Charming-Ribbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,036

lifetime

Volume

$92.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-25 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$21

Politics

28% 67% +$1,214

Other

11% 76% +$747

Tech

9% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 33% $-81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	14	$9.6K	6,157	6,157	+0	open	—	05-29 15:10
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	1	$4.8K	4,980	0	+4,980	open	—	06-10 23:54
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	1	$4.3K	0	5,993	-5,993	open	—	06-14 21:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$3.0K	3,896	0	+3,896	open	—	06-14 22:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.0K	6,084	0	+6,084	Yes	+$3,084	05-08 18:41
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	3	$3.0K	4,374	0	+4,374	open	—	04-27 15:49
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	11	$2.9K	3,064	0	+3,064	open	—	06-08 22:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$2.4K	27,144	27,144	-0	No	$-1,870	05-03 21:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,001	2,001	+0	open	—	04-23 00:16
will trump praise allah again by june 30	7	$1.1K	1,202	0	+1,202	open	—	06-10 11:33
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$733	574	574	+0	No	+$415	05-05 05:54
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$688	397	397	+0	No	+$106	05-05 05:54
Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	7	$616	1,369	369	+1,000	No	+$121	05-05 05:59
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	2	$573	323	323	+0	open	—	04-14 18:13
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	1	$523	697	0	+697	open	—	04-29 09:30
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	2	$520	271	271	+0	open	—	05-01 17:35
another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	1	$477	696	0	+696	open	—	04-29 09:30
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	20	$434	631	3,797	-3,166	open	—	06-14 21:35
will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	4	$391	198	198	+0	open	—	04-14 18:14
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	8	$317	386	386	+0	Yes	$-203	05-05 01:41
Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	6	$288	709	0	+709	Yes	$-288	05-05 01:13
Will Cardi B be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$278	177	177	+0	No	+$75	05-05 05:55
Will Dakota Johnson be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$263	163	163	+0	No	+$63	05-05 05:55
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	2	$251	406	0	+406	open	—	04-29 06:07
Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	3	$214	114	114	+0	No	+$14	05-05 05:55
Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$212	112	112	+0	No	+$12	05-05 05:55
Will Gwendoline Christie be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$208	713	0	+713	open	—	05-05 01:14
Will Jay-Z be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	05-05 05:55
Will Kim Kardashian be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	3	$168	291	0	+291	Yes	+$123	05-05 01:12
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	2	$157	166	0	+166	open	—	06-10 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 10:07:32	sol updown 15m 1782381600	Down	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x5dd48b…
06-25 10:05:34	xrp updown 15m 1782381600	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xc9de5c…
06-25 10:05:28	xrp updown 15m 1782381600	Up	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0xc05559…
06-25 10:05:05	sol updown 15m 1782381600	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x1cf122…
06-25 10:02:25	xrp updown 15m 1782381600	Up	BUY	28	62¢	$18	0x134388…
06-25 09:09:43	sol updown 15m 1782378000	Down	SELL	32	30¢	$9	0xe1a637…
06-25 09:09:04	sol updown 15m 1782378000	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x83c57c…
06-25 08:03:59	btc updown 15m 1782374400	Up	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x926621…
06-25 08:03:28	eth updown 15m 1782374400	Up	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0x1b9e63…
06-25 08:02:38	eth updown 15m 1782374400	Up	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xe736c0…
06-25 08:02:26	btc updown 15m 1782374400	Up	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xf2b4ac…
06-25 07:49:46	eth updown 15m 1782373500	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x23e4b6…
06-25 07:48:16	eth updown 15m 1782373500	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd32a28…
06-25 07:36:28	sol updown 15m 1782372600	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xf9f72f…
06-25 07:36:19	sol updown 15m 1782372600	Up	SELL	18	47¢	$8	0x984690…
06-25 07:33:28	sol updown 15m 1782372600	Up	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x8a928a…
06-25 07:23:40	eth updown 15m 1782371700	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x47c4d4…
06-25 07:18:53	eth updown 15m 1782371700	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xe2f161…
06-24 10:19:16	btc updown 15m 1782296100	Down	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0xb543f4…
06-24 10:17:53	btc updown 15m 1782296100	Down	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x027c1c…
06-24 09:06:46	sol updown 15m 1782291600	Down	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x8f0e96…
06-24 09:04:49	sol updown 15m 1782291600	Down	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x3e5c93…
06-24 07:37:26	xrp updown 15m 1782286200	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9f00df…
06-24 07:37:23	xrp updown 15m 1782286200	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xa53c70…
06-24 07:37:23	xrp updown 15m 1782286200	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x44f155…
06-24 07:34:40	sol updown 15m 1782286200	Down	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0x14b84c…
06-24 07:34:35	btc updown 15m 1782286200	Down	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x777330…
06-24 07:34:32	eth updown 15m 1782286200	Down	SELL	32	34¢	$11	0x6e65e7…
06-24 07:32:44	sol updown 15m 1782286200	Down	BUY	39	45¢	$17	0xfe83c2…
06-24 07:32:37	xrp updown 15m 1782286200	Down	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0x1f58d8…
06-24 07:32:35	eth updown 15m 1782286200	Down	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x173173…
06-24 07:32:17	btc updown 15m 1782286200	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0xf093cd…
06-23 17:50:38	btc updown 15m 1782236700	Down	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0xe4cf4e…
06-23 17:47:34	btc updown 15m 1782236700	Down	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xe2b482…
06-23 17:39:44	btc updown 15m 1782235800	Up	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0x5a282b…
06-23 17:37:44	btc updown 15m 1782235800	Up	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x5f47c3…
06-23 11:36:23	eth updown 15m 1782214200	Up	SELL	28	48¢	$13	0x552dd6…
06-23 11:33:04	eth updown 15m 1782214200	Up	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0x4ab415…
06-23 11:20:40	eth updown 15m 1782213300	Up	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x9274b0…
06-23 09:17:46	eth updown 15m 1782206100	Up	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0x9e496b…
06-23 08:09:32	sol updown 15m 1782201600	Down	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0xfe6dd0…
06-23 08:08:19	xrp updown 15m 1782201600	Down	SELL	36	52¢	$19	0xe79b91…
06-23 08:08:07	btc updown 15m 1782201600	Down	SELL	35	68¢	$24	0x792337…
06-23 08:03:34	xrp updown 15m 1782201600	Down	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x4cb570…
06-23 08:03:26	btc updown 15m 1782201600	Down	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0xb84f4a…
06-23 08:02:28	sol updown 15m 1782201600	Down	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0xea8c73…
06-23 07:18:26	xrp updown 15m 1782198900	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x547174…
06-15 23:23:33	will elon post always on x this week 20260612141419063	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x028e64…
06-14 22:16:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,896	77¢	$3,000	0x30ab22…
06-14 21:36:49	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	5,993	72¢	$4,314	0xf738db…
06-14 21:35:24	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	581	5¢	$31	0xece06a…
06-14 21:33:48	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	218	37¢	$81	0xff9163…
06-14 21:33:48	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0x22d508…
06-14 21:33:48	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x08b3e5…
06-14 21:33:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$8	0xd19adc…
06-14 21:33:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xa35fbe…
06-14 21:33:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x9fafc2…
06-14 21:33:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x595fa6…
06-14 21:33:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x293666…
06-14 21:33:45	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xb1a9f7…
06-14 21:33:45	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x979581…
06-14 21:33:45	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x803910…
06-14 21:33:45	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x766c7f…
06-14 21:33:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x39407d…
06-14 21:33:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x360652…
06-14 21:33:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x11e6ec…
06-14 21:33:39	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	3,216	6¢	$192	0x6ed4c4…
06-14 21:30:34	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x1932e7…
06-14 21:30:28	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x629eea…
06-14 21:30:24	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa0094d…
06-10 23:54:55	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	4,980	96¢	$4,780	0x1b2545…
06-10 23:54:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0xd90e07…
06-10 23:54:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x86d65a…
06-10 23:54:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x707295…
06-10 11:33:36	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0x05c2f5…
06-10 11:33:22	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	42	82¢	$34	0x41e95b…
06-10 11:33:18	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xf0b879…
06-10 11:33:15	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	967	91¢	$880	0xfdf64d…
06-10 11:33:10	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	28	66¢	$19	0xd9bb28…
06-10 11:33:04	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0xc8e223…
06-10 11:33:03	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x76a915…
06-10 01:36:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	185	18¢	$34	0xd4792f…
06-10 01:14:43	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x78d5b8…
06-10 01:14:42	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xf64a28…
06-10 01:14:40	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0x4de0ad…
06-10 01:14:39	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xf09a94…
06-08 22:42:55	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	731	96¢	$702	0xa0e088…
06-08 22:41:52	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	465	97¢	$451	0x39d8c4…
06-08 22:41:52	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	309	98¢	$303	0x117b84…
06-08 22:41:49	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x1e2517…
06-08 22:41:48	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	96¢	$303	0xdb778d…
06-08 22:41:48	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	95¢	$128	0x9b6d35…
06-08 22:41:48	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6a2ebf…
06-08 22:41:46	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	93¢	$576	0xce2139…
06-08 22:41:46	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0x264ac4…
06-08 22:41:46	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x235acb…
06-08 22:41:45	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0x79ad60…
06-02 21:47:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x417fdf…
05-30 20:56:50	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x36c5c3…
05-30 16:17:37	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	86	50¢	$43	0xcbf00e…