Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

17.8%

Resolved

101

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$972

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-05 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

52% 18% -$168

Politics

32% 18% +$25

Crypto

13% 17% -$26

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		-100	-$5	2¢	$-2	+$4	09-07 20:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$61	69	69	+0	open	—	10-31 18:00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$46	150	0	+150	No	-$46	01-18 18:59
spx up or down on january 13 2026	4	$37	50	50	+0	Down	-$12	01-13 16:09
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	3	$26	28	28	+0	Yes	-$6	02-15 14:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	4	$26	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-30 12:48
ice shooter charged by march 31	5	$24	38	38	+0	No	-$1	02-02 19:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$23	700	700	+0	No	-$6	01-19 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	11	$21	122	18	+104	Up	-$3	10-04 21:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-27 23:18
Tennessee vs. South Carolina	5	$20	20	14	+6	South Carolina	+$1	10-24 22:28
ndx up or down on january 13 2026	4	$19	50	50	+0	Down	-$8	01-13 18:55
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	4	$19	160	120	+40	No	-$9	01-23 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	11	$19	59	29	+30	Up	-$5	10-04 21:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$17	119	61	+59	No	-$4	10-28 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:55 UTC	4	$16	42	10	+32	Down	-$6	09-30 12:58
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$15	700	700	+0	No	+$1	01-26 18:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$15	40	20	+20	No	-$9	09-16 12:59
Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	10-28 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:10 UTC	5	$15	19	10	+9	Down	$0	09-30 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:10 UTC	8	$14	116	16	+100	Down	-$4	09-30 13:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$14	60	60	+0	No	-$11	03-11 13:33
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	3	$14	30	0	+30	Yes	+$17	01-28 18:59
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$13	500	0	+500	No	-$13	02-05 17:40
Texas vs. Tennessee	1	$12	50	0	+50	Texas	-$12	09-26 16:20
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	2	$12	50	50	+0	No	-$6	01-12 15:28
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	2	$11	624	0	+624	No	-$11	01-14 19:39
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	09-26 16:19
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$11	50	50	+0	open	—	09-16 12:57
nvda above 200 on february 27 2026	1	$11	50	0	+50	No	-$11	02-15 15:52
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$11	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-06 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:09:19	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xb41c40…
10-31 18:10:39	Notre Dame vs. Navy	Navy	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x1632f8…
10-31 18:00:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x96a5d7…
10-31 18:00:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x6c897b…
10-30 12:17:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xd6d238…
10-30 12:17:22	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x03c07b…
10-30 12:15:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xaaa9fe…
10-29 17:47:50	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x16281c…
10-29 17:37:32	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe79a66…
10-29 17:33:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x40a85d…
10-28 20:20:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xb69243…
10-28 20:20:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x20c86e…
10-28 17:54:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xaefd8f…
10-28 17:48:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x4d1e87…
10-28 12:27:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x83ba3e…
10-28 12:00:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xa750bf…
10-28 10:56:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x6eb4a4…
10-28 10:55:37	Silver Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe918b2…
10-28 10:54:37	Silver Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3fa3ef…
10-28 10:53:41	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x253962…
10-28 10:49:58	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x70d182…
10-28 10:49:08	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9d473c…
10-28 10:43:50	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x85fb2d…
10-28 10:42:40	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xad3e26…
10-28 10:40:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0xf3f5ea…
10-28 03:19:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2ea8d3…
10-28 03:19:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x61ab04…
10-28 03:18:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x6b8781…
10-28 03:17:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x3647e2…
10-28 03:17:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xdfa459…
10-28 03:15:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x407525…
10-27 23:18:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb77dfa…
10-27 23:18:09	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x7926fb…
10-27 23:17:54	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf5117b…
10-27 23:17:35	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x2b33b9…
10-27 23:17:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0xd59c27…
10-27 23:17:09	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x178eaf…
10-27 23:16:33	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb8eca4…
10-27 23:16:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc20941…
10-27 23:15:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x947012…
10-27 21:51:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf658c9…
10-27 21:50:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2f59c1…
10-27 17:43:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4630db…
10-27 17:39:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6978bb…
10-27 17:37:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8381e4…
10-27 17:37:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x136098…
10-27 17:36:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x864bcf…
10-24 22:28:51	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	Tennessee	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x4daecd…
10-24 22:23:47	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	Tennessee	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xc436e8…
10-24 22:12:32	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	Tennessee	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe99891…
10-24 18:28:00	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	Tennessee	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x40fa18…
10-24 00:25:09	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x341c33…
10-24 00:11:45	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x9118ec…
10-23 20:18:45	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	Tennessee	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x64cf9a…
10-18 16:30:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xceb673…
10-18 15:32:23	Titans vs. Colts	Titans	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6a7a9b…
10-18 04:02:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xc8a17a…
10-17 18:43:32	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xeed933…
10-17 16:36:42	Florida vs. Texas	Florida	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x8502ba…
10-17 16:36:00	Mississippi State vs. LSU	Mississippi State	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb73190…
10-17 16:29:48	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb23e0a…
10-10 20:47:19	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xaa3579…
10-10 20:45:21	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4ecd3b…
10-10 20:42:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x59ada6…
10-04 21:15:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x99d6dc…
10-04 21:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8fed23…
10-04 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x69b177…
10-04 21:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xeea1cf…
10-04 21:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x197a3a…
10-04 21:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x57fa2f…
10-04 21:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x583779…
10-04 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3978d8…
10-04 21:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5e12af…
10-04 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8d4680…
10-04 21:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a2297…
10-04 21:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x87da02…
10-04 21:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8df5bd…
10-04 21:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x60ce52…
10-04 21:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x35407a…
10-04 21:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4bf9e8…
10-04 21:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x7b55e1…
10-04 21:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x039980…
10-04 21:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4e9694…
10-04 21:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb0e0d0…
10-04 21:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xa33549…
10-04 21:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xefe3c4…
10-04 21:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd3f413…
10-04 21:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x217854…
10-04 21:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x078c37…
10-04 21:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd4ab7b…
10-04 21:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd72c2a…
10-04 21:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1a416c…
10-04 21:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x23d339…
10-04 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbb3449…
10-04 20:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8cc747…
10-04 20:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7afbae…
10-04 20:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8b9cff…
10-04 20:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe3ba34…
10-04 20:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xc525e4…
10-04 20:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8505f5…