Well-Documented-Embellishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

578

Trades

1,064

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 09-11 03:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

63% 77% -$59

Crypto

23% 91% -$11

Politics

8% 27% +$26

Sports

4% 70% -$3

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	6	$86	60	60	+0	No	+$0	06-22 12:49
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	4	$82	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-09 23:22
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	18	$77	428	228	+200	No	-$14	05-22 18:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	11	$67	200	200	+0	No	-$5	05-14 13:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$66	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 00:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$66	220	220	+0	No	+$1	05-06 19:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$65	120	120	+0	No	-$9	05-05 16:45
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	2	$62	100	100	+0	Yes	-$16	05-07 09:54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	6	$58	71	71	+0	No	-$7	05-18 00:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 27 2026?	4	$53	154	154	+0	No	-$4	04-30 11:04
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	2	$51	50	50	+0	Yes	+$37	06-10 19:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	3	$51	700	700	+0	No	-$9	05-06 15:22
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$49	80	80	+0	No	-$1	05-07 15:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?	4	$45	50	50	+0	No	-$2	05-08 16:25
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	5	$42	80	80	+0	No	-$1	05-04 13:28
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$39	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-18 15:44
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$39	50	50	+0	No	-$3	05-22 16:05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $79 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$38	80	80	+0	Yes	-$3	05-12 10:33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac	2	$38	20	20	+0	Tomas Machac	+$2	05-07 16:28
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$38	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-06 11:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	2	$38	50	50	+0	Down	$0	05-12 05:15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	8	$37	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 20:56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ashlyn Krueger vs Nikola Bartunkova	2	$37	20	20	+0	Nikola Bartunkova	+$0	05-04 09:05
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 17:43
Another Elon baby by December 31?	4	$35	80	80	+0	open	—	08-24 21:33
Jiujiang: Zongyu Li vs Wushuang Zheng	2	$34	18	18	+0	Zongyu Li	+$0	05-04 08:11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	5	$34	100	100	+0	No	-$7	05-28 08:09
atp nikles heide 2026 04 09	7	$32	17	17	+0	Gustavo Heide	+$0	04-09 22:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$32	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:25
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva	2	$30	15	15	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$0	04-30 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 03:22:31	Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8ed2d5…
09-07 18:57:37	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0156ae…
09-07 18:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x66aa59…
08-30 16:05:01	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc254ae…
08-24 21:34:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0ad358…
08-24 21:33:18	Another Elon baby by December 31?	Yes	SELL	78	16¢	$12	0x75d21d…
08-13 20:53:33	Another Elon baby by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x673525…
08-11 10:49:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb8ddce…
07-01 13:00:44	another elon baby by december 31 20260630143148786	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9c75aa…
06-28 19:25:10	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x065671…
06-22 12:49:14	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xbd44e7…
06-22 12:47:19	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xdd6d6e…
06-22 12:14:46	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xdcbf4a…
06-22 11:58:53	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0e983d…
06-22 11:52:02	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xfb9fc8…
06-22 11:50:19	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x8adf18…
06-21 19:15:13	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xae9acc…
06-10 19:09:01	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xa8bee2…
06-09 20:59:40	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x2f1d80…
06-09 19:44:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1fbcd1…
06-08 18:04:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac1133…
06-05 09:24:54	Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec8263…
06-05 07:54:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa83ca3…
06-05 07:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x56ac0e…
06-05 07:34:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8e8b6…
05-28 09:49:12	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f1a21…
05-28 09:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf0817c…
05-28 09:39:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5664c9…
05-28 09:19:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ff379…
05-28 08:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x11291f…
05-28 08:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b82e8…
05-28 08:09:50	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x950173…
05-28 08:09:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x63e86d…
05-26 20:00:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xed7efc…
05-26 20:00:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xdf6995…
05-26 19:34:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x0c629e…
05-26 19:18:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xaf1de2…
05-23 10:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb5cc73…
05-22 18:37:28	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xb484f7…
05-22 18:37:28	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x43b290…
05-22 18:37:28	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x410726…
05-22 18:37:28	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x1a87ff…
05-22 16:05:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x4272e3…
05-22 16:02:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x318245…
05-21 21:37:46	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x9c9ee4…
05-21 19:08:40	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x271a89…
05-21 18:21:51	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	SELL	64	16¢	$10	0x5e543b…
05-21 17:56:58	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xb11abf…
05-21 15:32:15	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	SELL	115	13¢	$14	0x7b4b1e…
05-21 15:18:30	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x261777…
05-21 15:18:29	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xd27c46…
05-21 15:18:29	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x3d99c2…
05-21 15:18:25	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x201bbf…
05-21 15:07:39	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x6b05d9…
05-21 14:57:27	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xea9d1f…
05-21 14:20:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xa329e6…
05-21 11:32:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xfafa22…
05-21 11:24:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x754385…
05-20 23:39:24	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x873697…
05-20 23:34:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe43664…
05-20 23:04:15	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ecff0…
05-20 22:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcf21fb…
05-20 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x86e91a…
05-20 22:34:44	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x54ccdd…
05-20 22:03:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa73abf…
05-20 21:54:59	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x627c33…
05-20 21:44:55	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d7f43…
05-19 21:39:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5ebd83…
05-19 21:34:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x260442…
05-19 17:54:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd7004b…
05-19 17:39:38	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x28dbef…
05-19 16:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cb13c…
05-18 20:54:29	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xabdf2a…
05-18 20:39:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd33483…
05-18 20:34:27	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6c3306…
05-18 18:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc8b6a…
05-18 18:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ca222…
05-18 18:18:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0202f1…
05-18 17:49:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd65882…
05-18 17:44:54	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x998171…
05-18 17:03:27	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x5d6544…
05-18 16:32:24	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xd2c2a6…
05-18 15:44:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xb4340f…
05-18 15:23:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x071422…
05-18 15:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf20df…
05-18 14:49:35	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe4662e…
05-18 14:04:40	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5234e6…
05-18 00:19:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2436de…
05-18 00:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x484520…
05-18 00:05:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xaebdcb…
05-17 23:59:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0xdd6293…
05-17 23:51:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x0972ad…
05-17 23:51:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x68e41e…
05-17 17:29:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x39efff…
05-17 17:28:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x99db6c…
05-16 20:51:39	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xb6eb67…
05-16 20:37:37	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x965543…
05-16 20:24:32	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x285f31…
05-16 19:54:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01e731…
05-16 16:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xaf3755…