Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$904

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

264

Trades

961

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$481

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 09-01 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

83% 46% +$949

Pop-Culture

6% 50% -$30

Politics

5% 22% -$12

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-111	-$105	98¢	$-109	-$4	08-27 13:00
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-111	-$108	97¢	$-108	$0	08-27 13:00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-111	-$107	86¢	$-95	+$11	08-27 13:00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+222	$18	24¢	$52	+$34	08-30 20:07
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	+55	$46	71¢	$39	-$7	08-30 20:51
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+22	$21	98¢	$22	+$1	08-31 10:50
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	No	+22	$19	98¢	$21	+$3	08-30 14:30
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	+22	$20	94¢	$21	+$1	08-30 06:19
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	+222	$22	6¢	$12	-$10	09-01 03:58
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	+1	$1	95¢	$1	$0	08-29 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	27	$693	685	465	+220	No	+$12	02-02 11:15
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	21	$463	424	242	+182	Yes	+$9	02-02 11:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	11	$427	222	222	+0	open	—	08-30 09:53
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	15	$397	222	222	+0	No	+$11	01-31 18:16
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$371	222	222	+0	open	—	08-30 11:30
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	7	$317	222	222	+0	No	+$2	01-30 20:08
will sinners win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	13	$253	137	157	-21	No	-$2	02-11 17:11
tsla close above 450 on january 30 2026	2	$248	249	0	+249	No	+$1	01-30 20:59
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	23	$248	339	284	+55	Yes	-$15	02-06 20:26
will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	16	$214	220	220	+0	No	+$3	02-07 18:26
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$210	110	110	+0	No	+$1	01-31 12:42
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	15	$203	187	90	+97	Yes	+$17	02-07 05:05
will getter jaani win eesti laul 2026	2	$185	198	0	+198	No	+$13	01-30 12:18
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	7	$165	304	82	+222	open	—	08-30 20:07
will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	9	$139	165	55	+110	Yes	+$3	02-01 22:17
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	7	$139	110	55	+55	Yes	-$47	02-07 00:37
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	1	$131	222	0	+222	Yes	-$131	01-31 12:34
will marty supreme win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	5	$123	148	38	+110	No	+$2	02-02 22:20
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$108	0	111	-111	open	—	08-27 13:00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$107	0	111	-111	open	—	08-27 13:00
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	15	$106	122	98	+25	Yes	-$3	02-02 02:55
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$105	0	111	-111	open	—	08-27 13:00
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	14	$104	444	444	+0	No	+$2	02-03 01:00
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	7	$100	136	136	+0	Yes	-$1	02-10 23:20
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	3	$98	110	55	+55	open	—	08-31 19:49
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	08-29 15:41
will the sp 500 index gain at least 2 on any day in q1	14	$83	110	85	+25	Yes	-$2	02-06 20:51
will zootopia 2 win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	4	$81	44	44	+0	No	+$0	01-24 22:51
will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	3	$80	44	44	+0	No	-$2	02-07 10:48
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	2	$80	222	222	+0	No	-$4	02-11 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 07:29:01	Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x8ccec0…
09-01 06:38:25	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xd102e6…
09-01 04:59:01	Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa4e4d1…
09-01 04:10:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xcf870a…
09-01 03:58:21	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xafc398…
09-01 01:51:42	Will Rafael Leão (Milan) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2aedd4…
08-31 22:38:51	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xd239b4…
08-31 20:12:27	Will Désiré Doué (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x48458c…
08-31 20:11:48	Will Désiré Doué (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x862db9…
08-31 20:11:42	Will Désiré Doué (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd37470…
08-31 19:49:03	Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0xa16b4a…
08-31 17:05:51	US recession by end of 2027?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8a3040…
08-31 17:04:48	Will Rafael Leão (Milan) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x297845…
08-31 16:52:00	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0xed57ed…
08-31 16:03:48	Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x375741…
08-31 15:57:01	Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdda6a2…
08-31 15:18:00	Will Désiré Doué (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf03e1f…
08-31 12:45:57	US recession by end of 2027?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd1e1a6…
08-31 11:46:36	Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0xd85212…
08-31 11:11:18	Will Coventry City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x4ef482…
08-31 11:05:39	Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x828600…
08-31 10:50:53	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x549533…
08-31 10:50:53	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2b7845…
08-31 10:42:06	Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	No	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x6f37b4…
08-31 05:00:10	Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) (Olivia Dean) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x5f01ea…
08-31 04:12:34	Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x954487…
08-31 03:56:27	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xe0f039…
08-31 01:49:27	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	162	10¢	$16	0x412543…
08-31 01:49:24	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x36cb6f…
08-30 20:51:34	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	55	84¢	$46	0x855813…
08-30 20:07:12	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	107	8¢	$9	0xeb41f0…
08-30 20:07:12	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x3d9483…
08-30 20:07:09	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0xed52e6…
08-30 20:07:09	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0xed52e6…
08-30 20:07:09	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xcd39b3…
08-30 20:02:00	Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x8466f3…
08-30 20:01:42	Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0xdb927b…
08-30 16:09:10	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x53c298…
08-30 15:25:51	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	32	91¢	$29	0x5dd211…
08-30 15:12:12	Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x56d18f…
08-30 14:55:25	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8bd424…
08-30 14:47:31	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xee41ef…
08-30 14:47:31	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x50c33b…
08-30 14:30:30	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x28decb…
08-30 14:30:24	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xdd60f4…
08-30 14:30:24	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	No	BUY	6	85¢	$6	0x278b6c…
08-30 13:50:09	Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	SELL	55	83¢	$46	0x4fe5bd…
08-30 13:45:13	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x87bfd1…
08-30 11:50:37	Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xa27d06…
08-30 11:30:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	222	84¢	$186	0x4c9470…
08-30 10:35:16	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x3d4143…
08-30 10:27:07	Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x981571…
08-30 10:20:27	Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0xb4a5fa…
08-30 10:17:22	Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xc672c1…
08-30 09:53:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0x4ef5c0…
08-30 09:14:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0x0d4492…
08-30 08:55:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x507f84…
08-30 08:54:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xec2d81…
08-30 08:53:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x535e16…
08-30 08:51:57	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x110545…
08-30 08:51:31	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x2e9117…
08-30 08:51:31	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x2e9117…
08-30 08:49:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c5fcf…
08-30 08:43:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb0d9dd…
08-30 08:41:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xdae243…
08-30 08:41:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf9aac8…
08-30 08:30:01	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x72eafb…
08-30 08:19:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc67f6e…
08-30 08:06:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x3c552d…
08-30 07:39:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$104	0x41a98f…
08-30 06:50:36	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xfd4e1c…
08-30 06:19:19	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x415b4f…
08-30 04:27:16	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x2ebe1f…
08-30 04:26:43	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x41e4d3…
08-30 04:26:33	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x0f887b…
08-30 03:50:46	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x9682e7…
08-30 02:21:21	Will Bournemouth qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xb62f8e…
08-30 01:47:55	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x2f467c…
08-29 22:58:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x46a72c…
08-29 22:52:07	another gta vi trailer released by september 30	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x34a29f…
08-29 21:56:49	Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0x2f2c97…
08-29 21:25:04	another gta vi trailer released by september 30	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x35a9af…
08-29 21:03:01	another gta vi trailer released by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x9b2698…
08-29 20:27:51	another gta vi trailer released by september 30	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xbf80c7…
08-29 20:02:34	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	222	83¢	$184	0xe0d78e…
08-29 19:29:00	Will Bournemouth qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xe85969…
08-29 19:04:09	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24bbbf…
08-29 19:04:01	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe81644…
08-29 18:57:49	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x33cb14…
08-29 18:10:24	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0x929ad8…
08-29 18:05:04	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x328938…
08-29 16:46:46	Will Serhou Guirassy (Dortmund) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x444fba…
08-29 15:42:36	Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x093f93…
08-29 15:42:25	Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x8b8195…
08-29 15:41:13	Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa0e522…
08-29 15:39:18	Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x20d0a6…
08-29 14:51:33	Will Rasmus Højlund (Napoli) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc823cb…
08-29 14:19:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x89ac7c…
08-29 14:08:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3f7468…
08-29 14:07:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xcc76c3…