Rigid-Mercury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

260

Trades

1,266

lifetime

Volume

$61.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-29 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

100% 84% +$80

Crypto

0% 18% +$72

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 25?	5	$1.3K	682	677	+5	No	+$95	04-25 10:49
highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 33c	17	$1.2K	621	620	+1	No	+$10	04-19 09:08
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	10	$1.1K	562	562	+0	No	+$7	05-15 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on May 13?	7	$1.1K	569	569	+0	Yes	+$28	05-13 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 1?	8	$999	508	508	+0	Yes	+$13	05-01 10:27
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	8	$971	494	493	+1	No	+$4	04-21 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	4	$967	492	492	+0	Yes	+$16	05-11 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	44	$928	508	505	+3	Yes	+$43	04-28 13:33
highest temperature in lucknow on april 23 2026 43c	13	$908	478	476	+2	No	+$44	04-23 11:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 24c	2	$908	463	462	+1	No	+$15	04-19 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	3	$877	448	448	+0	No	+$17	05-13 08:20
highest temperature in lucknow on april 17 2026 39c	11	$836	433	431	+1	Yes	+$27	04-17 11:45
highest temperature in lucknow on april 16 2026 41c	16	$804	409	408	+1	No	+$11	04-16 11:37
highest temperature in lucknow on april 24 2026 43c	4	$798	405	404	+1	No	+$9	04-24 10:49
highest temperature in lucknow on april 15 2026 41c	3	$781	399	398	+1	No	+$13	04-15 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	6	$777	402	402	+0	No	+$26	05-09 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 20?	7	$774	389	389	+0	Yes	+$4	05-20 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	12	$738	382	381	+1	No	+$22	04-28 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on April 30?	7	$701	378	378	+0	Yes	+$51	04-30 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 10?	7	$683	347	347	+0	No	+$10	05-10 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?	13	$679	348	348	+0	Yes	+$15	05-02 08:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 19c	2	$677	349	348	+1	No	+$18	04-14 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 6?	17	$630	325	325	+0	Yes	+$16	05-06 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?	8	$630	327	327	+0	No	+$21	05-05 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	10	$623	725	725	+0	Yes	-$519	05-12 09:06
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	2	$621	334	332	+2	No	+$41	04-13 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 3?	22	$621	316	316	+0	No	+$8	05-03 10:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 17 2026 41c	9	$617	320	319	+1	No	+$19	04-17 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?	3	$606	307	307	+0	No	+$6	05-15 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?	2	$602	305	305	+0	No	+$5	05-05 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 09:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xdbdc7e…
05-29 09:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?	No	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x848bff…
05-29 09:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	No	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0xbd82a0…
05-29 09:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x6c10c9…
05-29 09:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xd35be9…
05-29 09:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xed943f…
05-29 08:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 29?	No	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x06bab1…
05-29 08:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfaa60b…
05-29 08:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x0b485a…
05-29 08:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x074a36…
05-29 08:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xad7405…
05-29 08:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf60507…
05-29 08:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xb86dd2…
05-29 08:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x89b73c…
05-29 08:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0xc1925f…
05-29 08:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9b2d58…
05-29 08:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x9cf97d…
05-29 08:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xc20e8d…
05-29 08:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xf2163d…
05-29 07:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xaaacf1…
05-29 07:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7abe09…
05-29 07:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x5b549a…
05-29 07:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x764369…
05-29 07:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 29?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xb75559…
05-29 06:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 29?	No	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x8a01a7…
05-29 06:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x220041…
05-29 06:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb3b98a…
05-29 06:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe7133c…
05-29 06:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x66aff1…
05-29 06:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 29?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x391ab3…
05-29 05:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x6feabe…
05-29 05:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x8dd00a…
05-29 05:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x4ff46c…
05-29 05:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x1a856c…
05-29 04:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 29?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xc8a6c8…
05-29 04:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa9ba8d…
05-29 04:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 29?	No	BUY	44	81¢	$35	0x3fd127…
05-29 03:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa25bdd…
05-28 11:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa6c299…
05-28 11:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x834a4a…
05-28 10:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 28?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5f98c1…
05-28 10:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x25e51a…
05-28 09:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6769b7…
05-28 09:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x295ef3…
05-28 09:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x3d99f7…
05-28 09:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 28?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x5666ed…
05-28 09:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3976b2…
05-28 09:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa11427…
05-28 08:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xedb314…
05-28 08:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0x97316e…
05-28 08:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc2fea9…
05-28 08:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 28?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x55282d…
05-28 08:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2af2cf…
05-28 08:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb216d5…
05-28 08:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa54f8c…
05-28 08:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xaa76b2…
05-28 08:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e8d5…
05-28 07:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa22c64…
05-28 07:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x62a928…
05-28 07:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4ff528…
05-28 07:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0e6e52…
05-28 07:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1adbfc…
05-28 07:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x749d84…
05-28 07:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x064558…
05-28 07:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 28?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xb06114…
05-28 07:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0xa9d35a…
05-28 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 28?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf897a0…
05-28 07:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf3be49…
05-28 07:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?	No	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x8738c7…
05-28 07:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 28?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x65a4a8…
05-28 07:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x906e04…
05-28 06:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb1db17…
05-28 06:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x675a70…
05-28 06:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd02ac5…
05-28 06:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x0d11e3…
05-28 06:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x06f2bb…
05-28 06:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xf86e77…
05-28 06:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x10ec00…
05-28 05:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd1ea9c…
05-28 05:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x1c9339…
05-28 05:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7bf471…
05-28 05:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x812d91…
05-28 05:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x513280…
05-28 05:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaff3e6…
05-28 05:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 28?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x2a5424…
05-28 05:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7cda5d…
05-28 04:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x173baf…
05-28 04:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x0a5673…
05-28 04:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x811c13…
05-27 12:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x24250a…
05-27 11:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x8a69df…
05-27 11:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xb15ffc…
05-27 11:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 28?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x7deb54…
05-27 11:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 27?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbf7d4b…
05-27 11:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x25535d…
05-27 11:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 27?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xc8efef…
05-27 11:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on May 27?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xecb2dc…
05-27 10:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 27?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x98b1f0…
05-27 09:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4a50b4…
05-27 09:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x53b0bb…