Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$44

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 43% -$4

Politics

17% 8% -$68

Other

14% 14% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-257	-$38	15¢	$-40	-$1	10-07 04:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+100	$5	4¢	$4	-$1	10-28 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 18	2	$131	93	93	+0	Down	+$55	02-18 18:27
bitcoin up or down on february 6	4	$111	5,679	83	+5,596	Up	+$51	02-06 16:53
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$108	1,131	1,131	+0	No	+$8	03-01 12:31
bitcoin up or down on february 5	5	$88	5,290	40	+5,250	Down	-$16	02-05 15:58
bitcoin up or down on february 9	2	$58	44	44	+0	Down	+$18	02-09 16:46
bitcoin up or down on february 19	3	$57	83	22	+61	Down	-$13	02-19 18:05
bitcoin up or down on february 12	2	$55	45	45	+0	Down	+$35	02-12 17:16
bitcoin up or down on february 10	4	$55	685	26	+660	Down	-$5	02-10 16:10
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	3	$52	376	0	+376	No	-$52	09-03 16:08
bitcoin up or down on february 15	2	$46	31	31	+0	Down	+$16	02-15 16:36
bitcoin up or down on february 7	3	$41	165	22	+143	Down	+$1	02-07 11:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$38	0	257	-257	open	—	10-07 04:46
bitcoin up or down on february 20	4	$38	152	0	+152	Up	-$38	02-20 01:06
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	2	$34	24	24	+0	Up	+$14	02-06 18:07
bitcoin up or down on february 11	2	$34	234	0	+234	Down	-$34	02-11 12:47
bitcoin up or down on february 24	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	02-24 14:02
bitcoin up or down on february 3	1	$28	57	0	+57	Down	+$29	02-03 07:17
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$27	318	0	+318	No	-$27	01-04 21:12
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	1	$26	28	0	+28	No	+$2	01-04 21:19
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	2	$25	680	0	+680	open	—	10-28 08:42
ethereum up or down on february 8	2	$20	63	0	+63	Up	-$20	02-07 23:36
bitcoin up or down february 20 9am et	1	$20	38	0	+38	Up	-$20	02-20 01:17
ethereum up or down on february 20	1	$20	74	0	+74	Up	-$20	02-20 03:10
bitcoin up or down february 4 3am et	2	$20	30	0	+30	Up	-$20	02-04 08:30
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$20	300	0	+300	No	-$20	03-29 18:59
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	3	$19	417	333	+83	No	-$3	03-02 01:52
bitcoin up or down on february 25	1	$19	42	0	+42	Up	-$19	02-24 19:55
bitcoin up or down on february 23	2	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	02-23 05:07
bitcoin up or down on february 17	1	$15	31	0	+31	Down	+$16	02-16 19:55
xagusd up or down on august 5 2026	2	$15	379	0	+379	Up	-$15	08-05 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:42:16	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	432	2¢	$10	0xec4213…
10-28 08:33:58	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb8c22a…
10-08 05:30:58	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	6¢	$15	0xba6a64…
10-07 04:46:27	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	257	15¢	$38	0x710625…
10-07 00:13:18	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0x76be0f…
09-03 16:08:15	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xebaefc…
08-18 18:44:49	xagusd up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	218	2¢	$4	0xc034ae…
08-05 16:25:02	xagusd up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	268	2¢	$5	0xe948b2…
08-05 14:16:39	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xfbfcf5…
08-05 13:12:09	xagusd up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x2a91aa…
08-05 13:08:47	xauusd up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0xc4f7fe…
08-05 11:30:26	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x28cacb…
07-31 06:11:57	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	191	2¢	$4	0xd8b9e0…
04-07 23:49:35	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	BUY	558	2¢	$10	0x428a56…
04-07 23:48:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	276	4¢	$10	0x7e7b45…
04-07 23:46:07	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x137a75…
03-31 00:17:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0xd2d94d…
03-29 18:59:30	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x38eee4…
03-29 14:18:58	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0xf9130d…
03-17 01:45:25	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x71df96…
03-16 15:17:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0xbd7a6a…
03-02 04:15:47	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xa5cfce…
03-02 02:01:55	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc9466e…
03-02 01:52:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x573482…
03-02 01:47:05	will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf73199…
03-02 01:39:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x812bc6…
03-02 01:36:53	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xcd3718…
03-01 12:36:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x707de9…
03-01 12:31:57	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	333	2¢	$8	0x25be9b…
03-01 12:31:35	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	SELL	464	2¢	$9	0x251303…
02-28 23:55:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$9	0x012227…
02-28 23:14:47	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	464	9¢	$40	0x7df427…
02-28 23:13:53	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	SELL	667	7¢	$49	0x6dfcd2…
02-28 13:17:07	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x6c644a…
02-24 19:55:16	bitcoin up or down on february 25	Down	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x15690d…
02-24 14:02:24	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6e84b2…
02-23 05:40:02	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xce4e61…
02-23 05:38:14	bitcoin up or down february 23 12am et	Down	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x4dec9a…
02-23 05:07:18	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x59e2d0…
02-22 20:59:20	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xdd23f3…
02-22 16:31:14	bitcoin up or down on february 22	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x531ddc…
02-21 23:44:36	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x034982…
02-21 22:05:46	bitcoin up or down on february 22	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x08108c…
02-21 02:47:12	will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb0c1b7…
02-20 22:42:26	bitcoin up or down on february 21	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xb37091…
02-20 03:10:48	ethereum up or down on february 20	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x9787c7…
02-20 01:17:16	bitcoin up or down february 20 9am et	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x97315a…
02-20 01:06:22	bitcoin up or down on february 20	Down	BUY	74	23¢	$17	0x065dc4…
02-20 00:31:40	bitcoin up or down february 19 7pm et	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x467acb…
02-20 00:28:52	bitcoin up or down on february 20	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4501ac…
02-20 00:28:36	bitcoin up or down on february 20	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb301bf…
02-19 23:00:28	bitcoin up or down on february 20	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xade9ac…
02-19 18:05:10	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x25f961…
02-18 22:21:56	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xdb111b…
02-18 22:21:04	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xac9ae6…
02-18 18:27:10	bitcoin up or down on february 18	Down	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x1c3250…
02-17 19:54:29	bitcoin up or down on february 18	Down	BUY	93	41¢	$38	0xc8e07c…
02-16 19:55:23	bitcoin up or down on february 17	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x476d65…
02-15 16:36:39	bitcoin up or down on february 15	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xbb984d…
02-14 18:12:17	bitcoin up or down on february 15	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb07d9d…
02-13 05:45:31	bitcoin up or down on february 13	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xdcd8e7…
02-12 17:20:03	will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xc138e5…
02-12 17:16:59	bitcoin up or down on february 12	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x2e65fd…
02-11 20:04:31	bitcoin up or down on february 12	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x03c78a…
02-11 12:47:37	bitcoin up or down on february 11	Up	BUY	158	6¢	$9	0x618f82…
02-11 03:19:25	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	438	2¢	$7	0xdc0c38…
02-11 03:18:15	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xd95783…
02-10 23:14:05	bitcoin up or down on february 11	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x48c756…
02-10 16:10:09	bitcoin up or down on february 10	Up	BUY	628	2¢	$10	0x4c7219…
02-10 16:07:59	bitcoin up or down on february 10	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x3c49c8…
02-10 06:03:57	bitcoin up or down on february 10	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe1ce22…
02-09 19:49:17	bitcoin up or down on february 10	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x80ed9d…
02-09 16:46:31	bitcoin up or down on february 9	Down	SELL	44	87¢	$38	0x473684…
02-09 03:14:27	bitcoin up or down on february 9	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x8080e9…
02-07 23:46:43	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xdae2f1…
02-07 23:44:17	bitcoin up or down on february 8	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0101ff…
02-07 23:36:33	ethereum up or down on february 8	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xedea5e…
02-07 23:35:49	ethereum up or down on february 8	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8ee0c2…
02-07 11:33:53	bitcoin up or down on february 7	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xbd8ed6…
02-07 11:32:57	bitcoin up or down on february 7	Down	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x738e71…
02-07 02:23:15	bitcoin up or down february 7 12am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x588998…
02-06 18:10:45	bitcoin up or down on february 7	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xdd756c…
02-06 18:07:17	bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	Up	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x2e23f9…
02-06 17:05:53	bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x71c6b0…
02-06 16:53:45	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5f1c43…
02-06 16:39:01	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Down	BUY	596	2¢	$10	0xc9664b…
02-06 16:31:09	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0xb11a8c…
02-06 08:18:59	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x647ff2…
02-05 15:58:13	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xc82243…
02-05 15:55:15	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x026e86…
02-05 12:37:09	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x95c060…
02-05 09:48:25	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Down	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x1d0f4e…
02-04 17:30:51	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Down	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x211e9b…
02-04 09:47:36	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb95926…
02-04 08:30:44	bitcoin up or down february 4 3am et	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa8d60a…
02-04 08:19:26	bitcoin up or down february 4 3am et	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0c1102…
02-03 07:17:42	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0xc94424…
01-04 21:19:59	us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xf0664e…
01-04 21:12:21	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	318	8¢	$27	0x4c43ec…