Honest-Equivalent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$337

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.8%

Resolved

141

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-28 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Politics

37% 0% -$3

Sports

23% 0% -$5

Other

20% 50% +$314

Crypto

19% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$5.0K	2,502	2,502	+0	No	-$3	06-13 06:02
will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$3.2K	1,588	1,588	+0	No	+$0	02-05 07:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$2.4K	1,214	1,214	+0	No	-$1	06-13 06:08
open up or down on march 11 2026	1	$316	631	0	+631	Up	+$316	03-11 10:23
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 3?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 04:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-22 04:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 18?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-18 05:43
xrp above 0pt9 on june 4 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-04 04:30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-19 04:55
solana above 80 on june 8 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-08 04:32
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 2?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-02 04:25
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 1?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-01 04:30
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 30?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 04:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-06 05:04
solana above 90 on july 4 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-04 04:50
solana above 90 on july 15 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-15 04:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-27 04:59
solana above 70 on july 28 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-28 04:34
ethereum above 1800 on august 19 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-19 05:45
xrp above 1 on june 18 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-18 05:00
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 13?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-13 05:33
xrp above 1 on june 22 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-22 04:24
solana above 90 on july 9 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-09 04:50
solana above 70 on august 12 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-12 04:29
xrp above 1pt4 on june 16 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-16 05:08
xrp above 1pt2 on july 2 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-02 05:07
xrp above 1pt2 on july 20 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-20 05:46
solana above 70 on july 27 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-27 04:34
solana above 90 on july 21 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-21 05:02
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-23 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:24:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f412a…
10-19 04:25:18	will bitcoin reach 90k on october 19 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x629c2b…
10-08 04:35:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x289ab6…
09-22 05:23:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e2400…
09-14 04:16:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d16b3…
08-19 05:45:52	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb765a2…
08-19 05:45:22	ethereum above 1800 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc6b447…
08-14 04:29:45	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d6225…
08-14 04:29:06	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcccbca…
08-13 04:25:06	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x014494…
08-13 04:24:22	xrp above 1pt1 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7edd0e…
08-12 04:30:54	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ca098…
08-12 04:29:58	solana above 70 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x13b70a…
08-11 04:25:51	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97227c…
08-11 04:25:07	solana above 70 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x99e852…
08-10 04:30:27	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5f82a…
08-10 04:28:57	ethereum above 1800 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x78a824…
08-07 04:24:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf7c3c…
08-07 04:23:27	solana above 60 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xde6f05…
08-06 04:35:02	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9dfe5…
08-06 04:34:24	solana above 70 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcfba4f…
08-05 04:31:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43b874…
08-05 04:30:44	solana above 70 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x27ea3e…
08-03 04:30:38	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd3675…
08-03 04:29:53	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7a3a55…
07-31 04:22:30	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86a27c…
07-31 04:21:12	solana above 50 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x06cd4f…
07-30 04:18:26	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b7346…
07-30 04:17:24	solana above 70 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbc80e…
07-29 04:24:03	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c932a…
07-29 04:23:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x31d1dd…
07-28 04:35:09	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48de30…
07-28 04:34:01	solana above 70 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x45ae66…
07-27 04:36:27	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb19425…
07-27 04:34:30	solana above 70 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9b3894…
07-24 05:24:51	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4da163…
07-24 05:17:10	solana above 80 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb258ee…
07-23 05:16:55	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1621cc…
07-23 05:15:36	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0fe145…
07-22 04:40:15	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa94853…
07-22 04:37:30	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a6082…
07-21 05:03:16	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5722bb…
07-21 05:02:12	solana above 90 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa6af6d…
07-20 05:47:28	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29aecb…
07-20 05:46:55	xrp above 1pt2 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x246ad8…
07-18 05:11:27	will solana dip to 60 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x287b6b…
07-18 05:08:39	will xrp dip to 0pt85 on july 18	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0c300d…
07-17 04:41:13	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41d2ca…
07-17 04:38:19	solana above 70 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x141252…
07-16 04:32:05	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cd68b…
07-16 04:30:20	xrp above 1pt2 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb98c55…
07-15 04:40:41	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c3f0f…
07-15 04:39:04	solana above 90 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7a22da…
07-14 04:44:01	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x792955…
07-14 04:43:22	solana above 80 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf6d399…
07-13 05:17:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83256f…
07-13 05:12:31	solana above 70 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdbb301…
07-10 04:55:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5af75…
07-10 04:54:56	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1b8a4d…
07-09 04:51:08	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb96850…
07-09 04:50:28	solana above 90 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3ae2f3…
07-08 04:55:40	ethereum above 1900 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x434b9f…
07-08 04:54:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ade85…
07-07 05:00:41	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeeee93…
07-07 04:43:50	solana above 90 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c8417…
07-06 05:05:02	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb295a7…
07-06 05:04:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaac57f…
07-04 05:00:08	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77a2eb…
07-04 04:50:01	solana above 90 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x53e3dd…
07-03 04:35:29	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x740523…
07-03 04:32:56	xrp above 1pt2 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfb3dbb…
07-02 05:10:16	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe51a9e…
07-02 05:07:40	xrp above 1pt2 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8a9ece…
07-01 05:18:43	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x087f01…
07-01 05:15:53	xrp above 0pt8 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0e90b6…
06-25 05:07:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9f8e0…
06-25 05:04:37	solana above 60 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe51e50…
06-23 04:54:14	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47685f…
06-23 04:29:31	solana above 80 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3140e7…
06-22 04:25:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf3e1c…
06-22 04:24:38	xrp above 1 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa579b4…
06-18 05:02:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ad6e3…
06-18 05:00:16	xrp above 1 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x62ee3e…
06-17 05:12:40	bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd922ac…
06-17 05:02:31	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8ed7a5…
06-16 05:10:01	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15b028…
06-16 05:08:55	xrp above 1pt4 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2699b8…
06-15 05:36:55	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2c402…
06-15 05:24:01	solana above 60 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6e050e…
06-13 06:08:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,214	100¢	$1,211	0xe4091b…
06-13 06:05:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,214	100¢	$1,212	0xd6bfdb…
06-13 06:02:01	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	2,502	100¢	$2,496	0xb999df…
06-13 06:01:07	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,502	100¢	$2,499	0x115ca6…
06-13 05:33:19	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 13?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xeb83e5…
06-13 05:32:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69503f…
06-12 04:58:27	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x132494…
06-12 04:57:27	solana above 60 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x279f02…
06-11 04:58:10	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x829b5b…
06-11 04:55:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f296f…
06-10 05:15:46	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe04592…