Well-Documented-Embellishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

130

Trades

939

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-09 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

61% 46% $-12

Crypto

31% 95% +$2

Sports

5% — —

Politics

4% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	11	$67	200	200	+0	open	—	05-14 13:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$66	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 00:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$66	220	220	+0	open	—	05-06 19:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$65	120	120	+0	No	$-9	05-05 16:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 27 2026?	4	$53	154	154	+0	open	—	04-30 11:04
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$49	80	80	+0	No	$-1	05-07 15:32
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$39	50	50	+0	open	—	05-22 16:05
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$39	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 15:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $79 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$38	80	80	+0	open	—	05-12 10:33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac	2	$38	20	20	+0	Tomas Machac	+$2	05-07 16:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	2	$38	50	50	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 05:15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	8	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	04-27 20:56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ashlyn Krueger vs Nikola Bartunkova	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 09:05
Jiujiang: Zongyu Li vs Wushuang Zheng	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-04 08:11
atp nikles heide 2026 04 09	7	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-09 22:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$32	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:25
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 15:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Christopher O'Connell	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 14:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Lorenzo Carboni	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 15:30
Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 17:07
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 21:39
Shymkent: Dali Blanch vs Andrej Nedic	6	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 09:34
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	4	$24	100	50	+50	open	—	05-28 08:09
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Younes Laaroussi	2	$18	10	10	+0	Florent Bax	+$0	05-07 17:59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Veronika Erjavec	2	$18	10	10	+0	Veronika Erjavec	+$1	05-04 16:17
mlb laa nyy 2026 04 14	7	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-15 00:16
cs2 shin fdb 2026 04 09	11	$18	11	10	+0	open	—	04-09 22:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Panna Udvardy vs Elise Mertens	2	$18	10	10	+0	Elise Mertens	+$0	05-07 10:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	3	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 14:20
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	40	80	-40	open	—	05-13 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:44:48	xrp updown 5m 1781034000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1fbcd1…
06-08 18:04:46	btc updown 5m 1780941600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac1133…
06-05 07:54:54	doge updown 5m 1780645800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa83ca3…
05-28 09:49:12	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f1a21…
05-28 09:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf0817c…
05-28 09:39:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5664c9…
05-28 09:19:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ff379…
05-28 08:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x11291f…
05-28 08:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b82e8…
05-28 08:09:50	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x950173…
05-28 08:09:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x63e86d…
05-26 20:00:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xed7efc…
05-26 20:00:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xdf6995…
05-26 19:18:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xaf1de2…
05-23 10:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb5cc73…
05-22 16:05:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x4272e3…
05-22 16:02:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x318245…
05-21 14:20:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xa329e6…
05-21 11:32:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xfafa22…
05-21 11:24:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x754385…
05-20 23:39:24	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x873697…
05-20 23:34:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe43664…
05-20 23:04:15	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ecff0…
05-20 22:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcf21fb…
05-20 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x86e91a…
05-20 22:34:44	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x54ccdd…
05-20 22:03:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa73abf…
05-20 21:54:59	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x627c33…
05-20 21:44:55	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d7f43…
05-19 21:39:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5ebd83…
05-19 21:34:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x260442…
05-19 17:54:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd7004b…
05-19 17:39:38	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x28dbef…
05-19 16:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cb13c…
05-18 20:54:29	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xabdf2a…
05-18 20:39:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd33483…
05-18 20:34:27	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6c3306…
05-18 18:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc8b6a…
05-18 18:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ca222…
05-18 18:18:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0202f1…
05-18 17:49:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd65882…
05-18 17:44:54	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x998171…
05-18 15:44:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xb4340f…
05-18 15:23:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x071422…
05-18 15:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf20df…
05-18 14:49:35	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe4662e…
05-18 14:04:40	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5234e6…
05-18 00:19:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2436de…
05-18 00:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x484520…
05-16 20:51:39	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xb6eb67…
05-16 20:37:37	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x965543…
05-16 20:24:32	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x285f31…
05-16 19:54:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01e731…
05-16 16:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xaf3755…
05-16 00:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x328ce5…
05-15 21:19:45	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2de758…
05-15 18:39:29	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd63db5…
05-15 17:34:56	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa3fc6e…
05-15 17:14:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x957205…
05-15 17:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd4caf5…
05-15 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc95f7d…
05-15 14:30:01	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6238d4…
05-15 14:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa16ffd…
05-15 12:58:30	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xc9b858…
05-15 12:54:05	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xb7a527…
05-14 14:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfaf5c6…
05-14 14:22:23	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x398f1b…
05-14 14:14:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6bb4c…
05-14 14:01:23	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0ab2e7…
05-14 13:59:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x31aee0…
05-14 13:59:10	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x88979a…
05-14 13:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x48aed3…
05-14 13:35:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0x502dfc…
05-14 13:05:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x22170f…
05-14 13:04:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x7336e9…
05-14 13:04:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xdc224a…
05-14 13:03:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xfdf139…
05-14 13:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x15d1dd…
05-14 12:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3e84f0…
05-14 12:21:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x9938b5…
05-14 12:20:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xc89f5e…
05-14 12:15:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x080b4a…
05-14 12:05:08	Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Josip Simundza	Zsombor Piros	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaba56b…
05-14 11:19:01	Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Josip Simundza	Zsombor Piros	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd2141…
05-14 11:18:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb689e4…
05-14 11:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa14920…
05-14 11:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfeb445…
05-14 11:09:27	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa671b4…
05-14 11:05:43	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x5279f9…
05-14 11:05:10	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x67032d…
05-14 10:59:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74926b…
05-14 10:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc8b0a7…
05-13 16:03:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xe78f6e…
05-13 16:01:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x8cb03d…
05-13 15:49:21	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe3cabe…
05-13 15:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf982db…
05-13 09:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44ac47…
05-13 09:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x645c8c…
05-13 09:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x921ac1…
05-13 07:44:36	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ae77b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Favorable-Dawn 0x444f…1469	250	$723	394	05-23 10:19
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	244	$157.5K	1,506	06-01 08:13
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	229	$21.5K	10,916	06-09 19:45
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	227	$15.0K	1,917	06-09 19:44
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	219	$67.1K	4,439	05-28 09:48
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	212	$22.3K	1,722	06-09 19:44
Alive-Fritter 0xd37a…2358	203	$4.13K	1,701	05-14 12:12
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	196	$94.8K	3,208	06-08 18:05