e…
10-27 20:32:50	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfaa857…
10-27 20:32:48	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9adca4…
10-27 20:32:18	Curitiba: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi	Maria Lourdes Carle	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe58cb8…
10-27 20:31:27	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcc0685…
10-27 20:28:53	Curitiba: Berta Bonardi vs Marjorie Souza	Marjorie Souza	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x099619…
10-27 20:26:26	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2127c8…
10-27 20:26:23	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c9c3f…
10-27 20:24:54	Queretaro: Carole Monnet vs Leolia Jeanjean	Carole Monnet	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcfd51b…
10-27 20:24:05	Curitiba: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi	Maria Lourdes Carle	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xff5372…
10-27 20:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x989c76…
10-27 20:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x935418…
10-27 20:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x6aff45…
10-27 20:24:02	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x05e5cf…
10-27 20:24:00	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xab7d5f…
10-27 20:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x4e7f3c…
10-27 20:15:44	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x82929b…
10-27 20:13:35	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x84f9c2…
10-27 20:13:35	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x542857…
10-27 20:12:59	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x710df7…
10-27 20:12:15	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6c1ebd…