Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

148

Trades

1,096

lifetime

Volume

$316.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$289

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

36% 39% -$11

Other

33% 27% -$10,147

Crypto

24% 51% -$1,094

Tech

6% 50% -$616

Sports

1% 25% +$187

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	82	$53.1K	73,394	72,584	+810	Yes	+$119	01-30 17:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	16	$14.4K	10,804	10,804	+0	Yes	+$2,845	06-30 13:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	25	$12.1K	14,286	14,286	+0	Yes	+$836	03-03 20:48
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	10	$11.2K	11,822	11,822	+0	No	-$195	01-31 00:12
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	7	$9.5K	13,423	13,423	+0	No	+$469	01-20 16:53
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	11	$8.8K	5,758	5,758	+0	Yes	+$652	03-03 20:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	30	$8.7K	35,563	35,563	+0	open	—	06-25 08:24
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$7.9K	5,717	5,717	+0	Yes	+$481	03-13 09:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	15	$7.2K	6,548	6,548	+0	No	-$5	03-26 21:29
spx up or down on january 28 2026	52	$6.1K	6,023	6,023	+0	Down	-$668	01-28 21:05
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	10	$5.7K	6,590	6,590	+0	Yes	-$201	01-23 17:26
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	14	$5.7K	3,986	3,986	+0	No	+$594	07-01 13:08
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	13	$5.5K	15,432	3,301	+12,130	Yes	-$3,461	06-30 17:45
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	7	$5.1K	7,074	7,074	+0	No	+$1,048	07-03 20:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$5.0K	3,360	3,360	+0	Yes	-$635	03-03 21:38
nvda above 190 on january 30 2026	2	$4.7K	4,800	4,800	+0	Yes	-$380	01-27 18:33
will steve harrington die in stranger things season 5	5	$4.2K	2,023	2,723	-700	No	+$581	01-01 01:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 21:30 UTC	10	$4.1K	4,048	3,336	+712	Down	-$1,224	01-27 21:44
ethereum up or down january 27 5pm et	6	$4.1K	4,942	2,440	+2,502	Up	-$1,745	01-27 22:47
spx up or down on january 20 2026	3	$4.1K	2,536	2,536	+0	Down	+$893	01-20 16:52
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-27 17:00 UTC	8	$4.0K	2,836	2,836	+0	Up	+$999	01-27 17:37
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	8	$3.6K	2,815	2,815	-0	Yes	-$722	03-05 19:49
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	16	$3.6K	6,342	6,342	+0	Paraguay	-$662	06-29 22:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	10	$3.5K	5,487	5,487	+0	No	-$103	03-17 08:26
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	9	$3.5K	3,158	3,158	+0	No	+$1	03-12 16:02
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	4	$3.2K	1,970	1,970	+0	Patriots	+$413	01-25 23:09
will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 5 and 10pt00	8	$3.1K	1,798	1,798	+0	Yes	+$235	03-05 19:52
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	10	$3.1K	1,938	1,938	+0	Yes	+$395	03-06 18:12
bitcoin above 90k on january 26	2	$3.0K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$26	01-24 01:32
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	3	$2.9K	2,970	2,970	+0	No	+$122	01-23 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 14:38:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	369	41¢	$152	0x58c8a7…
07-19 14:37:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	790	19¢	$150	0xa7e5fa…
07-14 21:55:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	790	12¢	$96	0xf85ff7…
07-14 20:11:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	103	65¢	$67	0xa4997e…
07-14 17:29:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	707	9¢	$64	0x9820c7…
07-07 12:57:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	707	10¢	$71	0x9cdc1e…
07-07 12:53:53	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	No	SELL	1,238	0¢	$2	0xcc96fd…
07-07 12:53:46	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	No	SELL	23,688	0¢	$72	0xb11378…
07-04 00:17:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	144	11¢	$16	0x6b5d27…
07-03 23:39:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	978	10¢	$98	0x2a17b4…
07-03 23:38:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	9¢	$41	0xcb6c48…
07-03 23:38:41	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	130	58¢	$75	0x77a21e…
07-03 22:51:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0xd8272c…
07-03 22:50:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,285	9¢	$308	0xcdb001…
07-03 20:58:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	SELL	192	45¢	$86	0xae873c…
07-03 20:57:53	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,694	10¢	$266	0x4e4d37…
07-03 20:56:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,939	10¢	$389	0x38d0dc…
07-03 20:55:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	SELL	1,282	46¢	$591	0x5ac77b…
07-03 20:50:50	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x640e39…
07-03 20:49:10	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9c37fb…
07-03 20:49:08	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x159da5…
07-03 16:10:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,825	10¢	$179	0x86a8f9…
07-03 14:13:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,213	10¢	$321	0xa1a640…
07-03 14:08:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,330	10¢	$135	0xa5e36e…
07-03 12:27:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,158	10¢	$216	0xf44bef…
07-03 11:47:16	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,060	10¢	$108	0x569ff3…
07-03 00:17:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	234	48¢	$111	0x51b331…
07-03 00:17:05	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xaccef6…
07-03 00:17:04	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x95a571…
07-03 00:17:02	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	75	48¢	$35	0xb3c54e…
07-03 00:17:02	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x81ffa1…
07-03 00:17:01	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0x62425a…
07-03 00:17:01	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	66	48¢	$31	0x5d6de5…
07-03 00:16:59	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	230	48¢	$109	0x39f810…
07-02 20:39:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4,300	16¢	$702	0x825c06…
07-02 20:38:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	SELL	5,600	42¢	$2,373	0x8d3874…
07-01 16:20:19	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	870	30¢	$261	0x068367…
07-01 13:08:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	310	86¢	$267	0xb7e83c…
07-01 00:26:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	461	13¢	$60	0x8a0de8…
07-01 00:22:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	1,424	36¢	$513	0x47bf66…
07-01 00:22:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	690	80¢	$552	0xe9e056…
06-30 21:24:16	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x69bb43…
06-30 20:12:55	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x4a76be…
06-30 17:57:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x873590…
06-30 17:55:32	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	648	35¢	$227	0xdc9eff…
06-30 17:45:58	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0x13d01d…
06-30 17:45:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	569	30¢	$171	0xe0cced…
06-30 17:45:23	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	600	31¢	$187	0x3797cb…
06-30 17:44:49	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	600	31¢	$187	0xb018bb…
06-30 17:44:11	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	500	31¢	$155	0x6f85b4…
06-30 17:42:49	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	501	29¢	$145	0x85bcd0…
06-30 17:42:16	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	500	29¢	$145	0x710f78…
06-30 13:44:20	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	1,590	27¢	$422	0xab2cd3…
06-30 13:43:28	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	2,000	24¢	$486	0x9ac62b…
06-30 13:42:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	2,000	18¢	$352	0x5e2753…
06-30 13:41:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	4,000	12¢	$487	0x8e634d…
06-30 13:40:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	2,068	88¢	$1,826	0x9d4f48…
06-30 11:59:56	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	2,846	45¢	$1,279	0x04e9cc…
06-30 11:58:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x9e205e…
06-30 11:58:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	1,586	85¢	$1,355	0x12a8d7…
06-30 11:16:38	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	2,996	48¢	$1,434	0x74c303…
06-30 11:15:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	1,792	84¢	$1,511	0x0ce9d4…
06-29 22:44:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	987	80¢	$790	0xcad077…
06-29 22:43:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	3,008	27¢	$812	0xdc81de…
06-29 22:31:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	2,190	28¢	$613	0x37d350…
06-29 22:12:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0xe044f3…
06-29 22:12:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x838f24…
06-29 22:12:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x4cc121…
06-29 22:12:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x432cd6…
06-29 22:12:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x410b46…
06-29 22:12:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x29ad52…
06-29 22:12:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	154	19¢	$29	0xdbcc45…
06-29 22:12:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x8cc133…
06-29 22:12:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	346	19¢	$66	0x0adfa9…
06-29 22:12:14	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xb8b43d…
06-29 22:12:14	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	1,614	19¢	$307	0x49b79d…
06-29 22:12:14	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	240	19¢	$46	0x31b5a9…
06-29 21:22:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	2,152	36¢	$775	0x690b9c…
06-29 21:15:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	2,000	36¢	$720	0xd470b3…
06-29 21:14:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	1,900	78¢	$1,487	0x7fab30…
06-28 20:44:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082	No	BUY	3,184	20¢	$634	0x3dd173…
06-28 20:42:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	950	73¢	$694	0x6b5e09…
06-28 08:15:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	570	71¢	$405	0x5964eb…
06-28 08:14:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	524	78¢	$408	0x6b1a46…
06-28 08:00:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	564	71¢	$399	0x045e6e…
06-28 07:57:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x9e1c91…
06-28 07:55:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	780	70¢	$546	0x15b930…
06-28 07:54:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	400	77¢	$308	0x154483…
06-28 07:54:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	625	77¢	$482	0x197846…
06-28 07:50:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082	No	BUY	1,817	35¢	$628	0x33f6a6…
06-28 07:49:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	900	77¢	$697	0x0fca59…
06-28 00:06:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	180	67¢	$120	0xd3bfd3…
06-28 00:05:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	145	84¢	$122	0xe8fa29…
06-27 23:55:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	140	67¢	$94	0x92d5a4…
06-27 23:54:41	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	335	29¢	$97	0x471a07…
06-27 23:31:26	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	335	59¢	$198	0xca597c…
06-27 23:29:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	262	76¢	$199	0xa98d04…
06-27 09:25:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	210	64¢	$134	0x3d0fc5…
06-27 09:24:32	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x562892…
06-27 09:22:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	430	76¢	$327	0x9b6b97…