Mountainous-Ectoderm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$255

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.8%

Resolved

Trades

508

lifetime

Volume

$7.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-23 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-226

Crypto

28% 12% $-29

Politics

14% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$560	125,832	30,200	+95,632	open	—	03-09 23:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$443	628	628	+0	open	—	03-04 09:54
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	4	$349	305	305	+0	open	—	03-10 13:48
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	2	$290	260	260	+0	open	—	03-31 17:00
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	2	$286	204	204	+0	open	—	03-30 15:14
will m5 be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	2	$277	344	344	+0	open	—	03-06 03:43
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	4	$206	38,327	0	+38,327	Yes	$-206	05-03 04:20
Ethereum Up or Down on May 23?	2	$200	2,953	0	+2,953	open	—	05-22 21:01
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$197	168	168	+0	open	—	03-03 22:24
f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	2	$171	141	141	+0	open	—	03-29 07:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$162	204	204	+0	open	—	05-23 14:23
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	2	$143	4,447	0	+4,447	open	—	03-03 19:27
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$134	685	685	+0	open	—	03-06 03:43
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	2	$126	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	05-23 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$117	234	0	+234	open	—	05-23 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$108	209	0	+209	open	—	05-23 18:48
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	2	$105	1,974	1,974	+0	open	—	03-13 02:45
bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	3	$71	83	82	+1	open	—	03-31 01:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	2	$67	212	198	+14	open	—	04-27 02:48
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	1	$64	2,735	0	+2,735	open	—	03-10 14:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$62	20,730	0	+20,730	open	—	03-09 02:28
btc updown 5m 1776655200	1	$62	178	0	+178	open	—	04-20 03:20
btc updown 5m 1776660600	1	$61	175	0	+175	open	—	04-20 04:52
f1 japanese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 29	2	$58	41	41	+0	open	—	03-29 07:45
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	1	$53	2,525	0	+2,525	open	—	05-03 22:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$50	714	0	+714	open	—	03-10 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	05-22 21:04
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	1	$49	150	0	+150	open	—	03-24 04:08
xrp up or down april 2 2026 11pm et	1	$49	1,184	0	+1,184	open	—	04-03 03:43
highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 21c	1	$48	329	0	+329	open	—	03-26 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 18:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	209	52¢	$108	0x3281bd…
05-23 18:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6414cd…
05-23 18:47:42	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	923	11¢	$100	0xf597d3…
05-23 18:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd72e29…
05-23 18:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xfe0a7a…
05-23 17:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	234	50¢	$117	0x1043b9…
05-23 17:19:17	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xfa4430…
05-23 17:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8e4b4f…
05-23 17:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x980426…
05-23 17:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xff94d4…
05-23 17:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x22d956…
05-23 14:23:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	204	75¢	$152	0xfcf959…
05-22 23:44:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	192	14¢	$26	0x7d7767…
05-22 23:44:20	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6c69f3…
05-22 23:44:06	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	212	9¢	$20	0xe91178…
05-22 23:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	173	14¢	$25	0xe7094d…
05-22 23:37:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x22e25c…
05-22 21:05:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x0f8931…
05-22 21:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x3a622d…
05-22 21:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x465a94…
05-22 21:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	1,436	7¢	$100	0xb8bb83…
05-22 21:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	1,517	7¢	$100	0x6b483d…
05-12 16:52:23	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	1,909	3¢	$48	0x475c7e…
05-12 04:40:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x00005e…
05-12 04:39:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5ece9b…
05-12 04:39:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	964	1¢	$10	0xe60410…
05-12 04:39:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	723	1¢	$5	0x587df5…
05-12 04:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0x86e04d…
05-12 04:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x93e14a…
05-12 04:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x912844…
05-12 04:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x78db4c…
05-12 04:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xaac74f…
05-12 04:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x643e52…
05-12 03:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x02b70c…
05-12 03:56:19	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x6002b2…
05-03 22:22:04	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,525	2¢	$53	0xa74337…
05-03 21:09:24	Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xe8f743…
05-03 21:06:36	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xab1dfb…
05-03 18:05:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xa81019…
05-03 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbce30e…
05-03 14:41:48	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x068abf…
05-03 04:20:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	29,333	0¢	$88	0x2d8328…
05-03 03:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x76e9d9…
05-03 03:55:22	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x01de45…
05-03 03:55:18	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x655629…
05-03 03:16:30	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0a6139…
05-02 23:23:20	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x255864…
05-02 23:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x07548d…
05-02 23:22:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0x97dad9…
05-02 23:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0xdb4ab1…
05-02 21:23:38	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcc7dec…
05-02 03:13:34	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	6,580	1¢	$54	0xaa1938…
05-02 03:13:18	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	608	2¢	$10	0x299cdc…
05-02 03:07:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xab5dcf…
05-02 03:06:36	Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x24334a…
05-02 03:06:28	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x8c7abf…
05-01 15:27:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,303	4¢	$54	0x5f9137…
05-01 02:12:22	Stars vs. Wild	Stars	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xb14b23…
05-01 02:11:26	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe76d76…
05-01 01:43:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x24e8a1…
04-28 23:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x36e8e9…
04-28 23:23:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x45cddf…
04-28 23:21:44	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	502	2¢	$10	0x24b116…
04-28 01:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	28¢	$19	0x29c542…
04-28 01:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb00753…
04-28 01:34:52	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5e8a4f…
04-27 21:05:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5fbdcf…
04-27 21:04:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf1a383…
04-27 02:57:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x392c12…
04-27 02:54:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x3b83e6…
04-27 02:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x50ca17…
04-27 02:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xda4e9e…
04-27 02:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xb506aa…
04-27 02:48:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	198	24¢	$47	0x9ba050…
04-26 21:46:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	212	9¢	$19	0x8182eb…
04-26 21:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd7c18e…
04-26 21:12:34	Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x459e85…
04-26 21:09:18	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xadaeb7…
04-26 21:08:58	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe33c24…
04-26 21:08:54	Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe82e7f…
04-21 18:06:48	btc updown 4h 1776787200	Up	BUY	85	34¢	$29	0xaea17b…
04-21 17:59:50	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 21 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	53	55¢	$30	0x36d711…
04-21 01:15:58	highest temperature in san francisco on april 21 2026 56 57f	Yes	BUY	197	14¢	$28	0xe272ad…
04-21 01:05:24	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 22 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xc9f42d…
04-21 01:05:18	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 21 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe8942c…
04-21 00:59:36	btc updown 5m 1776733200	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x78b87b…
04-21 00:59:16	btc updown 5m 1776732900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7b2f9…
04-20 19:17:38	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 19c	No	BUY	84	19¢	$16	0xe9d009…
04-20 19:17:22	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	591	3¢	$16	0xb81cf0…
04-20 12:35:30	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	56	19¢	$10	0x9bee5c…
04-20 04:52:16	btc updown 5m 1776660600	Down	BUY	175	35¢	$61	0x466307…
04-20 04:50:26	ethereum up or down april 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x6db8fa…
04-20 04:45:12	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xedbc9b…
04-20 04:45:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa01bbf…
04-20 04:40:30	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	591	2¢	$10	0x2920e9…
04-20 04:39:32	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x240d2a…
04-20 04:38:16	xrp up or down april 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x16559b…
04-20 04:37:16	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf6786b…
04-20 04:33:04	Jiangsu Dragons vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Sichuan Blue Whales	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xce6fef…
04-20 04:29:46	solana up or down april 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb83329…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	136	$131.6K	10,932	05-26 10:21
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	120	$101.0K	1,933	05-26 18:15
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	118	$415.9K	8,104	05-30 11:45
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	113	$31.8K	7,011	05-06 14:13
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	108	$254.3K	29,744	04-28 09:52
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	104	$126.6K	1,564	05-26 14:24
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	100	$124.3K	11,023	05-03 09:45
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	99	$44.8K	2,927	04-08 08:52