Charming-Ribbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,113

lifetime

Volume

$96.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-19 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 100% +$21

Politics

28% 67% +$1,214

Other

12% 76% +$747

Tech

10% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 33% $-81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	14	$9.6K	6,157	6,157	+0	open	—	05-29 15:10
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	1	$4.8K	4,980	0	+4,980	open	—	06-10 23:54
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	1	$4.3K	0	5,993	-5,993	open	—	06-14 21:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$3.0K	3,896	0	+3,896	open	—	06-14 22:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.0K	6,084	0	+6,084	Yes	+$3,084	05-08 18:41
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	3	$3.0K	4,374	0	+4,374	open	—	04-27 15:49
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	11	$2.9K	3,064	0	+3,064	open	—	06-08 22:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$2.4K	27,144	27,144	-0	No	$-1,870	05-03 21:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,001	2,001	+0	open	—	04-23 00:16
will trump praise allah again by june 30	7	$1.1K	1,202	0	+1,202	open	—	06-10 11:33
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026	1	$1000	1,828	0	+1,828	open	—	07-10 18:58
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$733	574	574	+0	No	+$415	05-05 05:54
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$688	397	397	+0	No	+$106	05-05 05:54
Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	7	$616	1,369	369	+1,000	No	+$121	05-05 05:59
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	5	$610	994	0	+994	open	—	07-13 14:16
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	2	$573	323	323	+0	open	—	04-14 18:13
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	1	$523	697	0	+697	open	—	04-29 09:30
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	2	$520	271	271	+0	open	—	05-01 17:35
another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	1	$477	696	0	+696	open	—	04-29 09:30
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	20	$434	631	3,797	-3,166	open	—	06-14 21:35
will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	4	$391	198	198	+0	open	—	04-14 18:14
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$390	618	0	+618	open	—	07-13 14:16
chicago air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717130414630	2	$321	175	175	+0	open	—	07-19 09:58
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	8	$317	386	386	+0	Yes	$-203	05-05 01:41
Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	6	$288	709	0	+709	Yes	$-288	05-05 01:13
columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	4	$280	907	907	+0	open	—	07-19 09:58
Will Cardi B be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$278	177	177	+0	No	+$75	05-05 05:55
Will Dakota Johnson be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$263	163	163	+0	No	+$63	05-05 05:55
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	2	$251	406	0	+406	open	—	04-29 06:07
Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	3	$214	114	114	+0	No	+$14	05-05 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 09:58:28	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x74d561…
07-19 09:58:27	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717130414630	Yes	SELL	175	98¢	$171	0xcd9e0c…
07-19 09:58:27	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0xad254a…
07-19 05:15:24	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	No	SELL	874	3¢	$24	0x49db20…
07-19 04:12:27	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	No	BUY	874	23¢	$200	0x91333e…
07-19 03:16:37	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717130414630	Yes	BUY	175	86¢	$150	0x7c8468…
07-19 03:16:37	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x1270c7…
07-18 03:34:48	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x505515…
07-18 03:34:46	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x348a21…
07-18 01:03:55	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x264c55…
07-15 19:21:07	will elon post texas on x this week 20260710174050693	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x09f1e4…
07-15 15:19:20	will elon post texas on x this week 20260710174050693	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x8d84cb…
07-14 09:18:47	xrp updown 15m 1784020500	Up	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xe92503…
07-14 09:17:28	xrp updown 15m 1784020500	Up	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x52fd6b…
07-14 08:41:28	xrp updown 15m 1784017800	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xaf6928…
07-14 08:41:28	xrp updown 15m 1784017800	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x92003b…
07-14 08:41:26	xrp updown 15m 1784017800	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9f6a91…
07-14 08:41:19	xrp updown 15m 1784017800	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5cc8c5…
07-14 08:41:16	xrp updown 15m 1784017800	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xaad169…
07-14 08:39:11	sol updown 15m 1784017800	Up	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0x1b4216…
07-14 08:37:05	xrp updown 15m 1784017800	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x649e2d…
07-14 08:36:35	sol updown 15m 1784017800	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x2c88e9…
07-14 08:04:58	sol updown 15m 1784016000	Down	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xc2a05e…
07-14 08:04:55	xrp updown 15m 1784016000	Up	SELL	38	64¢	$25	0x84d44c…
07-14 08:03:35	xrp updown 15m 1784016000	Up	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x5dec21…
07-14 08:02:14	sol updown 15m 1784016000	Down	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0xaa56d9…
07-14 07:35:11	btc updown 15m 1784014200	Up	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0xb31c8f…
07-14 07:35:05	btc updown 15m 1784014200	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x73106c…
07-14 07:06:17	sol updown 15m 1784012400	Down	SELL	24	69¢	$16	0xd0fc73…
07-14 07:06:13	btc updown 15m 1784012400	Down	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x90924f…
07-14 07:04:47	btc updown 15m 1784012400	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$15	0x71bb89…
07-14 07:04:37	sol updown 15m 1784012400	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x635f28…
07-13 14:16:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	674	62¢	$418	0x86dfc2…
07-13 14:16:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x05bc77…
07-13 14:16:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x86aa38…
07-13 14:16:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x770441…
07-13 14:16:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x576f69…
07-13 14:16:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0x43999d…
07-13 14:16:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	282	63¢	$178	0x255a61…
07-13 14:16:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	220	60¢	$132	0xba843f…
07-13 08:19:55	xrp updown 15m 1783930500	Up	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0x2b3185…
07-13 08:17:16	xrp updown 15m 1783930500	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$15	0xa66d12…
07-13 08:05:59	xrp updown 15m 1783929600	Up	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0x12ebd6…
07-13 08:04:13	sol updown 15m 1783929600	Up	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x558da3…
07-13 08:04:11	eth updown 15m 1783929600	Up	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x9df4f8…
07-13 08:03:25	xrp updown 15m 1783929600	Up	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x7a8563…
07-13 08:02:47	sol updown 15m 1783929600	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x580fd7…
07-13 08:02:43	eth updown 15m 1783929600	Up	BUY	24	61¢	$14	0xcaa05b…
07-13 06:47:10	will elon post claude on x this week 20260710173822746	Yes	BUY	48	93¢	$44	0x252b86…
07-13 04:00:02	will elon post always on x this week 20260703150058737	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x71fd24…
07-13 04:00:02	will elon post claude on x this week 20260703150058742	No	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x229318…
07-11 23:47:26	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa37159…
07-11 00:16:49	will elon post texas on x this week 20260703150058745	Yes	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x49d2a9…
07-11 00:07:13	will elon post texas on x this week 20260703150058745	Yes	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x42ff15…
07-10 18:58:17	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,828	55¢	$1,000	0x78a7a0…
07-10 10:33:04	eth updown 15m 1783679400	Up	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xea4c8a…
07-10 10:32:59	eth updown 15m 1783679400	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x36b787…
07-10 09:35:22	btc updown 15m 1783675800	Up	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x9ec211…
07-10 09:32:26	btc updown 15m 1783675800	Up	BUY	30	59¢	$17	0x35e9aa…
07-10 09:05:29	btc updown 15m 1783674000	Up	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0xbda66e…
07-10 09:05:25	btc updown 15m 1783674000	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xabb014…
07-10 07:19:47	btc updown 15m 1783667700	Up	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0x63559d…
07-10 07:18:08	btc updown 15m 1783667700	Up	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0xc608f1…
07-09 20:30:22	will elon post never on x this week 20260703150058736	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x687ca5…
07-09 07:06:23	sol updown 15m 1783580400	Up	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0xdf3a18…
07-09 07:05:52	btc updown 15m 1783580400	Up	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x6f136d…
07-09 07:04:34	xrp updown 15m 1783580400	Up	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0x4d84a0…
07-09 07:04:23	sol updown 15m 1783580400	Up	BUY	28	62¢	$18	0x357121…
07-09 07:04:19	eth updown 15m 1783580400	Up	SELL	28	63¢	$17	0xa5493d…
07-09 07:04:13	btc updown 15m 1783580400	Up	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0x0545d6…
07-09 07:04:10	eth updown 15m 1783580400	Up	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x87c945…
07-09 07:03:20	xrp updown 15m 1783580400	Up	BUY	28	62¢	$18	0x97be00…
07-08 20:35:35	will elon post neuralink on x this week 20260703150058735	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x2b99cc…
07-08 20:35:31	will elon post neuralink on x this week 20260703150058735	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5a9357…
07-08 18:21:55	will elon post tesla on x this week 20260703150058734	Yes	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xfae68a…
07-05 14:02:38	xrp updown 15m 1783260000	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd1d21c…
07-05 14:02:37	xrp updown 15m 1783260000	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc9965e…
06-25 10:07:32	sol updown 15m 1782381600	Down	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x5dd48b…
06-25 10:05:34	xrp updown 15m 1782381600	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xc9de5c…
06-25 10:05:28	xrp updown 15m 1782381600	Up	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0xc05559…
06-25 10:05:05	sol updown 15m 1782381600	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x1cf122…
06-25 10:02:25	xrp updown 15m 1782381600	Up	BUY	28	62¢	$18	0x134388…
06-25 09:09:43	sol updown 15m 1782378000	Down	SELL	32	30¢	$9	0xe1a637…
06-25 09:09:04	sol updown 15m 1782378000	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x83c57c…
06-25 08:03:59	btc updown 15m 1782374400	Up	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x926621…
06-25 08:03:28	eth updown 15m 1782374400	Up	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0x1b9e63…
06-25 08:02:38	eth updown 15m 1782374400	Up	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xe736c0…
06-25 08:02:26	btc updown 15m 1782374400	Up	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xf2b4ac…
06-25 07:49:46	eth updown 15m 1782373500	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x23e4b6…
06-25 07:48:16	eth updown 15m 1782373500	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd32a28…
06-25 07:36:28	sol updown 15m 1782372600	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xf9f72f…
06-25 07:36:19	sol updown 15m 1782372600	Up	SELL	18	47¢	$8	0x984690…
06-25 07:33:28	sol updown 15m 1782372600	Up	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x8a928a…
06-25 07:23:40	eth updown 15m 1782371700	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x47c4d4…
06-25 07:18:53	eth updown 15m 1782371700	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xe2f161…
06-24 10:19:16	btc updown 15m 1782296100	Down	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0xb543f4…
06-24 10:17:53	btc updown 15m 1782296100	Down	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x027c1c…
06-24 09:06:46	sol updown 15m 1782291600	Down	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x8f0e96…
06-24 09:04:49	sol updown 15m 1782291600	Down	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x3e5c93…
06-24 07:37:26	xrp updown 15m 1782286200	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9f00df…