Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$452.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.76K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-15 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

55% 70% +$2,511

Other

45% 77% +$4,536

Sports

0% 100% +$319

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$48.4K	24,573	24,573	+0	No	+$743	04-04 13:49
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$40.7K	23,818	18,212	+5,606	No	-$479	02-22 23:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$33.5K	22,145	12,840	+9,305	Yes	-$47	02-22 23:21
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$25.0K	25,050	0	+25,050	No	+$50	01-03 20:31
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	28	$24.5K	25,813	0	+25,813	No	+$1,320	03-09 17:36
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	7	$24.0K	12,138	12,138	+0	No	-$1	03-17 18:44
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$22.7K	7,999	15,083	-7,084	No	+$180	02-05 19:20
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	6	$22.5K	22,836	0	+22,836	No	+$297	01-07 20:41
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	7	$21.4K	21,495	0	+21,495	No	+$51	01-07 23:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	13	$19.5K	11,567	11,567	+0	No	+$317	01-16 20:53
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$16.8K	8,533	8,533	+0	Yes	+$113	02-05 19:19
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	19	$13.6K	13,947	0	+13,947	No	+$311	01-18 00:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$13.3K	7,124	7,124	+0	No	+$650	04-15 16:27
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	4	$12.0K	6,167	6,167	+0	No	+$307	03-17 18:45
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$11.2K	5,827	5,827	+0	Yes	+$184	03-06 16:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$9.8K	4,981	4,981	+0	Yes	+$130	03-01 15:54
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$8.9K	9,116	0	+9,116	No	+$237	01-24 16:30
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	3	$8.6K	4,400	4,400	+0	No	+$75	02-13 09:35
will khamenei leave iran by friday	15	$8.6K	8,735	0	+8,735	No	+$119	01-10 04:07
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	8	$8.4K	8,698	0	+8,698	No	+$262	01-11 19:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$7.9K	9,969	0	+9,969	No	+$2,106	03-03 03:02
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$7.1K	4,617	4,617	+0	No	-$754	03-24 16:41
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$6.2K	6,500	0	+6,500	Yes	+$254	01-19 04:55
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$5.2K	4,392	4,392	+0	No	-$849	02-13 09:34
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$4.6K	4,758	0	+4,758	No	+$160	02-22 23:11
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	9	$4.2K	4,513	0	+4,513	Yes	+$359	03-04 01:31
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	14	$4.0K	4,112	0	+4,112	No	+$109	01-18 00:53
will trump pardon sam bankman fried in 2025 345 559	1	$2.7K	0	2,700	-2,700	No	-$3	01-01 00:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$2.6K	1,342	1,342	+0	No	+$6	03-01 21:53
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$2.6K	1,417	1,417	+0	Yes	+$177	03-07 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-15 16:27:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	265	94¢	$250	0x1c47d6…
04-15 16:27:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	7,124	98¢	$6,989	0xf5cde7…
04-04 13:49:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	24,573	100¢	$24,548	0xc57a88…
03-24 16:41:25	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	2,368	55¢	$1,303	0x08858a…
03-17 18:45:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	24,573	97¢	$23,805	0x6c6d6b…
03-17 18:45:11	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	6,167	100¢	$6,161	0xbfb0b4…
03-17 18:44:57	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11,000	99¢	$10,876	0x7bfb10…
03-13 02:40:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xaf42b0…
03-12 20:30:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6,000	89¢	$5,339	0xd3ac7c…
03-12 20:29:49	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11,000	99¢	$10,890	0x271676…
03-09 17:37:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	265	94¢	$250	0xd4a2b2…
03-09 17:36:27	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	4,713	98¢	$4,605	0x86f110…
03-07 02:02:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,417	97¢	$1,377	0xa458dd…
03-06 16:02:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,417	85¢	$1,200	0x46fad2…
03-06 16:01:19	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	2,368	84¢	$2,000	0x849f98…
03-06 16:00:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,827	98¢	$5,710	0x3dd096…
03-05 20:59:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	11,070	96¢	$10,683	0x8d0a0e…
03-05 18:59:07	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	2,248	84¢	$1,889	0xb55b91…
03-05 16:19:19	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1,403	97¢	$1,356	0xb089c5…
03-05 16:16:59	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1,748	86¢	$1,500	0xb2ac70…
03-04 21:34:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	282	96¢	$269	0xeacdd8…
03-04 21:26:37	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0xa862d4…
03-04 21:25:59	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	645	96¢	$616	0x3cf512…
03-04 21:25:23	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xde02b6…
03-04 21:25:23	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb95ebe…
03-04 21:25:23	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	623	96¢	$595	0x0b5e2a…
03-04 01:31:35	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x5ec1c8…
03-04 01:27:55	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,546	97¢	$1,500	0x320f13…
03-03 03:19:01	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x8f623e…
03-03 03:12:55	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xc3844d…
03-03 03:10:37	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	43	85¢	$37	0x24da4e…
03-03 03:07:31	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	305	93¢	$283	0x829589…
03-03 03:06:49	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	438	85¢	$372	0x98d6a7…
03-03 03:06:49	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	375	85¢	$319	0x5bf3bb…
03-03 03:02:41	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc8d2d3…
03-03 03:02:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	350	83¢	$290	0xce4f59…
03-03 02:59:43	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,026	85¢	$872	0x8bea68…
03-02 19:00:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,803	83¢	$1,500	0x463e7a…
03-02 18:02:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2,015	81¢	$1,635	0x348900…
03-02 03:38:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,020	76¢	$780	0x867852…
03-01 21:53:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	1,342	97¢	$1,306	0x8d0513…
03-01 21:52:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	500	76¢	$379	0xff72e3…
03-01 21:52:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	367	76¢	$278	0x170ad0…
03-01 21:50:47	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1,034	92¢	$947	0x93d273…
03-01 21:50:29	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,138	97¢	$1,110	0x82e5c7…
03-01 19:19:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	1,342	97¢	$1,300	0x1a78da…
03-01 19:17:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3,262	77¢	$2,500	0x5962a1…
03-01 15:55:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	652	77¢	$500	0x185929…
03-01 15:55:25	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x8d8bb7…
03-01 15:54:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4,981	100¢	$4,971	0x2d752a…
03-01 15:54:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,025	96¢	$1,952	0xb7a994…
03-01 00:47:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	870	97¢	$841	0x8fe22b…
03-01 00:43:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4,111	97¢	$4,000	0x725382…
02-28 21:58:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x943f56…
02-28 21:56:11	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0xe849e3…
02-28 21:55:47	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	224	88¢	$197	0xd767b6…
02-28 21:55:27	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x01ddf4…
02-28 21:55:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	340	88¢	$300	0xed5793…
02-28 21:55:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x4c3274…
02-28 21:54:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xaa0198…
02-28 21:54:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xb3bc27…
02-28 21:53:29	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x8c750b…
02-28 21:53:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xd51763…
02-28 21:53:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xcf6b33…
02-28 21:53:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	111	88¢	$98	0x08ee24…
02-28 21:53:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	45	88¢	$39	0x31f7f9…
02-28 21:52:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	89	89¢	$79	0x61bff2…
02-28 21:51:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0x0e26a8…
02-28 21:32:01	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x86f7af…
02-28 20:38:09	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	584	97¢	$565	0x94d310…
02-28 20:36:23	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	165	96¢	$158	0xfd4c00…
02-28 20:36:23	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	145	96¢	$140	0x4c7153…
02-28 20:36:03	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	245	95¢	$233	0xfedaa6…
02-28 20:34:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	67	95¢	$63	0x682aae…
02-28 20:34:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	298	95¢	$282	0x3cd89b…
02-28 20:30:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x4d9b66…
02-28 20:30:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x429b8e…
02-28 20:30:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9eebc8…
02-28 20:30:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	802	95¢	$760	0x711f51…
02-28 20:29:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	3,500	90¢	$3,150	0x9f974f…
02-28 20:28:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	893	89¢	$796	0x95931a…
02-24 16:45:58	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0x8b61a9…
02-22 23:21:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x52fea7…
02-22 23:20:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x32c037…
02-22 23:19:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7,860	95¢	$7,452	0x9a8d6b…
02-22 23:17:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x6dff02…
02-22 23:16:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,235	95¢	$1,170	0x1b035c…
02-22 23:16:32	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5,399	97¢	$5,226	0xb7c6fd…
02-22 23:11:00	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,214	99¢	$1,200	0xf95bea…
02-19 16:04:12	will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0xe58aa8…
02-19 15:45:30	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xf371e0…
02-17 21:36:35	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb48e93…
02-17 21:36:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x8c2aaf…
02-17 21:35:33	will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0x9675ff…
02-17 17:17:39	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	38¢	$170	0x223abf…
02-13 09:35:41	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	SELL	4,400	99¢	$4,362	0x4270db…
02-13 09:34:59	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	2,892	61¢	$1,771	0x75751a…
02-13 08:35:01	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	1,099	73¢	$800	0x530d04…
02-13 08:34:15	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	687	73¢	$500	0x5c104a…
02-13 08:34:01	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	1,105	72¢	$800	0x4303bc…